Opinion Poll by Alco for Alpha TV, 13–17 March 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 33.0% 31.1–34.9% 30.6–35.5% 30.1–36.0% 29.2–36.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.8% 27.0–30.7% 26.5–31.2% 26.0–31.7% 25.2–32.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 10.9% 9.7–12.3% 9.4–12.6% 9.1–13.0% 8.6–13.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.6% 3.3–5.9% 3.0–6.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 144 138–149 136–151 87–152 83–155
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 82 77–87 75–90 74–138 72–142
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 31 28–35 27–36 26–37 24–39
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 17–23 16–24 15–25 14–26
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 10–15 10–16 9–17 0–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–14 8–14 0–15 0–16

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.3% 99.7%  
84 0.4% 99.4%  
85 0.7% 99.0%  
86 0.6% 98%  
87 0.7% 98%  
88 0.4% 97%  
89 0.4% 97%  
90 0.2% 96%  
91 0.1% 96%  
92 0% 96%  
93 0% 96%  
94 0% 96%  
95 0% 96%  
96 0% 96%  
97 0% 96%  
98 0% 96%  
99 0% 96%  
100 0% 96%  
101 0% 96%  
102 0% 96%  
103 0% 96%  
104 0% 96%  
105 0% 96%  
106 0% 96%  
107 0% 96%  
108 0% 96%  
109 0% 96%  
110 0% 96%  
111 0% 96%  
112 0% 96%  
113 0% 96%  
114 0% 96%  
115 0% 96%  
116 0% 96%  
117 0% 96%  
118 0% 96%  
119 0% 96%  
120 0% 96%  
121 0% 96%  
122 0% 96%  
123 0% 96%  
124 0% 96%  
125 0% 96%  
126 0% 96%  
127 0% 96%  
128 0% 96%  
129 0% 96%  
130 0% 96%  
131 0% 96%  
132 0% 96%  
133 0% 96%  
134 0.2% 96%  
135 0.4% 96%  
136 1.2% 95%  
137 2% 94%  
138 4% 92%  
139 5% 89%  
140 6% 84%  
141 8% 78%  
142 10% 70%  
143 9% 60%  
144 10% 51% Median
145 9% 41%  
146 7% 32%  
147 7% 25%  
148 6% 18%  
149 4% 12%  
150 3% 8%  
151 2% 5% Majority
152 1.3% 3%  
153 0.8% 2%  
154 0.6% 1.3%  
155 0.3% 0.7%  
156 0.2% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
159 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.5% 99.6%  
73 0.8% 99.1%  
74 2% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 4% 94%  
77 5% 91%  
78 7% 85%  
79 8% 79%  
80 8% 71%  
81 9% 62%  
82 10% 54% Median
83 10% 44%  
84 8% 34%  
85 8% 25%  
86 6% 18% Last Result
87 4% 12%  
88 2% 9%  
89 1.2% 7%  
90 0.7% 5%  
91 0.3% 5%  
92 0.2% 4%  
93 0.1% 4%  
94 0% 4%  
95 0% 4%  
96 0% 4%  
97 0% 4%  
98 0% 4%  
99 0% 4%  
100 0% 4%  
101 0% 4%  
102 0% 4%  
103 0% 4%  
104 0% 4%  
105 0% 4%  
106 0% 4%  
107 0% 4%  
108 0% 4%  
109 0% 4%  
110 0% 4%  
111 0% 4%  
112 0% 4%  
113 0% 4%  
114 0% 4%  
115 0% 4%  
116 0% 4%  
117 0% 4%  
118 0% 4%  
119 0% 4%  
120 0% 4%  
121 0% 4%  
122 0% 4%  
123 0% 4%  
124 0% 4%  
125 0% 4%  
126 0% 4%  
127 0% 4%  
128 0% 4%  
129 0% 4%  
130 0% 4%  
131 0% 4%  
132 0% 4%  
133 0% 4%  
134 0.1% 4%  
135 0.2% 4%  
136 0.3% 4%  
137 0.6% 4%  
138 0.6% 3%  
139 0.6% 2%  
140 0.6% 2%  
141 0.5% 1.3%  
142 0.3% 0.8%  
143 0.2% 0.5%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.5% 99.9%  
25 1.3% 99.4%  
26 2% 98%  
27 5% 96%  
28 10% 91%  
29 10% 81%  
30 11% 71%  
31 16% 60% Median
32 16% 44%  
33 8% 28%  
34 7% 20%  
35 7% 13%  
36 3% 6%  
37 1.2% 3%  
38 0.8% 2%  
39 0.5% 0.7%  
40 0.2% 0.2%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.5% 99.9%  
15 2% 99.4% Last Result
16 4% 97%  
17 9% 93%  
18 14% 85%  
19 19% 71%  
20 14% 52% Median
21 14% 38%  
22 12% 24%  
23 6% 12%  
24 3% 5%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.7% 1.0%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100%  
1 0% 99.3%  
2 0% 99.3%  
3 0% 99.3%  
4 0% 99.3%  
5 0% 99.3%  
6 0% 99.3%  
7 0% 99.3%  
8 0.1% 99.3%  
9 2% 99.3%  
10 9% 97% Last Result
11 17% 89%  
12 16% 71%  
13 23% 56% Median
14 18% 33%  
15 7% 15%  
16 4% 8%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.6% 0.8%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 0% 95%  
8 0.2% 95%  
9 9% 95% Last Result
10 19% 85%  
11 23% 66% Median
12 19% 43%  
13 13% 24%  
14 6% 11%  
15 3% 4%  
16 1.0% 1.3%  
17 0.3% 0.4%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 175 96% 169–180 166–182 118–184 114–187
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 144 5% 138–149 136–151 87–152 83–155
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 93 2% 87–98 85–101 84–150 80–154
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 82 0% 77–87 75–90 74–138 72–142

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.2% 99.8%  
114 0.3% 99.6%  
115 0.4% 99.3%  
116 0.5% 98.8%  
117 0.6% 98%  
118 0.4% 98%  
119 0.5% 97%  
120 0.3% 97%  
121 0.3% 96%  
122 0.2% 96%  
123 0% 96%  
124 0.1% 96%  
125 0% 96%  
126 0% 96%  
127 0% 96%  
128 0% 96%  
129 0% 96%  
130 0% 96%  
131 0% 96%  
132 0% 96%  
133 0% 96%  
134 0% 96%  
135 0% 96%  
136 0% 96%  
137 0% 96%  
138 0% 96%  
139 0% 96%  
140 0% 96%  
141 0% 96%  
142 0% 96%  
143 0% 96%  
144 0% 96%  
145 0% 96%  
146 0% 96%  
147 0% 96%  
148 0% 96%  
149 0% 96%  
150 0% 96%  
151 0% 96% Majority
152 0% 96%  
153 0% 96%  
154 0% 96%  
155 0% 96%  
156 0% 96%  
157 0% 96%  
158 0% 96%  
159 0% 96%  
160 0% 96%  
161 0% 96%  
162 0% 96%  
163 0% 96%  
164 0.1% 96%  
165 0.2% 96%  
166 0.6% 95%  
167 1.3% 95%  
168 2% 94%  
169 4% 92%  
170 5% 88%  
171 7% 83%  
172 7% 77%  
173 10% 69%  
174 9% 60%  
175 9% 51% Median
176 8% 42%  
177 7% 34%  
178 7% 28%  
179 6% 21%  
180 5% 15% Last Result
181 3% 10%  
182 2% 6%  
183 1.5% 4%  
184 0.9% 3%  
185 0.6% 2%  
186 0.5% 1.1%  
187 0.3% 0.7%  
188 0.2% 0.4%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0.1% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.3% 99.7%  
84 0.4% 99.4%  
85 0.7% 99.0%  
86 0.6% 98%  
87 0.7% 98%  
88 0.4% 97%  
89 0.4% 97%  
90 0.2% 96%  
91 0.1% 96%  
92 0% 96%  
93 0% 96%  
94 0% 96%  
95 0% 96%  
96 0% 96%  
97 0% 96%  
98 0% 96%  
99 0% 96%  
100 0% 96%  
101 0% 96%  
102 0% 96%  
103 0% 96%  
104 0% 96%  
105 0% 96%  
106 0% 96%  
107 0% 96%  
108 0% 96%  
109 0% 96%  
110 0% 96%  
111 0% 96%  
112 0% 96%  
113 0% 96%  
114 0% 96%  
115 0% 96%  
116 0% 96%  
117 0% 96%  
118 0% 96%  
119 0% 96%  
120 0% 96%  
121 0% 96%  
122 0% 96%  
123 0% 96%  
124 0% 96%  
125 0% 96%  
126 0% 96%  
127 0% 96%  
128 0% 96%  
129 0% 96%  
130 0% 96%  
131 0% 96%  
132 0% 96%  
133 0% 96%  
134 0.2% 96%  
135 0.4% 96%  
136 1.2% 95%  
137 2% 94%  
138 4% 92%  
139 5% 89%  
140 6% 84%  
141 8% 78%  
142 10% 70%  
143 9% 60%  
144 10% 51% Median
145 9% 41%  
146 7% 32%  
147 7% 25%  
148 6% 18%  
149 4% 12%  
150 3% 8%  
151 2% 5% Majority
152 1.3% 3%  
153 0.8% 2%  
154 0.6% 1.3%  
155 0.3% 0.7%  
156 0.2% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
159 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0.2% 99.7%  
81 0.3% 99.4%  
82 0.5% 99.1%  
83 0.9% 98.6%  
84 1.3% 98%  
85 2% 96%  
86 2% 95%  
87 4% 92%  
88 5% 89%  
89 6% 83%  
90 8% 78%  
91 7% 70%  
92 8% 62%  
93 9% 54% Median
94 9% 45%  
95 9% 36% Last Result
96 8% 27%  
97 6% 19%  
98 4% 13%  
99 2% 9%  
100 1.4% 7%  
101 0.8% 6%  
102 0.3% 5%  
103 0.2% 4%  
104 0% 4%  
105 0% 4%  
106 0% 4%  
107 0% 4%  
108 0% 4%  
109 0% 4%  
110 0% 4%  
111 0% 4%  
112 0% 4%  
113 0% 4%  
114 0% 4%  
115 0% 4%  
116 0% 4%  
117 0% 4%  
118 0% 4%  
119 0% 4%  
120 0% 4%  
121 0% 4%  
122 0% 4%  
123 0% 4%  
124 0% 4%  
125 0% 4%  
126 0% 4%  
127 0% 4%  
128 0% 4%  
129 0% 4%  
130 0% 4%  
131 0% 4%  
132 0% 4%  
133 0% 4%  
134 0% 4%  
135 0% 4%  
136 0% 4%  
137 0% 4%  
138 0% 4%  
139 0% 4%  
140 0% 4%  
141 0% 4%  
142 0% 4%  
143 0% 4%  
144 0% 4%  
145 0.1% 4%  
146 0.1% 4%  
147 0.2% 4%  
148 0.5% 4%  
149 0.5% 3%  
150 0.6% 3%  
151 0.5% 2% Majority
152 0.6% 1.5%  
153 0.4% 0.9%  
154 0.3% 0.5%  
155 0.1% 0.2%  
156 0.1% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.5% 99.6%  
73 0.8% 99.1%  
74 2% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 4% 94%  
77 5% 91%  
78 7% 85%  
79 8% 79%  
80 8% 71%  
81 9% 62%  
82 10% 54% Median
83 10% 44%  
84 8% 34%  
85 8% 25%  
86 6% 18% Last Result
87 4% 12%  
88 2% 9%  
89 1.2% 7%  
90 0.7% 5%  
91 0.3% 5%  
92 0.2% 4%  
93 0.1% 4%  
94 0% 4%  
95 0% 4%  
96 0% 4%  
97 0% 4%  
98 0% 4%  
99 0% 4%  
100 0% 4%  
101 0% 4%  
102 0% 4%  
103 0% 4%  
104 0% 4%  
105 0% 4%  
106 0% 4%  
107 0% 4%  
108 0% 4%  
109 0% 4%  
110 0% 4%  
111 0% 4%  
112 0% 4%  
113 0% 4%  
114 0% 4%  
115 0% 4%  
116 0% 4%  
117 0% 4%  
118 0% 4%  
119 0% 4%  
120 0% 4%  
121 0% 4%  
122 0% 4%  
123 0% 4%  
124 0% 4%  
125 0% 4%  
126 0% 4%  
127 0% 4%  
128 0% 4%  
129 0% 4%  
130 0% 4%  
131 0% 4%  
132 0% 4%  
133 0% 4%  
134 0.1% 4%  
135 0.2% 4%  
136 0.3% 4%  
137 0.6% 4%  
138 0.6% 3%  
139 0.6% 2%  
140 0.6% 2%  
141 0.5% 1.3%  
142 0.3% 0.8%  
143 0.2% 0.5%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations