Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 16–20 February 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.6% 35.0–38.2% 34.6–38.7% 34.2–39.1% 33.5–39.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.2% 27.7–30.7% 27.3–31.1% 26.9–31.5% 26.2–32.3%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 11.0% 10.0–12.1% 9.8–12.5% 9.5–12.7% 9.1–13.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.5% 4.8–6.4% 4.6–6.6% 4.5–6.8% 4.2–7.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.9% 4.3–5.7% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.1% 3.6–6.5%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.7% 3.2–4.4% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.6–5.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 151 146–155 145–156 144–157 142–160
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 76–84 75–86 74–87 72–89
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 30 28–33 27–34 26–35 25–36
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 13–17 13–18 12–19 11–20
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–16 11–16 11–17 10–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 9–12 0–13 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.2% 99.9%  
142 0.5% 99.6%  
143 1.0% 99.1%  
144 2% 98%  
145 3% 96%  
146 5% 93%  
147 7% 88%  
148 9% 82%  
149 10% 72%  
150 11% 62%  
151 12% 50% Median, Majority
152 10% 38%  
153 9% 28%  
154 7% 19%  
155 5% 12%  
156 4% 8%  
157 2% 4%  
158 1.1% 2% Last Result
159 0.6% 1.3%  
160 0.3% 0.7%  
161 0.2% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.5% 99.7%  
73 1.0% 99.2%  
74 2% 98%  
75 4% 96%  
76 6% 93%  
77 8% 87%  
78 10% 79%  
79 12% 69%  
80 12% 57% Median
81 13% 45%  
82 10% 33%  
83 8% 23%  
84 6% 15%  
85 4% 9%  
86 2% 5% Last Result
87 1.4% 3%  
88 0.8% 1.4%  
89 0.3% 0.6%  
90 0.2% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0.2% 100%  
25 0.8% 99.7%  
26 2% 98.9%  
27 6% 97%  
28 10% 91%  
29 15% 80%  
30 17% 65% Median
31 17% 48%  
32 13% 31%  
33 10% 18%  
34 5% 8%  
35 2% 4%  
36 0.9% 1.4%  
37 0.3% 0.5%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.4%  
13 10% 97%  
14 19% 86%  
15 25% 68% Last Result, Median
16 20% 43%  
17 14% 22%  
18 6% 9%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.6% 0.8%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 1.2% 99.8% Last Result
11 6% 98.7%  
12 16% 93%  
13 23% 76%  
14 25% 54% Median
15 17% 29%  
16 7% 11%  
17 3% 4%  
18 0.9% 1.1%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 0% 95%  
8 3% 95%  
9 19% 92% Last Result
10 28% 73% Median
11 24% 45%  
12 14% 21%  
13 5% 7%  
14 1.3% 2%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 181 100% 177–186 175–187 174–188 172–191
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 151 50% 146–155 145–156 144–157 142–160
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 90 0% 86–95 84–96 82–97 79–99
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 0% 76–84 75–86 74–87 72–89

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
169 0% 100%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.2% 99.9%  
172 0.4% 99.6%  
173 0.8% 99.2%  
174 2% 98%  
175 3% 97%  
176 4% 94%  
177 7% 90%  
178 8% 83%  
179 9% 75%  
180 11% 66% Last Result
181 12% 55% Median
182 11% 43%  
183 9% 32%  
184 7% 23%  
185 6% 17%  
186 5% 10%  
187 2% 6%  
188 2% 4%  
189 1.1% 2%  
190 0.5% 1.3%  
191 0.3% 0.8%  
192 0.3% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0.1% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.2% 99.9%  
142 0.5% 99.6%  
143 1.0% 99.1%  
144 2% 98%  
145 3% 96%  
146 5% 93%  
147 7% 88%  
148 9% 82%  
149 10% 72%  
150 11% 62%  
151 12% 50% Median, Majority
152 10% 38%  
153 9% 28%  
154 7% 19%  
155 5% 12%  
156 4% 8%  
157 2% 4%  
158 1.1% 2% Last Result
159 0.6% 1.3%  
160 0.3% 0.7%  
161 0.2% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0.3% 99.7%  
80 0.4% 99.4%  
81 0.7% 99.0%  
82 0.9% 98%  
83 1.3% 97%  
84 2% 96%  
85 3% 93%  
86 6% 90%  
87 7% 85%  
88 9% 78%  
89 10% 69%  
90 11% 58% Median
91 13% 48%  
92 10% 35%  
93 9% 25%  
94 6% 17%  
95 4% 10% Last Result
96 3% 6%  
97 2% 3%  
98 0.8% 2%  
99 0.4% 0.7%  
100 0.2% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.5% 99.7%  
73 1.0% 99.2%  
74 2% 98%  
75 4% 96%  
76 6% 93%  
77 8% 87%  
78 10% 79%  
79 12% 69%  
80 12% 57% Median
81 13% 45%  
82 10% 33%  
83 8% 23%  
84 6% 15%  
85 4% 9%  
86 2% 5% Last Result
87 1.4% 3%  
88 0.8% 1.4%  
89 0.3% 0.6%  
90 0.2% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations