Opinion Poll by Marc for ANT1, 4–7 March 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 34.7% 33.0–36.5% 32.5–37.0% 32.1–37.4% 31.3–38.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.3% 27.7–31.0% 27.3–31.5% 26.9–31.9% 26.1–32.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 11.4% 10.3–12.6% 10.0–13.0% 9.7–13.3% 9.2–13.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.6% 5.8–7.6% 5.5–7.9% 5.3–8.1% 5.0–8.6%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.6% 3.9–5.5% 3.7–5.7% 3.6–5.9% 3.3–6.4%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.1% 3.5–4.9% 3.3–5.2% 3.1–5.4% 2.9–5.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 145 141–150 140–151 138–153 87–155
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 81 76–85 75–87 74–88 72–139
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 31 28–35 27–36 27–36 25–38
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 16–21 15–22 15–22 14–24
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 11–15 10–16 10–16 9–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 10–14 9–14 9–15 0–16

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.2% 99.8%  
87 0.2% 99.7%  
88 0.2% 99.5%  
89 0.1% 99.3%  
90 0.1% 99.2%  
91 0% 99.1%  
92 0% 99.1%  
93 0% 99.1%  
94 0% 99.1%  
95 0% 99.1%  
96 0% 99.1%  
97 0% 99.1%  
98 0% 99.1%  
99 0% 99.1%  
100 0% 99.1%  
101 0% 99.1%  
102 0% 99.1%  
103 0% 99.1%  
104 0% 99.1%  
105 0% 99.1%  
106 0% 99.1%  
107 0% 99.1%  
108 0% 99.1%  
109 0% 99.1%  
110 0% 99.1%  
111 0% 99.1%  
112 0% 99.1%  
113 0% 99.1%  
114 0% 99.1%  
115 0% 99.1%  
116 0% 99.1%  
117 0% 99.1%  
118 0% 99.1%  
119 0% 99.1%  
120 0% 99.1%  
121 0% 99.1%  
122 0% 99.1%  
123 0% 99.1%  
124 0% 99.1%  
125 0% 99.1%  
126 0% 99.1%  
127 0% 99.1%  
128 0% 99.1%  
129 0% 99.1%  
130 0% 99.1%  
131 0% 99.1%  
132 0% 99.1%  
133 0% 99.1%  
134 0% 99.1%  
135 0.1% 99.1%  
136 0.2% 99.0%  
137 0.5% 98.8%  
138 1.1% 98%  
139 2% 97%  
140 4% 95%  
141 5% 91%  
142 7% 86%  
143 9% 79%  
144 10% 70%  
145 10% 60% Median
146 11% 49%  
147 11% 39%  
148 8% 28%  
149 7% 20%  
150 5% 13%  
151 4% 8% Majority
152 2% 5%  
153 1.3% 3%  
154 0.7% 1.5%  
155 0.4% 0.8%  
156 0.2% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1% Last Result
159 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.5% 99.6%  
73 1.0% 99.1%  
74 2% 98%  
75 3% 96%  
76 4% 93%  
77 7% 89%  
78 9% 82%  
79 11% 73%  
80 11% 62%  
81 12% 51% Median
82 10% 39%  
83 9% 30%  
84 7% 21%  
85 6% 14%  
86 4% 9% Last Result
87 2% 5%  
88 1.0% 3%  
89 0.5% 2%  
90 0.1% 1.2%  
91 0.1% 1.1%  
92 0% 1.0%  
93 0% 0.9%  
94 0% 0.9%  
95 0% 0.9%  
96 0% 0.9%  
97 0% 0.9%  
98 0% 0.9%  
99 0% 0.9%  
100 0% 0.9%  
101 0% 0.9%  
102 0% 0.9%  
103 0% 0.9%  
104 0% 0.9%  
105 0% 0.9%  
106 0% 0.9%  
107 0% 0.9%  
108 0% 0.9%  
109 0% 0.9%  
110 0% 0.9%  
111 0% 0.9%  
112 0% 0.9%  
113 0% 0.9%  
114 0% 0.9%  
115 0% 0.9%  
116 0% 0.9%  
117 0% 0.9%  
118 0% 0.9%  
119 0% 0.9%  
120 0% 0.9%  
121 0% 0.9%  
122 0% 0.9%  
123 0% 0.9%  
124 0% 0.9%  
125 0% 0.9%  
126 0% 0.9%  
127 0% 0.9%  
128 0% 0.9%  
129 0% 0.9%  
130 0% 0.9%  
131 0% 0.9%  
132 0% 0.9%  
133 0% 0.9%  
134 0% 0.9%  
135 0% 0.9%  
136 0% 0.9%  
137 0.1% 0.9%  
138 0.2% 0.7%  
139 0.2% 0.6%  
140 0.2% 0.4%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0.1% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.4% 99.8%  
26 1.3% 99.4%  
27 3% 98%  
28 7% 95%  
29 10% 88%  
30 14% 78%  
31 17% 63% Median
32 14% 46%  
33 12% 32%  
34 9% 20%  
35 5% 10%  
36 3% 5%  
37 1.4% 2%  
38 0.6% 0.8%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.3% 100%  
14 1.5% 99.7%  
15 5% 98% Last Result
16 10% 93%  
17 18% 83%  
18 20% 66% Median
19 20% 46%  
20 12% 26%  
21 8% 14%  
22 3% 5%  
23 1.4% 2%  
24 0.5% 0.6%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0.1% 99.9%  
9 1.3% 99.8%  
10 6% 98.5% Last Result
11 14% 93%  
12 22% 78%  
13 23% 56% Median
14 17% 33%  
15 10% 15%  
16 4% 6%  
17 1.3% 2%  
18 0.3% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.2% 100%  
1 0% 98.8%  
2 0% 98.8%  
3 0% 98.8%  
4 0% 98.8%  
5 0% 98.8%  
6 0% 98.8%  
7 0% 98.8%  
8 0.8% 98.8%  
9 8% 98% Last Result
10 18% 90%  
11 26% 73% Median
12 22% 47%  
13 15% 25%  
14 7% 10%  
15 3% 3%  
16 0.7% 0.8%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 177 99.1% 172–182 171–183 169–184 119–187
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 145 8% 141–150 140–151 138–153 87–155
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 92 0.6% 88–97 86–98 85–99 82–151
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 81 0% 76–85 75–87 74–88 72–139

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
115 0% 100%  
116 0.1% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.8%  
118 0.1% 99.7%  
119 0.3% 99.6%  
120 0.1% 99.3%  
121 0% 99.2%  
122 0.1% 99.2%  
123 0% 99.1%  
124 0% 99.1%  
125 0% 99.1%  
126 0% 99.1%  
127 0% 99.1%  
128 0% 99.1%  
129 0% 99.1%  
130 0% 99.1%  
131 0% 99.1%  
132 0% 99.1%  
133 0% 99.1%  
134 0% 99.1%  
135 0% 99.1%  
136 0% 99.1%  
137 0% 99.1%  
138 0% 99.1%  
139 0% 99.1%  
140 0% 99.1%  
141 0% 99.1%  
142 0% 99.1%  
143 0% 99.1%  
144 0% 99.1%  
145 0% 99.1%  
146 0% 99.1%  
147 0% 99.1%  
148 0% 99.1%  
149 0% 99.1%  
150 0% 99.1%  
151 0% 99.1% Majority
152 0% 99.1%  
153 0% 99.1%  
154 0% 99.1%  
155 0% 99.1%  
156 0% 99.1%  
157 0% 99.1%  
158 0% 99.1%  
159 0% 99.1%  
160 0% 99.1%  
161 0% 99.1%  
162 0% 99.1%  
163 0% 99.1%  
164 0% 99.1%  
165 0% 99.1%  
166 0.1% 99.0%  
167 0.3% 99.0%  
168 0.4% 98.7%  
169 1.1% 98%  
170 2% 97%  
171 3% 96%  
172 5% 93%  
173 7% 87%  
174 7% 80%  
175 10% 73%  
176 10% 63% Median
177 9% 53%  
178 12% 44%  
179 8% 32%  
180 6% 23% Last Result
181 7% 17%  
182 4% 10%  
183 2% 6%  
184 2% 4%  
185 0.8% 2%  
186 0.5% 1.3%  
187 0.4% 0.7%  
188 0.2% 0.4%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.2% 99.8%  
87 0.2% 99.7%  
88 0.2% 99.5%  
89 0.1% 99.3%  
90 0.1% 99.2%  
91 0% 99.1%  
92 0% 99.1%  
93 0% 99.1%  
94 0% 99.1%  
95 0% 99.1%  
96 0% 99.1%  
97 0% 99.1%  
98 0% 99.1%  
99 0% 99.1%  
100 0% 99.1%  
101 0% 99.1%  
102 0% 99.1%  
103 0% 99.1%  
104 0% 99.1%  
105 0% 99.1%  
106 0% 99.1%  
107 0% 99.1%  
108 0% 99.1%  
109 0% 99.1%  
110 0% 99.1%  
111 0% 99.1%  
112 0% 99.1%  
113 0% 99.1%  
114 0% 99.1%  
115 0% 99.1%  
116 0% 99.1%  
117 0% 99.1%  
118 0% 99.1%  
119 0% 99.1%  
120 0% 99.1%  
121 0% 99.1%  
122 0% 99.1%  
123 0% 99.1%  
124 0% 99.1%  
125 0% 99.1%  
126 0% 99.1%  
127 0% 99.1%  
128 0% 99.1%  
129 0% 99.1%  
130 0% 99.1%  
131 0% 99.1%  
132 0% 99.1%  
133 0% 99.1%  
134 0% 99.1%  
135 0.1% 99.1%  
136 0.2% 99.0%  
137 0.5% 98.8%  
138 1.1% 98%  
139 2% 97%  
140 4% 95%  
141 5% 91%  
142 7% 86%  
143 9% 79%  
144 10% 70%  
145 10% 60% Median
146 11% 49%  
147 11% 39%  
148 8% 28%  
149 7% 20%  
150 5% 13%  
151 4% 8% Majority
152 2% 5%  
153 1.3% 3%  
154 0.7% 1.5%  
155 0.4% 0.8%  
156 0.2% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1% Last Result
159 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.2% 99.8%  
82 0.2% 99.6%  
83 0.5% 99.4%  
84 1.3% 98.8%  
85 2% 98%  
86 2% 96%  
87 3% 94%  
88 5% 91%  
89 10% 86%  
90 13% 76%  
91 12% 63%  
92 8% 51% Median
93 6% 43%  
94 9% 37%  
95 10% 28% Last Result
96 9% 19%  
97 5% 10%  
98 2% 5%  
99 0.9% 3%  
100 0.8% 2%  
101 0.5% 2%  
102 0.2% 1.2%  
103 0.1% 1.0%  
104 0% 0.9%  
105 0% 0.9%  
106 0% 0.9%  
107 0% 0.9%  
108 0% 0.9%  
109 0% 0.9%  
110 0% 0.9%  
111 0% 0.9%  
112 0% 0.9%  
113 0% 0.9%  
114 0% 0.9%  
115 0% 0.9%  
116 0% 0.9%  
117 0% 0.9%  
118 0% 0.9%  
119 0% 0.9%  
120 0% 0.9%  
121 0% 0.9%  
122 0% 0.9%  
123 0% 0.9%  
124 0% 0.9%  
125 0% 0.9%  
126 0% 0.9%  
127 0% 0.9%  
128 0% 0.9%  
129 0% 0.9%  
130 0% 0.9%  
131 0% 0.9%  
132 0% 0.9%  
133 0% 0.9%  
134 0% 0.9%  
135 0% 0.9%  
136 0% 0.9%  
137 0% 0.9%  
138 0% 0.9%  
139 0% 0.9%  
140 0% 0.9%  
141 0% 0.9%  
142 0% 0.9%  
143 0% 0.9%  
144 0% 0.9%  
145 0% 0.9%  
146 0% 0.9%  
147 0% 0.9%  
148 0.1% 0.9%  
149 0.1% 0.8%  
150 0.2% 0.7%  
151 0.3% 0.6% Majority
152 0.2% 0.3%  
153 0.1% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.5% 99.6%  
73 1.0% 99.1%  
74 2% 98%  
75 3% 96%  
76 4% 93%  
77 7% 89%  
78 9% 82%  
79 11% 73%  
80 11% 62%  
81 12% 51% Median
82 10% 39%  
83 9% 30%  
84 7% 21%  
85 6% 14%  
86 4% 9% Last Result
87 2% 5%  
88 1.0% 3%  
89 0.5% 2%  
90 0.1% 1.2%  
91 0.1% 1.1%  
92 0% 1.0%  
93 0% 0.9%  
94 0% 0.9%  
95 0% 0.9%  
96 0% 0.9%  
97 0% 0.9%  
98 0% 0.9%  
99 0% 0.9%  
100 0% 0.9%  
101 0% 0.9%  
102 0% 0.9%  
103 0% 0.9%  
104 0% 0.9%  
105 0% 0.9%  
106 0% 0.9%  
107 0% 0.9%  
108 0% 0.9%  
109 0% 0.9%  
110 0% 0.9%  
111 0% 0.9%  
112 0% 0.9%  
113 0% 0.9%  
114 0% 0.9%  
115 0% 0.9%  
116 0% 0.9%  
117 0% 0.9%  
118 0% 0.9%  
119 0% 0.9%  
120 0% 0.9%  
121 0% 0.9%  
122 0% 0.9%  
123 0% 0.9%  
124 0% 0.9%  
125 0% 0.9%  
126 0% 0.9%  
127 0% 0.9%  
128 0% 0.9%  
129 0% 0.9%  
130 0% 0.9%  
131 0% 0.9%  
132 0% 0.9%  
133 0% 0.9%  
134 0% 0.9%  
135 0% 0.9%  
136 0% 0.9%  
137 0.1% 0.9%  
138 0.2% 0.7%  
139 0.2% 0.6%  
140 0.2% 0.4%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0.1% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations