Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 19–23 January 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 37.2% 35.4–39.0% 34.9–39.5% 34.5–39.9% 33.7–40.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.1% 27.5–30.8% 27.0–31.3% 26.6–31.8% 25.8–32.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 12.2% 11.1–13.5% 10.7–13.9% 10.5–14.2% 9.9–14.8%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.4% 5.6–7.4% 5.3–7.7% 5.1–7.9% 4.8–8.4%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.1% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 3.1–5.3% 2.8–5.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 2.9% 2.4–3.6% 2.2–3.8% 2.1–4.0% 1.9–4.4%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 152 147–158 146–160 145–161 142–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 76–85 74–87 73–88 71–90
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 34 30–37 29–38 29–39 27–41
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 15–20 15–21 14–22 13–23
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 10–13 9–14 9–15 0–16
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 0 0–10 0–10 0–11 0–12
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.4% 99.7%  
143 0.6% 99.3%  
144 1.0% 98.6%  
145 2% 98%  
146 3% 95%  
147 4% 92%  
148 6% 89%  
149 5% 83%  
150 8% 77%  
151 10% 69% Majority
152 10% 59% Median
153 8% 49%  
154 8% 40%  
155 8% 32%  
156 5% 25%  
157 7% 20%  
158 5% 13% Last Result
159 2% 8%  
160 3% 6%  
161 0.9% 3%  
162 0.7% 2%  
163 0.8% 1.3%  
164 0.1% 0.4%  
165 0.2% 0.3%  
166 0.1% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 99.9%  
71 0.4% 99.6%  
72 1.1% 99.2%  
73 2% 98%  
74 3% 97%  
75 4% 94%  
76 5% 90%  
77 8% 85%  
78 9% 77%  
79 10% 68%  
80 11% 58% Median
81 10% 47%  
82 8% 36%  
83 8% 28%  
84 7% 20%  
85 4% 14%  
86 4% 9% Last Result
87 2% 6%  
88 2% 3%  
89 0.8% 2%  
90 0.6% 1.1%  
91 0.2% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.5% 99.8%  
28 1.2% 99.3%  
29 3% 98%  
30 5% 95%  
31 9% 89%  
32 12% 80%  
33 16% 69%  
34 14% 53% Median
35 13% 38%  
36 10% 26%  
37 6% 15%  
38 5% 9%  
39 2% 4%  
40 1.1% 2%  
41 0.5% 0.8%  
42 0.2% 0.3%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.7% 99.9%  
14 3% 99.2%  
15 7% 96% Last Result
16 15% 89%  
17 17% 74%  
18 21% 57% Median
19 17% 36%  
20 9% 19%  
21 6% 10%  
22 3% 4%  
23 0.8% 1.2%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.5% 100%  
1 0% 98.5%  
2 0% 98.5%  
3 0% 98.5%  
4 0% 98.5%  
5 0% 98.5%  
6 0% 98.5%  
7 0% 98.5%  
8 0.7% 98.5%  
9 8% 98%  
10 20% 90% Last Result
11 27% 70% Median
12 23% 43%  
13 10% 20%  
14 6% 10%  
15 3% 4%  
16 0.6% 0.8%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 54% 100% Median
1 0% 46%  
2 0% 46%  
3 0% 46%  
4 0% 46%  
5 0% 46%  
6 0% 46%  
7 0% 46%  
8 9% 46%  
9 22% 36% Last Result
10 10% 14%  
11 3% 4%  
12 0.7% 0.9%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 186 100% 180–192 179–194 178–195 175–198
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 152 69% 147–158 146–160 145–161 142–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 84 0% 78–91 77–92 76–94 74–96
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 0% 76–85 74–87 73–88 71–90

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
172 0% 100%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.1% 99.8%  
175 0.3% 99.7%  
176 0.5% 99.3%  
177 1.2% 98.8%  
178 2% 98%  
179 2% 96%  
180 3% 93% Last Result
181 5% 90%  
182 7% 85%  
183 6% 78%  
184 9% 72%  
185 9% 64%  
186 6% 55% Median
187 8% 49%  
188 7% 41%  
189 8% 33%  
190 7% 26%  
191 4% 19%  
192 5% 15%  
193 3% 10%  
194 3% 7%  
195 1.5% 4%  
196 0.9% 2%  
197 0.6% 1.4%  
198 0.4% 0.8%  
199 0.2% 0.4%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.4% 99.7%  
143 0.6% 99.3%  
144 1.0% 98.6%  
145 2% 98%  
146 3% 95%  
147 4% 92%  
148 6% 89%  
149 5% 83%  
150 8% 77%  
151 10% 69% Majority
152 10% 59% Median
153 8% 49%  
154 8% 40%  
155 8% 32%  
156 5% 25%  
157 7% 20%  
158 5% 13% Last Result
159 2% 8%  
160 3% 6%  
161 0.9% 3%  
162 0.7% 2%  
163 0.8% 1.3%  
164 0.1% 0.4%  
165 0.2% 0.3%  
166 0.1% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 0.6% 99.5%  
75 1.3% 98.9%  
76 2% 98%  
77 3% 96%  
78 4% 93%  
79 5% 89%  
80 5% 84% Median
81 8% 79%  
82 6% 71%  
83 7% 65%  
84 8% 58%  
85 6% 50%  
86 8% 44%  
87 8% 35%  
88 6% 28%  
89 7% 22%  
90 5% 15%  
91 3% 11%  
92 3% 7%  
93 2% 5%  
94 1.0% 3%  
95 0.7% 2% Last Result
96 0.4% 0.8%  
97 0.2% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 99.9%  
71 0.4% 99.6%  
72 1.1% 99.2%  
73 2% 98%  
74 3% 97%  
75 4% 94%  
76 5% 90%  
77 8% 85%  
78 9% 77%  
79 10% 68%  
80 11% 58% Median
81 10% 47%  
82 8% 36%  
83 8% 28%  
84 7% 20%  
85 4% 14%  
86 4% 9% Last Result
87 2% 6%  
88 2% 3%  
89 0.8% 2%  
90 0.6% 1.1%  
91 0.2% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations