Opinion Poll by Marc for ANT1, 24–31 January 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 37.5% 35.9–39.1% 35.5–39.5% 35.1–39.9% 34.4–40.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.9% 27.5–30.4% 27.1–30.8% 26.7–31.2% 26.0–31.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 11.2% 10.3–12.3% 10.0–12.6% 9.8–12.9% 9.3–13.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.1% 5.4–7.0% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.8%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.5% 3.9–5.2% 3.7–5.4% 3.6–5.6% 3.3–6.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.2% 2.7–3.9% 2.6–4.1% 2.5–4.2% 2.2–4.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 153 149–158 147–159 146–161 144–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 75–84 74–85 73–86 71–89
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 31 28–34 27–35 27–36 26–37
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–19 14–20 14–20 13–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 11–14 10–15 10–16 9–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–11 0–11 0–12

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0.1% 100%  
143 0.2% 99.9%  
144 0.4% 99.7%  
145 0.8% 99.3%  
146 2% 98.6%  
147 3% 97%  
148 4% 94%  
149 6% 90%  
150 7% 84%  
151 11% 77% Majority
152 12% 66%  
153 9% 54% Median
154 9% 44%  
155 8% 36%  
156 8% 28%  
157 7% 20%  
158 5% 13% Last Result
159 3% 7%  
160 2% 4%  
161 1.1% 3%  
162 0.6% 1.5%  
163 0.4% 0.9%  
164 0.3% 0.5%  
165 0.1% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.4% 99.8%  
72 0.8% 99.4%  
73 2% 98.6%  
74 3% 97%  
75 5% 94%  
76 8% 89%  
77 9% 81%  
78 11% 73%  
79 11% 62%  
80 12% 51% Median
81 11% 39%  
82 8% 27%  
83 7% 19%  
84 5% 12%  
85 3% 8%  
86 2% 4% Last Result
87 1.1% 2%  
88 0.6% 1.1%  
89 0.3% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.4% 99.9%  
26 1.2% 99.6%  
27 4% 98%  
28 8% 95%  
29 12% 87%  
30 16% 75%  
31 19% 59% Median
32 15% 41%  
33 12% 26%  
34 7% 14%  
35 4% 6%  
36 2% 3%  
37 0.7% 0.9%  
38 0.2% 0.3%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 1.1% 99.8%  
14 5% 98.7%  
15 12% 94% Last Result
16 21% 82%  
17 24% 60% Median
18 19% 36%  
19 11% 18%  
20 5% 7%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0.4% 0.6%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0.1% 99.9%  
9 1.2% 99.9%  
10 7% 98.7% Last Result
11 18% 92%  
12 25% 74% Median
13 25% 48%  
14 14% 23%  
15 6% 9%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.4% 0.5%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 29% 100%  
1 0% 71%  
2 0% 71%  
3 0% 71%  
4 0% 71%  
5 0% 71%  
6 0% 71%  
7 0% 71%  
8 10% 71%  
9 31% 62% Last Result, Median
10 20% 31%  
11 8% 10%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.3% 0.4%  
14 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 184 100% 179–189 178–191 177–192 175–195
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 153 77% 149–158 147–159 146–161 144–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 87 0% 80–91 79–93 78–94 75–96
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 0% 75–84 74–85 73–86 71–89

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
172 0% 100%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.2% 99.8%  
175 0.5% 99.6%  
176 1.1% 99.1%  
177 2% 98%  
178 3% 96%  
179 4% 93%  
180 6% 89% Last Result
181 8% 83%  
182 10% 74%  
183 11% 65%  
184 9% 54% Median
185 10% 45%  
186 7% 35%  
187 6% 28%  
188 7% 22%  
189 5% 15%  
190 3% 10%  
191 3% 7%  
192 2% 4%  
193 1.0% 2%  
194 0.6% 1.4%  
195 0.4% 0.8%  
196 0.3% 0.4%  
197 0.1% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0.1% 100%  
143 0.2% 99.9%  
144 0.4% 99.7%  
145 0.8% 99.3%  
146 2% 98.6%  
147 3% 97%  
148 4% 94%  
149 6% 90%  
150 7% 84%  
151 11% 77% Majority
152 12% 66%  
153 9% 54% Median
154 9% 44%  
155 8% 36%  
156 8% 28%  
157 7% 20%  
158 5% 13% Last Result
159 3% 7%  
160 2% 4%  
161 1.1% 3%  
162 0.6% 1.5%  
163 0.4% 0.9%  
164 0.3% 0.5%  
165 0.1% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.4% 99.7%  
76 0.6% 99.3%  
77 1.1% 98.8%  
78 2% 98%  
79 2% 96%  
80 3% 93%  
81 4% 90%  
82 5% 86%  
83 6% 81%  
84 6% 75%  
85 8% 69%  
86 8% 61%  
87 10% 53%  
88 10% 42%  
89 9% 33% Median
90 8% 24%  
91 6% 16%  
92 4% 10%  
93 3% 6%  
94 2% 3%  
95 0.8% 2% Last Result
96 0.4% 0.7%  
97 0.2% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.4% 99.8%  
72 0.8% 99.4%  
73 2% 98.6%  
74 3% 97%  
75 5% 94%  
76 8% 89%  
77 9% 81%  
78 11% 73%  
79 11% 62%  
80 12% 51% Median
81 11% 39%  
82 8% 27%  
83 7% 19%  
84 5% 12%  
85 3% 8%  
86 2% 4% Last Result
87 1.1% 2%  
88 0.6% 1.1%  
89 0.3% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations