Opinion Poll by MRB for Open TV, 6–13 March 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 33.2% 31.6–34.8% 31.2–35.3% 30.8–35.7% 30.1–36.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.7% 28.2–31.3% 27.8–31.7% 27.4–32.1% 26.7–32.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 10.9% 9.9–12.0% 9.6–12.3% 9.4–12.6% 8.9–13.2%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.2% 5.5–7.1% 5.2–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.7–8.0%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.4% 4.7–6.2% 4.5–6.5% 4.3–6.7% 4.0–7.1%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.7% 4.0–5.5% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.4–6.3%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 1.2% 0.9–1.6% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–1.9% 0.6–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 141 137–146 88–147 86–149 84–151
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 78–86 77–136 76–139 75–141
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 30 27–33 27–34 26–35 25–36
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–20 15–20 14–21 13–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–17 12–18 12–19 11–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 13 11–15 11–16 10–16 10–17
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.7%  
84 0.7% 99.5%  
85 1.1% 98.8%  
86 1.0% 98%  
87 1.0% 97%  
88 1.0% 96%  
89 0.6% 95%  
90 0% 94%  
91 0% 94%  
92 0% 94%  
93 0% 94%  
94 0% 94%  
95 0% 94%  
96 0% 94%  
97 0% 94%  
98 0% 94%  
99 0% 94%  
100 0% 94%  
101 0% 94%  
102 0% 94%  
103 0% 94%  
104 0% 94%  
105 0% 94%  
106 0% 94%  
107 0% 94%  
108 0% 94%  
109 0% 94%  
110 0% 94%  
111 0% 94%  
112 0% 94%  
113 0% 94%  
114 0% 94%  
115 0% 94%  
116 0% 94%  
117 0% 94%  
118 0% 94%  
119 0% 94%  
120 0% 94%  
121 0% 94%  
122 0% 94%  
123 0% 94%  
124 0% 94%  
125 0% 94%  
126 0% 94%  
127 0% 94%  
128 0% 94%  
129 0% 94%  
130 0% 94%  
131 0% 94%  
132 0% 94%  
133 0% 94%  
134 0.2% 94%  
135 0.4% 94%  
136 2% 93%  
137 3% 92%  
138 6% 89%  
139 8% 83%  
140 12% 75%  
141 15% 63% Median
142 9% 48%  
143 13% 40%  
144 6% 27%  
145 10% 21%  
146 3% 11%  
147 4% 9%  
148 1.4% 4%  
149 2% 3%  
150 0.4% 1.1%  
151 0.6% 0.7% Majority
152 0.1% 0.2%  
153 0.1% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.8%  
75 0.7% 99.6%  
76 2% 98.9%  
77 5% 96%  
78 7% 91%  
79 5% 84%  
80 4% 79%  
81 6% 75%  
82 12% 69%  
83 17% 57% Median
84 19% 40%  
85 8% 21%  
86 4% 12% Last Result
87 1.0% 9%  
88 0.8% 8%  
89 0.6% 7%  
90 0.2% 6%  
91 0% 6%  
92 0% 6%  
93 0% 6%  
94 0% 6%  
95 0% 6%  
96 0% 6%  
97 0% 6%  
98 0% 6%  
99 0% 6%  
100 0% 6%  
101 0% 6%  
102 0% 6%  
103 0% 6%  
104 0% 6%  
105 0% 6%  
106 0% 6%  
107 0% 6%  
108 0% 6%  
109 0% 6%  
110 0% 6%  
111 0% 6%  
112 0% 6%  
113 0% 6%  
114 0% 6%  
115 0% 6%  
116 0% 6%  
117 0% 6%  
118 0% 6%  
119 0% 6%  
120 0% 6%  
121 0% 6%  
122 0% 6%  
123 0% 6%  
124 0% 6%  
125 0% 6%  
126 0% 6%  
127 0% 6%  
128 0% 6%  
129 0% 6%  
130 0% 6%  
131 0% 6%  
132 0% 6%  
133 0% 6%  
134 0.2% 6%  
135 0.3% 6%  
136 0.7% 5%  
137 0.3% 5%  
138 1.1% 4%  
139 2% 3%  
140 1.1% 2%  
141 0.5% 0.7%  
142 0.2% 0.2%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.9%  
25 1.0% 99.6%  
26 3% 98.7%  
27 6% 96%  
28 10% 89%  
29 15% 79%  
30 17% 64% Median
31 17% 47%  
32 14% 30%  
33 8% 16%  
34 5% 8%  
35 2% 4%  
36 0.9% 1.4%  
37 0.3% 0.5%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.9% 99.8%  
14 3% 98.9%  
15 9% 96% Last Result
16 19% 87%  
17 24% 68% Median
18 18% 44%  
19 14% 26%  
20 7% 12%  
21 3% 5%  
22 1.0% 1.4%  
23 0.3% 0.3%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100% Last Result
11 1.0% 99.9%  
12 4% 98.9%  
13 12% 95%  
14 20% 83%  
15 22% 63% Median
16 22% 41%  
17 12% 19%  
18 4% 7%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.4% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.4% 100% Last Result
10 3% 99.5%  
11 11% 96%  
12 21% 85%  
13 26% 64% Median
14 20% 38%  
15 11% 18%  
16 5% 7%  
17 1.4% 2%  
18 0.4% 0.5%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 172 94% 167–176 118–178 116–179 113–181
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 96 4% 91–100 90–150 89–152 87–154
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 141 0.7% 137–146 88–147 86–149 84–151
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 0% 78–86 77–136 76–139 75–141

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0.1% 100%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.3% 99.8%  
114 0.5% 99.5%  
115 0.7% 99.0%  
116 1.3% 98%  
117 1.2% 97%  
118 0.8% 96%  
119 0.6% 95%  
120 0.2% 94%  
121 0.1% 94%  
122 0% 94%  
123 0% 94%  
124 0% 94%  
125 0% 94%  
126 0% 94%  
127 0% 94%  
128 0% 94%  
129 0% 94%  
130 0% 94%  
131 0% 94%  
132 0% 94%  
133 0% 94%  
134 0% 94%  
135 0% 94%  
136 0% 94%  
137 0% 94%  
138 0% 94%  
139 0% 94%  
140 0% 94%  
141 0% 94%  
142 0% 94%  
143 0% 94%  
144 0% 94%  
145 0% 94%  
146 0% 94%  
147 0% 94%  
148 0% 94%  
149 0% 94%  
150 0% 94%  
151 0% 94% Majority
152 0% 94%  
153 0% 94%  
154 0% 94%  
155 0% 94%  
156 0% 94%  
157 0% 94%  
158 0% 94%  
159 0% 94%  
160 0% 94%  
161 0% 94%  
162 0% 94%  
163 0.1% 94%  
164 0.1% 94%  
165 0.6% 94%  
166 1.3% 93%  
167 3% 92%  
168 5% 89%  
169 8% 84%  
170 10% 77%  
171 10% 66% Median
172 14% 56%  
173 10% 42%  
174 8% 31%  
175 8% 23%  
176 6% 16%  
177 4% 10%  
178 2% 6%  
179 2% 3%  
180 1.0% 2% Last Result
181 0.4% 0.8%  
182 0.3% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.5% 99.8%  
88 1.0% 99.3%  
89 3% 98%  
90 4% 96%  
91 5% 92%  
92 6% 86%  
93 6% 81%  
94 7% 74%  
95 14% 68% Last Result
96 13% 53% Median
97 14% 40%  
98 10% 27%  
99 6% 17%  
100 2% 10%  
101 2% 8%  
102 0.5% 7%  
103 0.3% 6%  
104 0.1% 6%  
105 0% 6%  
106 0% 6%  
107 0% 6%  
108 0% 6%  
109 0% 6%  
110 0% 6%  
111 0% 6%  
112 0% 6%  
113 0% 6%  
114 0% 6%  
115 0% 6%  
116 0% 6%  
117 0% 6%  
118 0% 6%  
119 0% 6%  
120 0% 6%  
121 0% 6%  
122 0% 6%  
123 0% 6%  
124 0% 6%  
125 0% 6%  
126 0% 6%  
127 0% 6%  
128 0% 6%  
129 0% 6%  
130 0% 6%  
131 0% 6%  
132 0% 6%  
133 0% 6%  
134 0% 6%  
135 0% 6%  
136 0% 6%  
137 0% 6%  
138 0% 6%  
139 0% 6%  
140 0% 6%  
141 0% 6%  
142 0% 6%  
143 0% 6%  
144 0% 6%  
145 0% 6%  
146 0% 6%  
147 0.1% 6%  
148 0.4% 6%  
149 0.3% 5%  
150 0.9% 5%  
151 1.2% 4% Majority
152 1.0% 3%  
153 1.0% 2%  
154 0.6% 1.0%  
155 0.2% 0.4%  
156 0.1% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.7%  
84 0.7% 99.5%  
85 1.1% 98.8%  
86 1.0% 98%  
87 1.0% 97%  
88 1.0% 96%  
89 0.6% 95%  
90 0% 94%  
91 0% 94%  
92 0% 94%  
93 0% 94%  
94 0% 94%  
95 0% 94%  
96 0% 94%  
97 0% 94%  
98 0% 94%  
99 0% 94%  
100 0% 94%  
101 0% 94%  
102 0% 94%  
103 0% 94%  
104 0% 94%  
105 0% 94%  
106 0% 94%  
107 0% 94%  
108 0% 94%  
109 0% 94%  
110 0% 94%  
111 0% 94%  
112 0% 94%  
113 0% 94%  
114 0% 94%  
115 0% 94%  
116 0% 94%  
117 0% 94%  
118 0% 94%  
119 0% 94%  
120 0% 94%  
121 0% 94%  
122 0% 94%  
123 0% 94%  
124 0% 94%  
125 0% 94%  
126 0% 94%  
127 0% 94%  
128 0% 94%  
129 0% 94%  
130 0% 94%  
131 0% 94%  
132 0% 94%  
133 0% 94%  
134 0.2% 94%  
135 0.4% 94%  
136 2% 93%  
137 3% 92%  
138 6% 89%  
139 8% 83%  
140 12% 75%  
141 15% 63% Median
142 9% 48%  
143 13% 40%  
144 6% 27%  
145 10% 21%  
146 3% 11%  
147 4% 9%  
148 1.4% 4%  
149 2% 3%  
150 0.4% 1.1%  
151 0.6% 0.7% Majority
152 0.1% 0.2%  
153 0.1% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.8%  
75 0.7% 99.6%  
76 2% 98.9%  
77 5% 96%  
78 7% 91%  
79 5% 84%  
80 4% 79%  
81 6% 75%  
82 12% 69%  
83 17% 57% Median
84 19% 40%  
85 8% 21%  
86 4% 12% Last Result
87 1.0% 9%  
88 0.8% 8%  
89 0.6% 7%  
90 0.2% 6%  
91 0% 6%  
92 0% 6%  
93 0% 6%  
94 0% 6%  
95 0% 6%  
96 0% 6%  
97 0% 6%  
98 0% 6%  
99 0% 6%  
100 0% 6%  
101 0% 6%  
102 0% 6%  
103 0% 6%  
104 0% 6%  
105 0% 6%  
106 0% 6%  
107 0% 6%  
108 0% 6%  
109 0% 6%  
110 0% 6%  
111 0% 6%  
112 0% 6%  
113 0% 6%  
114 0% 6%  
115 0% 6%  
116 0% 6%  
117 0% 6%  
118 0% 6%  
119 0% 6%  
120 0% 6%  
121 0% 6%  
122 0% 6%  
123 0% 6%  
124 0% 6%  
125 0% 6%  
126 0% 6%  
127 0% 6%  
128 0% 6%  
129 0% 6%  
130 0% 6%  
131 0% 6%  
132 0% 6%  
133 0% 6%  
134 0.2% 6%  
135 0.3% 6%  
136 0.7% 5%  
137 0.3% 5%  
138 1.1% 4%  
139 2% 3%  
140 1.1% 2%  
141 0.5% 0.7%  
142 0.2% 0.2%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations