Opinion Poll by MRB for Open TV, 23–24 January 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.0% 34.1–38.0% 33.5–38.5% 33.1–39.0% 32.2–40.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.9% 27.1–30.8% 26.6–31.3% 26.2–31.8% 25.3–32.7%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 12.5% 11.2–13.9% 10.9–14.3% 10.6–14.7% 10.0–15.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.6–7.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 142–153 141–155 140–157 137–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 78 74–84 72–85 71–87 69–90
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 34 31–38 30–39 29–40 27–42
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–19 13–20 13–21 12–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–17 11–18 11–18 10–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.8%  
92 0% 99.7%  
93 0% 99.7%  
94 0% 99.7%  
95 0% 99.7%  
96 0% 99.7%  
97 0% 99.7%  
98 0% 99.7%  
99 0% 99.7%  
100 0% 99.7%  
101 0% 99.7%  
102 0% 99.7%  
103 0% 99.7%  
104 0% 99.7%  
105 0% 99.7%  
106 0% 99.7%  
107 0% 99.7%  
108 0% 99.7%  
109 0% 99.7%  
110 0% 99.7%  
111 0% 99.7%  
112 0% 99.7%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0% 99.7%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0% 99.7%  
124 0% 99.7%  
125 0% 99.7%  
126 0% 99.7%  
127 0% 99.7%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.7%  
135 0% 99.7%  
136 0.1% 99.7%  
137 0.3% 99.6%  
138 0.6% 99.3%  
139 0.9% 98.7%  
140 2% 98%  
141 3% 96%  
142 4% 93%  
143 5% 90%  
144 6% 85%  
145 8% 78%  
146 8% 70%  
147 10% 62%  
148 9% 52% Median
149 9% 43%  
150 8% 34%  
151 7% 26% Majority
152 5% 19%  
153 5% 14%  
154 3% 9%  
155 2% 7%  
156 2% 4%  
157 1.2% 3%  
158 0.6% 1.4% Last Result
159 0.4% 0.9%  
160 0.2% 0.5%  
161 0.1% 0.3%  
162 0.1% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.4% 99.6%  
70 0.9% 99.1%  
71 2% 98%  
72 2% 97%  
73 4% 94%  
74 6% 91%  
75 7% 85%  
76 8% 78%  
77 10% 69%  
78 10% 60% Median
79 10% 50%  
80 8% 40%  
81 8% 32%  
82 7% 23%  
83 5% 16%  
84 4% 11%  
85 2% 7%  
86 2% 4% Last Result
87 1.1% 3%  
88 0.7% 2%  
89 0.4% 1.1%  
90 0.3% 0.7%  
91 0.1% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.3%  
96 0% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.3%  
98 0% 0.3%  
99 0% 0.3%  
100 0% 0.3%  
101 0% 0.3%  
102 0% 0.3%  
103 0% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.3%  
105 0% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0% 0.3%  
109 0% 0.3%  
110 0% 0.3%  
111 0% 0.3%  
112 0% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.3%  
114 0% 0.3%  
115 0% 0.3%  
116 0% 0.3%  
117 0% 0.3%  
118 0% 0.3%  
119 0% 0.3%  
120 0% 0.3%  
121 0% 0.3%  
122 0% 0.3%  
123 0% 0.3%  
124 0% 0.3%  
125 0% 0.3%  
126 0% 0.3%  
127 0% 0.3%  
128 0% 0.3%  
129 0% 0.3%  
130 0% 0.3%  
131 0% 0.3%  
132 0% 0.3%  
133 0% 0.3%  
134 0% 0.3%  
135 0% 0.3%  
136 0% 0.3%  
137 0% 0.2%  
138 0% 0.2%  
139 0% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.5% 99.8%  
28 1.5% 99.3%  
29 3% 98%  
30 4% 95%  
31 8% 91%  
32 13% 82%  
33 12% 70%  
34 12% 57% Median
35 15% 46%  
36 11% 31%  
37 6% 19%  
38 6% 13%  
39 4% 7%  
40 2% 3%  
41 0.8% 2%  
42 0.5% 0.8%  
43 0.2% 0.3%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 1.4% 99.7%  
13 5% 98%  
14 10% 94%  
15 15% 84% Last Result
16 19% 69% Median
17 18% 50%  
18 15% 32%  
19 8% 16%  
20 5% 8%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.9% 1.3%  
23 0.3% 0.4%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 1.4% 99.8% Last Result
11 4% 98%  
12 11% 94%  
13 17% 83%  
14 21% 67% Median
15 18% 45%  
16 13% 27%  
17 8% 14%  
18 4% 6%  
19 1.4% 2%  
20 0.5% 0.7%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 0% 84%  
5 0% 84%  
6 0% 84%  
7 0% 84%  
8 7% 84%  
9 23% 77% Last Result
10 24% 54% Median
11 17% 29%  
12 8% 13%  
13 4% 5%  
14 1.0% 1.4%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 182 99.7% 176–188 175–190 173–191 170–195
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 26% 142–153 141–155 140–157 137–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 87 0.1% 81–93 79–94 77–96 74–99
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 78 0% 74–84 72–85 71–87 69–90

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.7%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.7%  
135 0% 99.7%  
136 0% 99.7%  
137 0% 99.7%  
138 0% 99.7%  
139 0% 99.7%  
140 0% 99.7%  
141 0% 99.7%  
142 0% 99.7%  
143 0% 99.7%  
144 0% 99.7%  
145 0% 99.7%  
146 0% 99.7%  
147 0% 99.7%  
148 0% 99.7%  
149 0% 99.7%  
150 0% 99.7%  
151 0% 99.7% Majority
152 0% 99.7%  
153 0% 99.7%  
154 0% 99.7%  
155 0% 99.7%  
156 0% 99.7%  
157 0% 99.7%  
158 0% 99.7%  
159 0% 99.7%  
160 0% 99.7%  
161 0% 99.7%  
162 0% 99.7%  
163 0% 99.7%  
164 0% 99.7%  
165 0% 99.7%  
166 0% 99.7%  
167 0% 99.7%  
168 0% 99.7%  
169 0.1% 99.7%  
170 0.2% 99.6%  
171 0.3% 99.4%  
172 0.6% 99.1%  
173 1.2% 98.5%  
174 2% 97%  
175 3% 96%  
176 4% 93%  
177 4% 88%  
178 6% 84%  
179 8% 78%  
180 8% 70% Last Result
181 10% 62%  
182 9% 52% Median
183 6% 43%  
184 8% 37%  
185 8% 29%  
186 5% 21%  
187 5% 16%  
188 3% 12%  
189 2% 8%  
190 2% 6%  
191 1.5% 4%  
192 0.7% 2%  
193 0.7% 2%  
194 0.4% 0.9%  
195 0.2% 0.5%  
196 0.1% 0.3%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.8%  
92 0% 99.7%  
93 0% 99.7%  
94 0% 99.7%  
95 0% 99.7%  
96 0% 99.7%  
97 0% 99.7%  
98 0% 99.7%  
99 0% 99.7%  
100 0% 99.7%  
101 0% 99.7%  
102 0% 99.7%  
103 0% 99.7%  
104 0% 99.7%  
105 0% 99.7%  
106 0% 99.7%  
107 0% 99.7%  
108 0% 99.7%  
109 0% 99.7%  
110 0% 99.7%  
111 0% 99.7%  
112 0% 99.7%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0% 99.7%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0% 99.7%  
124 0% 99.7%  
125 0% 99.7%  
126 0% 99.7%  
127 0% 99.7%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.7%  
135 0% 99.7%  
136 0.1% 99.7%  
137 0.3% 99.6%  
138 0.6% 99.3%  
139 0.9% 98.7%  
140 2% 98%  
141 3% 96%  
142 4% 93%  
143 5% 90%  
144 6% 85%  
145 8% 78%  
146 8% 70%  
147 10% 62%  
148 9% 52% Median
149 9% 43%  
150 8% 34%  
151 7% 26% Majority
152 5% 19%  
153 5% 14%  
154 3% 9%  
155 2% 7%  
156 2% 4%  
157 1.2% 3%  
158 0.6% 1.4% Last Result
159 0.4% 0.9%  
160 0.2% 0.5%  
161 0.1% 0.3%  
162 0.1% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.3% 99.7%  
75 0.5% 99.4%  
76 0.8% 98.8%  
77 1.0% 98%  
78 1.1% 97%  
79 2% 96%  
80 2% 94%  
81 3% 92%  
82 4% 89%  
83 5% 84%  
84 6% 79%  
85 7% 73%  
86 9% 66%  
87 8% 57%  
88 9% 49% Median
89 8% 40%  
90 8% 31%  
91 7% 23%  
92 5% 16%  
93 4% 11%  
94 3% 7%  
95 2% 4% Last Result
96 1.1% 3%  
97 0.6% 1.5%  
98 0.4% 0.9%  
99 0.2% 0.5%  
100 0.1% 0.4%  
101 0% 0.3%  
102 0% 0.3%  
103 0% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.3%  
105 0% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0% 0.3%  
109 0% 0.3%  
110 0% 0.3%  
111 0% 0.3%  
112 0% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.3%  
114 0% 0.3%  
115 0% 0.3%  
116 0% 0.3%  
117 0% 0.3%  
118 0% 0.3%  
119 0% 0.3%  
120 0% 0.3%  
121 0% 0.3%  
122 0% 0.3%  
123 0% 0.3%  
124 0% 0.3%  
125 0% 0.3%  
126 0% 0.3%  
127 0% 0.3%  
128 0% 0.3%  
129 0% 0.3%  
130 0% 0.3%  
131 0% 0.3%  
132 0% 0.3%  
133 0% 0.3%  
134 0% 0.3%  
135 0% 0.3%  
136 0% 0.3%  
137 0% 0.3%  
138 0% 0.3%  
139 0% 0.3%  
140 0% 0.3%  
141 0% 0.3%  
142 0% 0.2%  
143 0% 0.2%  
144 0% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1% Majority
152 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.4% 99.6%  
70 0.9% 99.1%  
71 2% 98%  
72 2% 97%  
73 4% 94%  
74 6% 91%  
75 7% 85%  
76 8% 78%  
77 10% 69%  
78 10% 60% Median
79 10% 50%  
80 8% 40%  
81 8% 32%  
82 7% 23%  
83 5% 16%  
84 4% 11%  
85 2% 7%  
86 2% 4% Last Result
87 1.1% 3%  
88 0.7% 2%  
89 0.4% 1.1%  
90 0.3% 0.7%  
91 0.1% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.3%  
96 0% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.3%  
98 0% 0.3%  
99 0% 0.3%  
100 0% 0.3%  
101 0% 0.3%  
102 0% 0.3%  
103 0% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.3%  
105 0% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0% 0.3%  
109 0% 0.3%  
110 0% 0.3%  
111 0% 0.3%  
112 0% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.3%  
114 0% 0.3%  
115 0% 0.3%  
116 0% 0.3%  
117 0% 0.3%  
118 0% 0.3%  
119 0% 0.3%  
120 0% 0.3%  
121 0% 0.3%  
122 0% 0.3%  
123 0% 0.3%  
124 0% 0.3%  
125 0% 0.3%  
126 0% 0.3%  
127 0% 0.3%  
128 0% 0.3%  
129 0% 0.3%  
130 0% 0.3%  
131 0% 0.3%  
132 0% 0.3%  
133 0% 0.3%  
134 0% 0.3%  
135 0% 0.3%  
136 0% 0.3%  
137 0% 0.2%  
138 0% 0.2%  
139 0% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations