Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 7–9 February 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 38.1% 36.2–40.1% 35.6–40.7% 35.1–41.2% 34.2–42.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.8% 28.0–31.7% 27.5–32.3% 27.0–32.7% 26.2–33.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.2% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.7–9.0% 5.3–9.6%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 155 149–162 148–163 146–165 144–168
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 77–88 76–90 74–91 72–94
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 31 27–34 26–35 25–36 24–39
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 17–23 17–24 16–25 15–27
Ελληνική Λύση 10 10 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–14
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 0 0–9 0–10 0–11 0–12

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.2% 99.7%  
144 0.4% 99.5%  
145 0.7% 99.1%  
146 1.1% 98%  
147 2% 97%  
148 2% 96%  
149 4% 93%  
150 4% 90%  
151 5% 86% Majority
152 6% 80%  
153 8% 74%  
154 8% 66%  
155 9% 58% Median
156 7% 49%  
157 8% 42%  
158 7% 33% Last Result
159 6% 26%  
160 6% 20%  
161 4% 14%  
162 4% 10%  
163 2% 7%  
164 2% 5%  
165 0.9% 3%  
166 0.8% 2%  
167 0.5% 1.1%  
168 0.3% 0.7%  
169 0.2% 0.4%  
170 0.1% 0.2%  
171 0.1% 0.1%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.4% 99.6%  
73 0.8% 99.2%  
74 1.1% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 3% 96%  
77 4% 92%  
78 6% 88%  
79 7% 83%  
80 7% 75%  
81 8% 69%  
82 10% 61%  
83 9% 50% Median
84 9% 41%  
85 9% 32%  
86 5% 23% Last Result
87 5% 18%  
88 4% 13%  
89 3% 9%  
90 2% 6%  
91 2% 4%  
92 0.9% 2%  
93 0.6% 1.4%  
94 0.3% 0.8%  
95 0.2% 0.4%  
96 0.1% 0.3%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100% Last Result
23 0.2% 99.9%  
24 0.7% 99.7%  
25 2% 99.0%  
26 4% 97%  
27 6% 93%  
28 10% 87%  
29 12% 77%  
30 14% 65%  
31 14% 51% Median
32 13% 37%  
33 9% 25%  
34 7% 16%  
35 4% 9%  
36 2% 5%  
37 1.3% 2%  
38 0.7% 1.2%  
39 0.3% 0.5%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0% 100%  
14 0.3% 99.9%  
15 1.1% 99.6% Last Result
16 3% 98.5%  
17 8% 95%  
18 11% 88%  
19 17% 77%  
20 17% 60% Median
21 15% 43%  
22 12% 28%  
23 8% 15%  
24 4% 8%  
25 2% 4%  
26 1.0% 2%  
27 0.4% 0.6%  
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100%  
1 0% 80%  
2 0% 80%  
3 0% 80%  
4 0% 80%  
5 0% 80%  
6 0% 80%  
7 0% 80%  
8 4% 80%  
9 25% 76%  
10 26% 51% Last Result, Median
11 13% 26%  
12 8% 12%  
13 4% 5%  
14 1.0% 1.3%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 68% 100% Median
1 0% 32%  
2 0% 32%  
3 0% 32%  
4 0% 32%  
5 0% 32%  
6 0% 32%  
7 0% 32%  
8 7% 32%  
9 15% 25% Last Result
10 7% 10%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.6% 0.7%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 186 99.9% 180–193 178–195 176–196 173–200
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 155 86% 149–162 148–163 146–165 144–168
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 85 0% 79–92 78–94 76–96 74–99
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 0% 77–88 76–90 74–91 72–94

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9% Majority
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0.2% 99.8%  
173 0.2% 99.6%  
174 0.4% 99.4%  
175 0.8% 99.0%  
176 1.0% 98%  
177 1.2% 97%  
178 3% 96%  
179 3% 93%  
180 4% 90% Last Result
181 5% 86%  
182 6% 81%  
183 5% 75%  
184 7% 71%  
185 8% 63%  
186 7% 55% Median
187 8% 47%  
188 8% 39%  
189 5% 31%  
190 5% 25%  
191 5% 20%  
192 4% 15%  
193 3% 11%  
194 2% 8%  
195 2% 6%  
196 1.5% 4%  
197 0.8% 2%  
198 0.6% 2%  
199 0.4% 0.9%  
200 0.2% 0.6%  
201 0.2% 0.3%  
202 0.1% 0.2%  
203 0.1% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.2% 99.7%  
144 0.4% 99.5%  
145 0.7% 99.1%  
146 1.1% 98%  
147 2% 97%  
148 2% 96%  
149 4% 93%  
150 4% 90%  
151 5% 86% Majority
152 6% 80%  
153 8% 74%  
154 8% 66%  
155 9% 58% Median
156 7% 49%  
157 8% 42%  
158 7% 33% Last Result
159 6% 26%  
160 6% 20%  
161 4% 14%  
162 4% 10%  
163 2% 7%  
164 2% 5%  
165 0.9% 3%  
166 0.8% 2%  
167 0.5% 1.1%  
168 0.3% 0.7%  
169 0.2% 0.4%  
170 0.1% 0.2%  
171 0.1% 0.1%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 0.4% 99.5%  
75 0.7% 99.2%  
76 1.5% 98.5%  
77 2% 97%  
78 3% 95%  
79 4% 92%  
80 4% 88%  
81 5% 84%  
82 8% 78%  
83 7% 71% Median
84 8% 64%  
85 9% 56%  
86 6% 47%  
87 7% 41%  
88 7% 35%  
89 5% 28%  
90 5% 23%  
91 5% 18%  
92 3% 13%  
93 3% 10%  
94 2% 7%  
95 1.4% 5% Last Result
96 1.2% 3%  
97 0.7% 2%  
98 0.5% 1.2%  
99 0.3% 0.8%  
100 0.2% 0.4%  
101 0.1% 0.3%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.4% 99.6%  
73 0.8% 99.2%  
74 1.1% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 3% 96%  
77 4% 92%  
78 6% 88%  
79 7% 83%  
80 7% 75%  
81 8% 69%  
82 10% 61%  
83 9% 50% Median
84 9% 41%  
85 9% 32%  
86 5% 23% Last Result
87 5% 18%  
88 4% 13%  
89 3% 9%  
90 2% 6%  
91 2% 4%  
92 0.9% 2%  
93 0.6% 1.4%  
94 0.3% 0.8%  
95 0.2% 0.4%  
96 0.1% 0.3%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations