Opinion Poll by GPO for Star TV, 20–24 January 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 38.1% 36.3–39.9% 35.8–40.4% 35.4–40.9% 34.5–41.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 30.0% 28.3–31.7% 27.9–32.2% 27.5–32.7% 26.7–33.5%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 11.0% 9.9–12.2% 9.6–12.6% 9.3–12.9% 8.9–13.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.2% 6.3–8.2% 6.1–8.5% 5.8–8.8% 5.4–9.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.9% 3.3–4.7% 3.1–5.0% 3.0–5.2% 2.7–5.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.9–3.4% 1.8–3.6% 1.5–3.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 155 150–160 148–162 147–163 144–165
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 78–87 77–89 75–90 73–93
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 30 27–34 26–35 26–36 24–37
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 17–23 17–23 16–24 15–26
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 9–13 9–14 0–14 0–15
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 0 0–9 0–9 0–10 0–10

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
141 0% 100%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.3% 99.7%  
145 0.5% 99.4%  
146 1.0% 98.9%  
147 1.5% 98%  
148 2% 96%  
149 4% 94%  
150 5% 90%  
151 6% 85% Majority
152 8% 79%  
153 9% 72%  
154 9% 63%  
155 10% 54% Median
156 10% 44%  
157 8% 34%  
158 7% 25% Last Result
159 6% 18%  
160 4% 12%  
161 3% 8%  
162 2% 5%  
163 1.2% 3%  
164 0.8% 2%  
165 0.4% 0.9%  
166 0.2% 0.5%  
167 0.1% 0.3%  
168 0.1% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.4% 99.7%  
74 0.8% 99.3%  
75 1.3% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 3% 95%  
78 5% 92%  
79 7% 86%  
80 8% 79%  
81 9% 71%  
82 11% 61%  
83 11% 50% Median
84 10% 40%  
85 8% 30%  
86 7% 22% Last Result
87 5% 15%  
88 4% 10%  
89 3% 6%  
90 1.5% 4%  
91 1.0% 2%  
92 0.5% 1.0%  
93 0.3% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.5% 99.9%  
25 1.4% 99.3%  
26 3% 98%  
27 7% 95%  
28 9% 88%  
29 14% 78%  
30 16% 65% Median
31 15% 48%  
32 14% 34%  
33 9% 20%  
34 5% 11%  
35 3% 6%  
36 2% 3%  
37 0.6% 1.0%  
38 0.3% 0.4%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 1.0% 99.8% Last Result
16 3% 98.8%  
17 8% 96%  
18 14% 88%  
19 18% 75%  
20 18% 56% Median
21 17% 38%  
22 11% 22%  
23 6% 11%  
24 3% 5%  
25 1.2% 2%  
26 0.4% 0.6%  
27 0.1% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 1.3% 97%  
9 13% 96%  
10 22% 83% Last Result
11 25% 61% Median
12 19% 35%  
13 11% 16%  
14 4% 6%  
15 1.4% 2%  
16 0.3% 0.4%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Median
1 0% 17%  
2 0% 17%  
3 0% 17%  
4 0% 17%  
5 0% 17%  
6 0% 17%  
7 0% 17%  
8 6% 17%  
9 8% 11% Last Result
10 2% 3%  
11 0.4% 0.5%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 185 100% 180–191 178–192 177–194 174–197
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 155 85% 150–160 148–162 147–163 144–165
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 84 0% 79–90 78–91 76–93 74–96
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 0% 78–87 77–89 75–90 73–93

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 99.9%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.2% 99.8%  
174 0.3% 99.6%  
175 0.6% 99.3%  
176 1.0% 98.7%  
177 2% 98%  
178 2% 96%  
179 3% 94%  
180 4% 91% Last Result
181 6% 86%  
182 7% 81%  
183 7% 74%  
184 8% 67%  
185 10% 58% Median
186 9% 49%  
187 9% 39%  
188 8% 30%  
189 6% 22%  
190 5% 16%  
191 4% 11%  
192 2% 7%  
193 2% 5%  
194 1.0% 3%  
195 0.7% 2%  
196 0.4% 1.0%  
197 0.2% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0.1% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
141 0% 100%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.3% 99.7%  
145 0.5% 99.4%  
146 1.0% 98.9%  
147 1.5% 98%  
148 2% 96%  
149 4% 94%  
150 5% 90%  
151 6% 85% Majority
152 8% 79%  
153 9% 72%  
154 9% 63%  
155 10% 54% Median
156 10% 44%  
157 8% 34%  
158 7% 25% Last Result
159 6% 18%  
160 4% 12%  
161 3% 8%  
162 2% 5%  
163 1.2% 3%  
164 0.8% 2%  
165 0.4% 0.9%  
166 0.2% 0.5%  
167 0.1% 0.3%  
168 0.1% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.4% 99.7%  
75 0.7% 99.3%  
76 1.3% 98.7%  
77 2% 97%  
78 4% 95%  
79 5% 92%  
80 7% 87%  
81 8% 80%  
82 9% 72%  
83 10% 62% Median
84 9% 53%  
85 8% 44%  
86 8% 35%  
87 7% 27%  
88 5% 20%  
89 4% 15%  
90 3% 11%  
91 3% 8%  
92 2% 5%  
93 1.4% 3%  
94 0.7% 2%  
95 0.6% 1.3% Last Result
96 0.3% 0.7%  
97 0.2% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.4% 99.7%  
74 0.8% 99.3%  
75 1.3% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 3% 95%  
78 5% 92%  
79 7% 86%  
80 8% 79%  
81 9% 71%  
82 11% 61%  
83 11% 50% Median
84 10% 40%  
85 8% 30%  
86 7% 22% Last Result
87 5% 15%  
88 4% 10%  
89 3% 6%  
90 1.5% 4%  
91 1.0% 2%  
92 0.5% 1.0%  
93 0.3% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations