Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 6–9 March 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 33.7% 32.1–35.4% 31.6–35.9% 31.2–36.3% 30.4–37.2%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.4% 27.8–31.1% 27.4–31.6% 27.0–32.0% 26.3–32.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 10.8% 9.8–12.0% 9.5–12.3% 9.2–12.6% 8.7–13.2%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.6% 5.8–7.6% 5.5–7.8% 5.4–8.1% 5.0–8.6%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.1% 4.4–6.0% 4.2–6.3% 4.1–6.5% 3.7–6.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.2% 3.6–5.0% 3.4–5.3% 3.2–5.5% 3.0–5.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 143 139–148 138–149 90–151 85–153
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 82 77–86 76–88 75–135 73–140
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 30 27–33 26–34 26–35 24–37
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 16–21 15–22 15–22 14–24
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–17 12–17 11–18 10–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 12 10–14 9–15 9–15 0–16

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 0.4% 99.6%  
86 0.5% 99.2%  
87 0.5% 98.7%  
88 0.4% 98%  
89 0.2% 98%  
90 0.1% 98%  
91 0% 97%  
92 0% 97%  
93 0% 97%  
94 0% 97%  
95 0% 97%  
96 0% 97%  
97 0% 97%  
98 0% 97%  
99 0% 97%  
100 0% 97%  
101 0% 97%  
102 0% 97%  
103 0% 97%  
104 0% 97%  
105 0% 97%  
106 0% 97%  
107 0% 97%  
108 0% 97%  
109 0% 97%  
110 0% 97%  
111 0% 97%  
112 0% 97%  
113 0% 97%  
114 0% 97%  
115 0% 97%  
116 0% 97%  
117 0% 97%  
118 0% 97%  
119 0% 97%  
120 0% 97%  
121 0% 97%  
122 0% 97%  
123 0% 97%  
124 0% 97%  
125 0% 97%  
126 0% 97%  
127 0% 97%  
128 0% 97%  
129 0% 97%  
130 0% 97%  
131 0% 97%  
132 0% 97%  
133 0% 97%  
134 0.1% 97%  
135 0.2% 97%  
136 0.7% 97%  
137 1.4% 97%  
138 3% 95%  
139 4% 92%  
140 7% 88%  
141 9% 81%  
142 11% 71%  
143 11% 60% Median
144 11% 49%  
145 10% 38%  
146 9% 28%  
147 7% 20%  
148 5% 13%  
149 3% 8%  
150 2% 5%  
151 1.2% 3% Majority
152 0.7% 1.4%  
153 0.4% 0.7%  
154 0.2% 0.3%  
155 0.1% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.5% 99.7%  
74 0.9% 99.2%  
75 2% 98%  
76 3% 96%  
77 5% 94%  
78 6% 89%  
79 8% 82%  
80 12% 74%  
81 10% 63%  
82 11% 53% Median
83 12% 42%  
84 9% 29%  
85 7% 20%  
86 5% 13% Last Result
87 3% 8%  
88 1.4% 5%  
89 0.8% 4%  
90 0.2% 3%  
91 0.1% 3%  
92 0% 3%  
93 0% 3%  
94 0% 3%  
95 0% 3%  
96 0% 3%  
97 0% 3%  
98 0% 3%  
99 0% 3%  
100 0% 3%  
101 0% 3%  
102 0% 3%  
103 0% 3%  
104 0% 3%  
105 0% 3%  
106 0% 3%  
107 0% 3%  
108 0% 3%  
109 0% 3%  
110 0% 3%  
111 0% 3%  
112 0% 3%  
113 0% 3%  
114 0% 3%  
115 0% 3%  
116 0% 3%  
117 0% 3%  
118 0% 3%  
119 0% 3%  
120 0% 3%  
121 0% 3%  
122 0% 3%  
123 0% 3%  
124 0% 3%  
125 0% 3%  
126 0% 3%  
127 0% 3%  
128 0% 3%  
129 0% 3%  
130 0% 3%  
131 0% 3%  
132 0% 3%  
133 0% 3%  
134 0% 3%  
135 0.1% 3%  
136 0.2% 2%  
137 0.4% 2%  
138 0.5% 2%  
139 0.6% 1.3%  
140 0.3% 0.8%  
141 0.2% 0.5%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0.1% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.5% 99.8%  
25 2% 99.4%  
26 4% 98%  
27 7% 94%  
28 11% 87%  
29 16% 76%  
30 17% 60% Median
31 16% 43%  
32 12% 28%  
33 7% 15%  
34 4% 8%  
35 2% 3%  
36 0.9% 1.5%  
37 0.4% 0.5%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 1.1% 99.8%  
15 4% 98.6% Last Result
16 10% 95%  
17 16% 84%  
18 20% 68% Median
19 20% 49%  
20 14% 28%  
21 8% 14%  
22 4% 6%  
23 1.4% 2%  
24 0.5% 0.7%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.6% 99.9% Last Result
11 3% 99.3%  
12 9% 96%  
13 18% 87%  
14 23% 69% Median
15 21% 46%  
16 14% 25%  
17 7% 11%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.9% 1.2%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100%  
1 0% 99.4%  
2 0% 99.4%  
3 0% 99.4%  
4 0% 99.4%  
5 0% 99.4%  
6 0% 99.4%  
7 0% 99.4%  
8 0.3% 99.4%  
9 5% 99.1% Last Result
10 14% 94%  
11 23% 81%  
12 25% 58% Median
13 18% 33%  
14 9% 15%  
15 4% 5%  
16 1.1% 1.4%  
17 0.3% 0.3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 174 97% 169–178 167–180 121–181 115–183
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 143 3% 139–148 138–149 90–151 85–153
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 94 1.2% 89–98 88–100 86–146 84–152
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 82 0% 77–86 76–88 75–135 73–140

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
112 0.1% 100%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.3% 99.8%  
115 0.3% 99.5%  
116 0.4% 99.2%  
117 0.3% 98.8%  
118 0.3% 98%  
119 0.4% 98%  
120 0.2% 98%  
121 0.1% 98%  
122 0% 97%  
123 0% 97%  
124 0% 97%  
125 0% 97%  
126 0% 97%  
127 0% 97%  
128 0% 97%  
129 0% 97%  
130 0% 97%  
131 0% 97%  
132 0% 97%  
133 0% 97%  
134 0% 97%  
135 0% 97%  
136 0% 97%  
137 0% 97%  
138 0% 97%  
139 0% 97%  
140 0% 97%  
141 0% 97%  
142 0% 97%  
143 0% 97%  
144 0% 97%  
145 0% 97%  
146 0% 97%  
147 0% 97%  
148 0% 97%  
149 0% 97%  
150 0% 97%  
151 0% 97% Majority
152 0% 97%  
153 0% 97%  
154 0% 97%  
155 0% 97%  
156 0% 97%  
157 0% 97%  
158 0% 97%  
159 0% 97%  
160 0% 97%  
161 0% 97%  
162 0% 97%  
163 0% 97%  
164 0.1% 97%  
165 0.5% 97%  
166 1.0% 97%  
167 2% 96%  
168 2% 94%  
169 4% 92%  
170 7% 88%  
171 9% 80%  
172 10% 71%  
173 12% 62% Median
174 9% 50%  
175 10% 41%  
176 8% 31%  
177 8% 23%  
178 5% 14%  
179 4% 9%  
180 2% 5% Last Result
181 1.4% 3%  
182 0.9% 2%  
183 0.5% 0.9%  
184 0.2% 0.4%  
185 0.1% 0.2%  
186 0.1% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 0.4% 99.6%  
86 0.5% 99.2%  
87 0.5% 98.7%  
88 0.4% 98%  
89 0.2% 98%  
90 0.1% 98%  
91 0% 97%  
92 0% 97%  
93 0% 97%  
94 0% 97%  
95 0% 97%  
96 0% 97%  
97 0% 97%  
98 0% 97%  
99 0% 97%  
100 0% 97%  
101 0% 97%  
102 0% 97%  
103 0% 97%  
104 0% 97%  
105 0% 97%  
106 0% 97%  
107 0% 97%  
108 0% 97%  
109 0% 97%  
110 0% 97%  
111 0% 97%  
112 0% 97%  
113 0% 97%  
114 0% 97%  
115 0% 97%  
116 0% 97%  
117 0% 97%  
118 0% 97%  
119 0% 97%  
120 0% 97%  
121 0% 97%  
122 0% 97%  
123 0% 97%  
124 0% 97%  
125 0% 97%  
126 0% 97%  
127 0% 97%  
128 0% 97%  
129 0% 97%  
130 0% 97%  
131 0% 97%  
132 0% 97%  
133 0% 97%  
134 0.1% 97%  
135 0.2% 97%  
136 0.7% 97%  
137 1.4% 97%  
138 3% 95%  
139 4% 92%  
140 7% 88%  
141 9% 81%  
142 11% 71%  
143 11% 60% Median
144 11% 49%  
145 10% 38%  
146 9% 28%  
147 7% 20%  
148 5% 13%  
149 3% 8%  
150 2% 5%  
151 1.2% 3% Majority
152 0.7% 1.4%  
153 0.4% 0.7%  
154 0.2% 0.3%  
155 0.1% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.8%  
84 0.3% 99.6%  
85 0.7% 99.3%  
86 1.2% 98.6%  
87 2% 97%  
88 3% 95%  
89 5% 92%  
90 7% 87%  
91 9% 80%  
92 9% 71%  
93 11% 62%  
94 10% 51% Median
95 12% 40% Last Result
96 9% 29%  
97 7% 20%  
98 5% 13%  
99 3% 8%  
100 2% 5%  
101 0.7% 4%  
102 0.4% 3%  
103 0.1% 3%  
104 0% 3%  
105 0% 3%  
106 0% 3%  
107 0% 3%  
108 0% 3%  
109 0% 3%  
110 0% 3%  
111 0% 3%  
112 0% 3%  
113 0% 3%  
114 0% 3%  
115 0% 3%  
116 0% 3%  
117 0% 3%  
118 0% 3%  
119 0% 3%  
120 0% 3%  
121 0% 3%  
122 0% 3%  
123 0% 3%  
124 0% 3%  
125 0% 3%  
126 0% 3%  
127 0% 3%  
128 0% 3%  
129 0% 3%  
130 0% 3%  
131 0% 3%  
132 0% 3%  
133 0% 3%  
134 0% 3%  
135 0% 3%  
136 0% 3%  
137 0% 3%  
138 0% 3%  
139 0% 3%  
140 0% 3%  
141 0% 3%  
142 0% 3%  
143 0% 3%  
144 0% 3%  
145 0% 3%  
146 0% 3%  
147 0.1% 2%  
148 0.3% 2%  
149 0.4% 2%  
150 0.4% 2%  
151 0.5% 1.2% Majority
152 0.3% 0.7%  
153 0.2% 0.4%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0.1% 0.1%  
156 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.5% 99.7%  
74 0.9% 99.2%  
75 2% 98%  
76 3% 96%  
77 5% 94%  
78 6% 89%  
79 8% 82%  
80 12% 74%  
81 10% 63%  
82 11% 53% Median
83 12% 42%  
84 9% 29%  
85 7% 20%  
86 5% 13% Last Result
87 3% 8%  
88 1.4% 5%  
89 0.8% 4%  
90 0.2% 3%  
91 0.1% 3%  
92 0% 3%  
93 0% 3%  
94 0% 3%  
95 0% 3%  
96 0% 3%  
97 0% 3%  
98 0% 3%  
99 0% 3%  
100 0% 3%  
101 0% 3%  
102 0% 3%  
103 0% 3%  
104 0% 3%  
105 0% 3%  
106 0% 3%  
107 0% 3%  
108 0% 3%  
109 0% 3%  
110 0% 3%  
111 0% 3%  
112 0% 3%  
113 0% 3%  
114 0% 3%  
115 0% 3%  
116 0% 3%  
117 0% 3%  
118 0% 3%  
119 0% 3%  
120 0% 3%  
121 0% 3%  
122 0% 3%  
123 0% 3%  
124 0% 3%  
125 0% 3%  
126 0% 3%  
127 0% 3%  
128 0% 3%  
129 0% 3%  
130 0% 3%  
131 0% 3%  
132 0% 3%  
133 0% 3%  
134 0% 3%  
135 0.1% 3%  
136 0.2% 2%  
137 0.4% 2%  
138 0.5% 2%  
139 0.6% 1.3%  
140 0.3% 0.8%  
141 0.2% 0.5%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0.1% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations