Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 7–13 March 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 33.7% 32.0–35.5% 31.5–36.0% 31.1–36.5% 30.3–37.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.3% 24.7–28.0% 24.3–28.5% 23.9–28.9% 23.2–29.7%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 11.8% 10.7–13.1% 10.4–13.5% 10.1–13.8% 9.6–14.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.6% 6.7–8.7% 6.4–8.9% 6.2–9.2% 5.8–9.8%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.1% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.2% 4.0–6.5% 3.6–6.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.5% 3.8–5.4% 3.6–5.6% 3.5–5.8% 3.2–6.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 144 140–149 138–151 137–152 135–154
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 74 69–78 68–79 67–81 65–83
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 33 30–37 29–38 28–39 27–40
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 21 19–24 18–25 17–26 16–27
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–17 12–17 11–18 10–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 13 11–15 10–16 10–16 9–18

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.2% 99.9%  
135 0.4% 99.7%  
136 0.8% 99.3%  
137 1.4% 98%  
138 2% 97%  
139 4% 95%  
140 6% 91%  
141 9% 86%  
142 10% 77%  
143 11% 67%  
144 10% 57% Median
145 10% 47%  
146 9% 37%  
147 8% 28%  
148 6% 20%  
149 5% 14%  
150 3% 9%  
151 2% 6% Majority
152 2% 3%  
153 0.9% 2%  
154 0.4% 0.7%  
155 0.2% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.5% 99.7%  
66 1.0% 99.2%  
67 2% 98%  
68 3% 96%  
69 5% 93%  
70 7% 89%  
71 8% 82%  
72 10% 74%  
73 11% 64%  
74 12% 53% Median
75 11% 42%  
76 10% 31%  
77 8% 21%  
78 5% 14%  
79 4% 8%  
80 2% 5%  
81 1.3% 3%  
82 0.7% 1.4%  
83 0.4% 0.7%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.7% 99.7%  
28 2% 99.0%  
29 4% 97%  
30 7% 93%  
31 11% 86%  
32 14% 75%  
33 16% 62% Median
34 15% 46%  
35 12% 31%  
36 8% 19%  
37 5% 11%  
38 3% 6%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.6% 1.0%  
41 0.3% 0.4%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100% Last Result
16 0.6% 99.9%  
17 2% 99.3%  
18 5% 97%  
19 10% 92%  
20 16% 82%  
21 17% 66% Median
22 19% 48%  
23 13% 30%  
24 8% 16%  
25 5% 8%  
26 2% 3%  
27 0.8% 1.2%  
28 0.3% 0.4%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.7% 99.9% Last Result
11 3% 99.2%  
12 9% 96%  
13 18% 87%  
14 21% 69% Median
15 20% 47%  
16 14% 27%  
17 7% 12%  
18 3% 5%  
19 1.1% 1.5%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 1.4% 99.8% Last Result
10 6% 98%  
11 16% 92%  
12 22% 77%  
13 22% 55% Median
14 18% 33%  
15 9% 15%  
16 4% 6%  
17 1.5% 2%  
18 0.4% 0.6%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 178 100% 173–183 171–184 170–185 168–188
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 144 6% 140–149 138–151 137–152 135–154
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 87 0% 82–91 80–93 79–94 77–96
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 74 0% 69–78 68–79 67–81 65–83

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0.1% 99.9%  
167 0.2% 99.8%  
168 0.4% 99.6%  
169 0.9% 99.2%  
170 1.3% 98%  
171 2% 97%  
172 4% 95%  
173 5% 91%  
174 8% 86%  
175 8% 79%  
176 10% 71%  
177 10% 61% Median
178 10% 51%  
179 10% 41%  
180 8% 31% Last Result
181 7% 23%  
182 5% 16%  
183 4% 10%  
184 3% 6%  
185 1.5% 4%  
186 1.1% 2%  
187 0.5% 1.1%  
188 0.3% 0.5%  
189 0.1% 0.3%  
190 0.1% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.2% 99.9%  
135 0.4% 99.7%  
136 0.8% 99.3%  
137 1.4% 98%  
138 2% 97%  
139 4% 95%  
140 6% 91%  
141 9% 86%  
142 10% 77%  
143 11% 67%  
144 10% 57% Median
145 10% 47%  
146 9% 37%  
147 8% 28%  
148 6% 20%  
149 5% 14%  
150 3% 9%  
151 2% 6% Majority
152 2% 3%  
153 0.9% 2%  
154 0.4% 0.7%  
155 0.2% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.4% 99.7%  
78 0.7% 99.3%  
79 1.3% 98.6%  
80 2% 97%  
81 3% 95%  
82 5% 92%  
83 7% 86%  
84 8% 79%  
85 10% 71%  
86 11% 61%  
87 11% 50% Median
88 10% 40%  
89 9% 30%  
90 7% 21%  
91 5% 14%  
92 4% 9%  
93 3% 5%  
94 1.2% 3%  
95 0.7% 1.5% Last Result
96 0.4% 0.7%  
97 0.2% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.5% 99.7%  
66 1.0% 99.2%  
67 2% 98%  
68 3% 96%  
69 5% 93%  
70 7% 89%  
71 8% 82%  
72 10% 74%  
73 11% 64%  
74 12% 53% Median
75 11% 42%  
76 10% 31%  
77 8% 21%  
78 5% 14%  
79 4% 8%  
80 2% 5%  
81 1.3% 3%  
82 0.7% 1.4%  
83 0.4% 0.7%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations