Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 13–15 March 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 34.5% 32.7–36.4% 32.2–36.9% 31.8–37.4% 30.9–38.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 30.3% 28.6–32.1% 28.1–32.6% 27.7–33.1% 26.9–34.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 11.5% 10.4–12.8% 10.0–13.2% 9.8–13.5% 9.2–14.2%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.3% 6.4–8.4% 6.1–8.7% 5.9–9.0% 5.5–9.5%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.3% 3.2–5.5% 2.9–6.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.6% 2.9–4.4% 2.8–4.6% 2.6–4.8% 2.4–5.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 145 139–150 136–151 88–153 85–155
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 78–89 77–92 76–139 73–143
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 32 28–35 27–36 27–37 25–39
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 18–23 17–24 16–25 15–26
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 10–14 9–15 9–15 0–16
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 0.4% 99.6%  
86 0.6% 99.2%  
87 0.8% 98.6%  
88 0.9% 98%  
89 0.6% 97%  
90 0.4% 96%  
91 0.2% 96%  
92 0.1% 96%  
93 0% 96%  
94 0% 96%  
95 0% 96%  
96 0% 96%  
97 0% 96%  
98 0% 96%  
99 0% 96%  
100 0% 96%  
101 0% 96%  
102 0% 96%  
103 0% 96%  
104 0% 96%  
105 0% 96%  
106 0% 96%  
107 0% 96%  
108 0% 96%  
109 0% 96%  
110 0% 96%  
111 0% 96%  
112 0% 96%  
113 0% 96%  
114 0% 96%  
115 0% 96%  
116 0% 96%  
117 0% 96%  
118 0% 96%  
119 0% 96%  
120 0% 96%  
121 0% 96%  
122 0% 96%  
123 0% 96%  
124 0% 96%  
125 0% 96%  
126 0% 96%  
127 0% 96%  
128 0% 96%  
129 0% 96%  
130 0% 96%  
131 0% 96%  
132 0% 96%  
133 0% 96%  
134 0% 96%  
135 0.1% 96%  
136 0.4% 95%  
137 1.2% 95%  
138 2% 94%  
139 4% 92%  
140 5% 88%  
141 6% 83%  
142 7% 77%  
143 8% 70%  
144 10% 62%  
145 11% 51% Median
146 11% 40%  
147 9% 29%  
148 6% 21%  
149 4% 15%  
150 3% 10%  
151 2% 7% Majority
152 2% 5%  
153 1.4% 3%  
154 0.9% 2%  
155 0.4% 0.8%  
156 0.2% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 0.6% 99.5%  
75 1.0% 98.9%  
76 2% 98%  
77 3% 96%  
78 4% 93%  
79 7% 89%  
80 8% 81%  
81 9% 73%  
82 11% 65%  
83 12% 54% Median
84 9% 42%  
85 8% 33%  
86 7% 25% Last Result
87 5% 18%  
88 3% 13%  
89 2% 10%  
90 2% 8%  
91 1.0% 6%  
92 0.5% 5%  
93 0.2% 5%  
94 0.1% 5%  
95 0% 4%  
96 0% 4%  
97 0% 4%  
98 0% 4%  
99 0% 4%  
100 0% 4%  
101 0% 4%  
102 0% 4%  
103 0% 4%  
104 0% 4%  
105 0% 4%  
106 0% 4%  
107 0% 4%  
108 0% 4%  
109 0% 4%  
110 0% 4%  
111 0% 4%  
112 0% 4%  
113 0% 4%  
114 0% 4%  
115 0% 4%  
116 0% 4%  
117 0% 4%  
118 0% 4%  
119 0% 4%  
120 0% 4%  
121 0% 4%  
122 0% 4%  
123 0% 4%  
124 0% 4%  
125 0% 4%  
126 0% 4%  
127 0% 4%  
128 0% 4%  
129 0% 4%  
130 0% 4%  
131 0% 4%  
132 0% 4%  
133 0% 4%  
134 0% 4%  
135 0% 4%  
136 0.2% 4%  
137 0.4% 4%  
138 0.6% 4%  
139 0.8% 3%  
140 0.8% 2%  
141 0.5% 2%  
142 0.5% 1.1%  
143 0.3% 0.6%  
144 0.1% 0.3%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0.1% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.5% 99.8%  
26 1.4% 99.3%  
27 3% 98%  
28 6% 95%  
29 9% 89%  
30 13% 79%  
31 15% 66%  
32 14% 51% Median
33 13% 36%  
34 9% 23%  
35 6% 14%  
36 4% 7%  
37 2% 4%  
38 0.9% 2%  
39 0.4% 0.7%  
40 0.2% 0.3%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 0.8% 99.8% Last Result
16 3% 99.1%  
17 6% 97%  
18 12% 90%  
19 16% 78%  
20 19% 62% Median
21 17% 43%  
22 12% 26%  
23 8% 14%  
24 4% 7%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.7% 1.0%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.1% 100%  
1 0% 98.9%  
2 0% 98.9%  
3 0% 98.9%  
4 0% 98.9%  
5 0% 98.9%  
6 0% 98.9%  
7 0% 98.9%  
8 0.8% 98.9%  
9 7% 98%  
10 16% 91% Last Result
11 23% 76%  
12 23% 52% Median
13 16% 30%  
14 9% 14%  
15 4% 5%  
16 1.3% 2%  
17 0.3% 0.4%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100%  
1 0% 88%  
2 0% 88%  
3 0% 88%  
4 0% 88%  
5 0% 88%  
6 0% 88%  
7 0% 88%  
8 5% 88%  
9 22% 83% Last Result
10 26% 60% Median
11 19% 35%  
12 10% 15%  
13 4% 6%  
14 1.1% 1.5%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 176 96% 170–182 167–184 119–185 116–188
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 145 7% 139–150 136–151 88–153 85–155
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 92 1.5% 87–98 84–100 83–149 80–152
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 0% 78–89 77–92 76–139 73–143

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0.1% 100%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.2% 99.8%  
116 0.4% 99.6%  
117 0.5% 99.2%  
118 0.7% 98.7%  
119 0.7% 98%  
120 0.5% 97%  
121 0.5% 97%  
122 0.2% 96%  
123 0.2% 96%  
124 0.1% 96%  
125 0.1% 96%  
126 0% 96%  
127 0% 96%  
128 0% 96%  
129 0% 96%  
130 0% 96%  
131 0% 96%  
132 0% 96%  
133 0% 96%  
134 0% 96%  
135 0% 96%  
136 0% 96%  
137 0% 96%  
138 0% 96%  
139 0% 96%  
140 0% 96%  
141 0% 96%  
142 0% 96%  
143 0% 96%  
144 0% 96%  
145 0% 96%  
146 0% 96%  
147 0% 96%  
148 0% 96%  
149 0% 96%  
150 0% 96%  
151 0% 96% Majority
152 0% 96%  
153 0% 96%  
154 0% 96%  
155 0% 96%  
156 0% 96%  
157 0% 96%  
158 0% 96%  
159 0% 96%  
160 0% 96%  
161 0% 96%  
162 0% 96%  
163 0% 96%  
164 0% 96%  
165 0.1% 96%  
166 0.1% 95%  
167 0.5% 95%  
168 0.7% 95%  
169 2% 94%  
170 3% 92%  
171 4% 90%  
172 6% 86%  
173 7% 80%  
174 9% 73%  
175 9% 64%  
176 10% 55%  
177 9% 46% Median
178 9% 37%  
179 6% 27%  
180 7% 21% Last Result
181 4% 15%  
182 3% 11%  
183 2% 8%  
184 2% 5%  
185 1.3% 3%  
186 0.7% 2%  
187 0.7% 1.3%  
188 0.3% 0.7%  
189 0.2% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0.1% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 0.4% 99.6%  
86 0.6% 99.2%  
87 0.8% 98.6%  
88 0.9% 98%  
89 0.6% 97%  
90 0.4% 96%  
91 0.2% 96%  
92 0.1% 96%  
93 0% 96%  
94 0% 96%  
95 0% 96%  
96 0% 96%  
97 0% 96%  
98 0% 96%  
99 0% 96%  
100 0% 96%  
101 0% 96%  
102 0% 96%  
103 0% 96%  
104 0% 96%  
105 0% 96%  
106 0% 96%  
107 0% 96%  
108 0% 96%  
109 0% 96%  
110 0% 96%  
111 0% 96%  
112 0% 96%  
113 0% 96%  
114 0% 96%  
115 0% 96%  
116 0% 96%  
117 0% 96%  
118 0% 96%  
119 0% 96%  
120 0% 96%  
121 0% 96%  
122 0% 96%  
123 0% 96%  
124 0% 96%  
125 0% 96%  
126 0% 96%  
127 0% 96%  
128 0% 96%  
129 0% 96%  
130 0% 96%  
131 0% 96%  
132 0% 96%  
133 0% 96%  
134 0% 96%  
135 0.1% 96%  
136 0.4% 95%  
137 1.2% 95%  
138 2% 94%  
139 4% 92%  
140 5% 88%  
141 6% 83%  
142 7% 77%  
143 8% 70%  
144 10% 62%  
145 11% 51% Median
146 11% 40%  
147 9% 29%  
148 6% 21%  
149 4% 15%  
150 3% 10%  
151 2% 7% Majority
152 2% 5%  
153 1.4% 3%  
154 0.9% 2%  
155 0.4% 0.8%  
156 0.2% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 0.4% 99.6%  
81 0.8% 99.2%  
82 0.8% 98%  
83 1.2% 98%  
84 2% 96%  
85 2% 95%  
86 3% 93%  
87 4% 90%  
88 5% 86%  
89 6% 81%  
90 9% 75%  
91 9% 66%  
92 9% 57%  
93 10% 47% Median
94 10% 38%  
95 7% 28% Last Result
96 6% 21%  
97 4% 15%  
98 3% 11%  
99 2% 7%  
100 0.9% 6%  
101 0.3% 5%  
102 0.1% 5%  
103 0% 5%  
104 0% 4%  
105 0% 4%  
106 0% 4%  
107 0% 4%  
108 0% 4%  
109 0% 4%  
110 0% 4%  
111 0% 4%  
112 0% 4%  
113 0% 4%  
114 0% 4%  
115 0% 4%  
116 0% 4%  
117 0% 4%  
118 0% 4%  
119 0% 4%  
120 0% 4%  
121 0% 4%  
122 0% 4%  
123 0% 4%  
124 0% 4%  
125 0% 4%  
126 0% 4%  
127 0% 4%  
128 0% 4%  
129 0% 4%  
130 0% 4%  
131 0% 4%  
132 0% 4%  
133 0% 4%  
134 0% 4%  
135 0% 4%  
136 0% 4%  
137 0% 4%  
138 0% 4%  
139 0% 4%  
140 0% 4%  
141 0% 4%  
142 0.1% 4%  
143 0.1% 4%  
144 0.1% 4%  
145 0.1% 4%  
146 0.2% 4%  
147 0.4% 4%  
148 0.6% 4%  
149 0.8% 3%  
150 0.8% 2%  
151 0.6% 1.5% Majority
152 0.4% 0.9%  
153 0.3% 0.5%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0.1% 0.1%  
156 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 0.6% 99.5%  
75 1.0% 98.9%  
76 2% 98%  
77 3% 96%  
78 4% 93%  
79 7% 89%  
80 8% 81%  
81 9% 73%  
82 11% 65%  
83 12% 54% Median
84 9% 42%  
85 8% 33%  
86 7% 25% Last Result
87 5% 18%  
88 3% 13%  
89 2% 10%  
90 2% 8%  
91 1.0% 6%  
92 0.5% 5%  
93 0.2% 5%  
94 0.1% 5%  
95 0% 4%  
96 0% 4%  
97 0% 4%  
98 0% 4%  
99 0% 4%  
100 0% 4%  
101 0% 4%  
102 0% 4%  
103 0% 4%  
104 0% 4%  
105 0% 4%  
106 0% 4%  
107 0% 4%  
108 0% 4%  
109 0% 4%  
110 0% 4%  
111 0% 4%  
112 0% 4%  
113 0% 4%  
114 0% 4%  
115 0% 4%  
116 0% 4%  
117 0% 4%  
118 0% 4%  
119 0% 4%  
120 0% 4%  
121 0% 4%  
122 0% 4%  
123 0% 4%  
124 0% 4%  
125 0% 4%  
126 0% 4%  
127 0% 4%  
128 0% 4%  
129 0% 4%  
130 0% 4%  
131 0% 4%  
132 0% 4%  
133 0% 4%  
134 0% 4%  
135 0% 4%  
136 0.2% 4%  
137 0.4% 4%  
138 0.6% 4%  
139 0.8% 3%  
140 0.8% 2%  
141 0.5% 2%  
142 0.5% 1.1%  
143 0.3% 0.6%  
144 0.1% 0.3%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0.1% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations