Opinion Poll by Alco for Alpha TV, 13–17 February 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.6% 34.6–38.5% 34.1–39.1% 33.6–39.6% 32.7–40.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.7% 26.9–30.6% 26.4–31.1% 26.0–31.6% 25.1–32.5%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 11.2% 10.0–12.6% 9.7–13.0% 9.4–13.3% 8.8–14.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–9.0%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 1.9–4.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 152 146–158 145–160 143–161 141–164
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 75–86 73–87 72–88 70–91
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 31 28–35 27–36 26–37 25–39
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 16–22 15–23 15–23 14–25
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 10–14 9–15 9–16 0–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.8%  
140 0.2% 99.7%  
141 0.4% 99.5%  
142 0.8% 99.2%  
143 1.2% 98%  
144 2% 97%  
145 3% 95%  
146 4% 93%  
147 5% 89%  
148 6% 84%  
149 8% 78%  
150 8% 70%  
151 8% 62% Majority
152 8% 54% Median
153 8% 45%  
154 8% 37%  
155 7% 29%  
156 6% 22%  
157 5% 16%  
158 4% 11% Last Result
159 2% 7%  
160 2% 5%  
161 1.2% 3%  
162 0.9% 2%  
163 0.5% 1.2%  
164 0.3% 0.7%  
165 0.2% 0.4%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.5% 99.6%  
71 0.8% 99.1%  
72 1.4% 98%  
73 2% 97%  
74 3% 95%  
75 5% 91%  
76 7% 86%  
77 7% 80%  
78 9% 73%  
79 9% 64%  
80 9% 55% Median
81 9% 46%  
82 9% 37%  
83 7% 28%  
84 6% 21%  
85 5% 15%  
86 4% 10% Last Result
87 3% 6%  
88 2% 4%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 0.5% 1.3%  
91 0.3% 0.7%  
92 0.2% 0.5%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.9%  
25 0.9% 99.6%  
26 2% 98.7%  
27 4% 97%  
28 7% 92%  
29 10% 85%  
30 13% 75%  
31 15% 62% Median
32 13% 46%  
33 11% 33%  
34 9% 22%  
35 6% 13%  
36 3% 7%  
37 2% 4%  
38 0.9% 2%  
39 0.5% 0.9%  
40 0.2% 0.3%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.3% 99.9%  
14 1.4% 99.6%  
15 4% 98% Last Result
16 8% 94%  
17 14% 86%  
18 17% 73%  
19 18% 55% Median
20 14% 37%  
21 11% 23%  
22 6% 12%  
23 3% 6%  
24 1.5% 2%  
25 0.6% 0.9%  
26 0.2% 0.3%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100%  
1 0% 98.6%  
2 0% 98.6%  
3 0% 98.6%  
4 0% 98.6%  
5 0% 98.6%  
6 0% 98.6%  
7 0% 98.6%  
8 0.4% 98.6%  
9 5% 98%  
10 13% 93% Last Result
11 21% 80%  
12 26% 59% Median
13 16% 33%  
14 9% 17%  
15 5% 8%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.6% 0.9%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 40% 100%  
1 0% 60%  
2 0% 60%  
3 0% 60%  
4 0% 60%  
5 0% 60%  
6 0% 60%  
7 0% 60%  
8 4% 60%  
9 26% 56% Last Result, Median
10 17% 30%  
11 8% 13%  
12 3% 5%  
13 1.0% 1.3%  
14 0.2% 0.3%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 183 99.9% 177–190 176–192 174–193 171–196
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 152 62% 146–158 145–160 143–161 141–164
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 86 0% 79–92 78–94 76–95 73–98
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 0% 75–86 73–87 72–88 70–91

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9% Majority
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0.1% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.8%  
171 0.3% 99.7%  
172 0.4% 99.4%  
173 1.0% 99.0%  
174 1.1% 98%  
175 2% 97%  
176 3% 95%  
177 3% 93%  
178 5% 89%  
179 5% 85%  
180 7% 80% Last Result
181 8% 73%  
182 8% 65%  
183 8% 57% Median
184 8% 48%  
185 8% 40%  
186 7% 32%  
187 7% 26%  
188 4% 19%  
189 4% 14%  
190 3% 10%  
191 2% 7%  
192 2% 5%  
193 1.2% 3%  
194 0.8% 2%  
195 0.6% 1.4%  
196 0.4% 0.8%  
197 0.2% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.8%  
140 0.2% 99.7%  
141 0.4% 99.5%  
142 0.8% 99.2%  
143 1.2% 98%  
144 2% 97%  
145 3% 95%  
146 4% 93%  
147 5% 89%  
148 6% 84%  
149 8% 78%  
150 8% 70%  
151 8% 62% Majority
152 8% 54% Median
153 8% 45%  
154 8% 37%  
155 7% 29%  
156 6% 22%  
157 5% 16%  
158 4% 11% Last Result
159 2% 7%  
160 2% 5%  
161 1.2% 3%  
162 0.9% 2%  
163 0.5% 1.2%  
164 0.3% 0.7%  
165 0.2% 0.4%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.3% 99.7%  
74 0.6% 99.3%  
75 0.9% 98.7%  
76 1.3% 98%  
77 2% 97%  
78 2% 95%  
79 3% 93%  
80 4% 89%  
81 4% 86%  
82 6% 81%  
83 6% 75%  
84 7% 69%  
85 7% 62%  
86 8% 55%  
87 8% 47%  
88 7% 38%  
89 7% 31% Median
90 7% 25%  
91 4% 17%  
92 4% 13%  
93 3% 9%  
94 2% 6%  
95 2% 4% Last Result
96 0.9% 2%  
97 0.7% 1.5%  
98 0.4% 0.8%  
99 0.2% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.5% 99.6%  
71 0.8% 99.1%  
72 1.4% 98%  
73 2% 97%  
74 3% 95%  
75 5% 91%  
76 7% 86%  
77 7% 80%  
78 9% 73%  
79 9% 64%  
80 9% 55% Median
81 9% 46%  
82 9% 37%  
83 7% 28%  
84 6% 21%  
85 5% 15%  
86 4% 10% Last Result
87 3% 6%  
88 2% 4%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 0.5% 1.3%  
91 0.3% 0.7%  
92 0.2% 0.5%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations