Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 12–16 January 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.0% 34.5–37.5% 34.1–38.0% 33.7–38.3% 33.0–39.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.4% 27.0–29.9% 26.6–30.3% 26.3–30.6% 25.7–31.3%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 11.2% 10.3–12.3% 10.0–12.6% 9.8–12.8% 9.4–13.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.7% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.8% 5.6–8.0% 5.3–8.4%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.9% 3.3–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–4.9% 2.8–5.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 145–153 143–154 142–155 141–157
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 78 74–82 73–83 72–84 70–86
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 31 28–34 27–34 27–35 26–36
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 16–21 16–21 15–22 14–23
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–16 12–16 11–17 10–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–12 9–13 8–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.3% 99.8%  
141 0.7% 99.5%  
142 2% 98.8%  
143 3% 97%  
144 4% 94%  
145 7% 90%  
146 9% 83%  
147 12% 74%  
148 13% 62% Median
149 11% 49%  
150 11% 37%  
151 9% 26% Majority
152 7% 17%  
153 4% 10%  
154 3% 6%  
155 2% 3%  
156 0.9% 2%  
157 0.4% 0.7%  
158 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.8%  
71 1.0% 99.4%  
72 2% 98%  
73 4% 96%  
74 6% 93%  
75 9% 87%  
76 12% 78%  
77 13% 66%  
78 12% 52% Median
79 11% 40%  
80 11% 29%  
81 8% 18%  
82 5% 10%  
83 3% 6%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0.9% 1.4%  
86 0.4% 0.6% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.3% 99.9%  
26 1.2% 99.6%  
27 4% 98%  
28 8% 94%  
29 14% 87%  
30 16% 72%  
31 20% 56% Median
32 15% 36%  
33 11% 21%  
34 6% 11%  
35 3% 4%  
36 1.1% 2%  
37 0.4% 0.5%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.6% 99.9%  
15 3% 99.3% Last Result
16 9% 97%  
17 18% 88%  
18 22% 70% Median
19 22% 48%  
20 14% 25%  
21 7% 11%  
22 3% 4%  
23 0.8% 1.0%  
24 0.2% 0.2%  
25 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.7% 100% Last Result
11 4% 99.3%  
12 14% 95%  
13 23% 81%  
14 26% 59% Median
15 19% 33%  
16 10% 14%  
17 3% 4%  
18 0.8% 1.0%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 2% 98%  
9 13% 97% Last Result
10 28% 84%  
11 28% 56% Median
12 18% 27%  
13 7% 9%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 179 100% 175–183 174–185 173–186 171–188
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 26% 145–153 143–154 142–155 141–157
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 88 0% 84–92 83–93 82–95 79–97
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 78 0% 74–82 73–83 72–84 70–86

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
169 0.1% 100%  
170 0.2% 99.9%  
171 0.5% 99.7%  
172 1.0% 99.2%  
173 2% 98%  
174 3% 96%  
175 5% 93%  
176 8% 88%  
177 10% 80%  
178 12% 70%  
179 11% 59% Median
180 11% 48% Last Result
181 11% 36%  
182 10% 25%  
183 6% 15%  
184 4% 10%  
185 3% 6%  
186 1.5% 3%  
187 0.9% 2%  
188 0.5% 0.9%  
189 0.2% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0.1% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.3% 99.8%  
141 0.7% 99.5%  
142 2% 98.8%  
143 3% 97%  
144 4% 94%  
145 7% 90%  
146 9% 83%  
147 12% 74%  
148 13% 62% Median
149 11% 49%  
150 11% 37%  
151 9% 26% Majority
152 7% 17%  
153 4% 10%  
154 3% 6%  
155 2% 3%  
156 0.9% 2%  
157 0.4% 0.7%  
158 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.8%  
79 0.3% 99.6%  
80 0.5% 99.3%  
81 0.8% 98.8%  
82 2% 98%  
83 3% 96%  
84 4% 94%  
85 6% 90%  
86 10% 83%  
87 12% 73%  
88 13% 62%  
89 12% 49% Median
90 11% 37%  
91 9% 25%  
92 7% 16%  
93 4% 9%  
94 2% 5%  
95 1.5% 3% Last Result
96 0.6% 1.1%  
97 0.3% 0.5%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.8%  
71 1.0% 99.4%  
72 2% 98%  
73 4% 96%  
74 6% 93%  
75 9% 87%  
76 12% 78%  
77 13% 66%  
78 12% 52% Median
79 11% 40%  
80 11% 29%  
81 8% 18%  
82 5% 10%  
83 3% 6%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0.9% 1.4%  
86 0.4% 0.6% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations