Opinion Poll by GPO for Star TV, 18–21 March 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.6% 33.8–37.4% 33.3–37.9% 32.9–38.3% 32.1–39.2%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 30.7% 29.0–32.4% 28.5–32.9% 28.1–33.3% 27.3–34.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 10.8% 9.8–12.1% 9.4–12.4% 9.2–12.7% 8.7–13.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.7% 6.8–8.7% 6.5–9.1% 6.3–9.3% 5.9–9.9%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.0% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.7% 3.0–4.5% 2.9–4.7% 2.7–4.9% 2.5–5.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 146 141–151 140–153 138–154 87–157
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 78–88 77–89 76–92 74–142
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 29 26–33 26–34 25–34 24–36
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 21 18–24 18–25 17–25 16–27
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 9–13 9–14 8–14 0–15
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 8–12 0–13 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.2% 99.8%  
87 0.3% 99.7%  
88 0.3% 99.4%  
89 0.4% 99.1%  
90 0.3% 98.7%  
91 0.1% 98%  
92 0.1% 98%  
93 0% 98%  
94 0% 98%  
95 0% 98%  
96 0% 98%  
97 0% 98%  
98 0% 98%  
99 0% 98%  
100 0% 98%  
101 0% 98%  
102 0% 98%  
103 0% 98%  
104 0% 98%  
105 0% 98%  
106 0% 98%  
107 0% 98%  
108 0% 98%  
109 0% 98%  
110 0% 98%  
111 0% 98%  
112 0% 98%  
113 0% 98%  
114 0% 98%  
115 0% 98%  
116 0% 98%  
117 0% 98%  
118 0% 98%  
119 0% 98%  
120 0% 98%  
121 0% 98%  
122 0% 98%  
123 0% 98%  
124 0% 98%  
125 0% 98%  
126 0% 98%  
127 0% 98%  
128 0% 98%  
129 0% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0% 98%  
132 0% 98%  
133 0% 98%  
134 0% 98%  
135 0% 98%  
136 0.1% 98%  
137 0.2% 98%  
138 0.6% 98%  
139 1.3% 97%  
140 2% 96%  
141 4% 94%  
142 6% 90%  
143 7% 84%  
144 9% 77%  
145 11% 68%  
146 10% 57% Median
147 11% 47%  
148 9% 36%  
149 7% 27%  
150 6% 20%  
151 5% 14% Majority
152 3% 9%  
153 2% 6%  
154 1.4% 4%  
155 0.9% 2%  
156 0.5% 1.2%  
157 0.3% 0.7%  
158 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0.1% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.5% 99.6%  
75 0.9% 99.2%  
76 2% 98%  
77 3% 96%  
78 4% 94%  
79 6% 89%  
80 8% 83%  
81 10% 75%  
82 11% 66%  
83 11% 55% Median
84 10% 44%  
85 10% 34%  
86 7% 24% Last Result
87 6% 17%  
88 4% 11%  
89 3% 7%  
90 1.5% 5%  
91 0.7% 3%  
92 0.5% 3%  
93 0.2% 2%  
94 0.1% 2%  
95 0% 2%  
96 0% 2%  
97 0% 2%  
98 0% 2%  
99 0% 2%  
100 0% 2%  
101 0% 2%  
102 0% 2%  
103 0% 2%  
104 0% 2%  
105 0% 2%  
106 0% 2%  
107 0% 2%  
108 0% 2%  
109 0% 2%  
110 0% 2%  
111 0% 2%  
112 0% 2%  
113 0% 2%  
114 0% 2%  
115 0% 2%  
116 0% 2%  
117 0% 2%  
118 0% 2%  
119 0% 2%  
120 0% 2%  
121 0% 2%  
122 0% 2%  
123 0% 2%  
124 0% 2%  
125 0% 2%  
126 0% 2%  
127 0% 2%  
128 0% 2%  
129 0% 2%  
130 0% 2%  
131 0% 2%  
132 0% 2%  
133 0% 2%  
134 0% 2%  
135 0% 2%  
136 0% 2%  
137 0.1% 2%  
138 0.2% 2%  
139 0.3% 2%  
140 0.4% 1.3%  
141 0.3% 0.9%  
142 0.2% 0.6%  
143 0.1% 0.4%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100% Last Result
23 0.4% 99.9%  
24 1.1% 99.5%  
25 3% 98%  
26 7% 95%  
27 10% 89%  
28 15% 79%  
29 16% 64% Median
30 15% 48%  
31 13% 33%  
32 9% 19%  
33 6% 11%  
34 3% 5%  
35 1.3% 2%  
36 0.6% 1.0%  
37 0.2% 0.3%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.2% 100% Last Result
16 0.9% 99.7%  
17 3% 98.8%  
18 7% 96%  
19 12% 88%  
20 19% 76%  
21 20% 57% Median
22 16% 37%  
23 10% 21%  
24 6% 11%  
25 3% 5%  
26 1.3% 2%  
27 0.5% 0.6%  
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 2% 98%  
9 12% 96%  
10 22% 84% Last Result
11 25% 62% Median
12 20% 36%  
13 11% 17%  
14 4% 6%  
15 1.3% 2%  
16 0.3% 0.4%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 5% 92%  
9 22% 87% Last Result
10 26% 64% Median
11 21% 38%  
12 11% 17%  
13 4% 6%  
14 1.2% 2%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 176 98% 171–181 169–183 167–184 116–187
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 146 14% 141–151 140–153 138–154 87–157
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 93 0.9% 87–98 85–99 84–101 80–152
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 0% 78–88 77–89 76–92 74–142

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0% 100%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.2% 99.9%  
116 0.3% 99.7%  
117 0.3% 99.4%  
118 0.3% 99.2%  
119 0.3% 98.9%  
120 0.1% 98.6%  
121 0.2% 98%  
122 0.1% 98%  
123 0% 98%  
124 0% 98%  
125 0% 98%  
126 0% 98%  
127 0% 98%  
128 0% 98%  
129 0% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0% 98%  
132 0% 98%  
133 0% 98%  
134 0% 98%  
135 0% 98%  
136 0% 98%  
137 0% 98%  
138 0% 98%  
139 0% 98%  
140 0% 98%  
141 0% 98%  
142 0% 98%  
143 0% 98%  
144 0% 98%  
145 0% 98%  
146 0% 98%  
147 0% 98%  
148 0% 98%  
149 0% 98%  
150 0% 98%  
151 0% 98% Majority
152 0% 98%  
153 0% 98%  
154 0% 98%  
155 0% 98%  
156 0% 98%  
157 0% 98%  
158 0% 98%  
159 0% 98%  
160 0% 98%  
161 0% 98%  
162 0% 98%  
163 0% 98%  
164 0% 98%  
165 0.1% 98%  
166 0.2% 98%  
167 0.5% 98%  
168 1.3% 97%  
169 2% 96%  
170 3% 94%  
171 5% 91%  
172 6% 85%  
173 8% 79%  
174 10% 71%  
175 10% 61% Median
176 10% 50%  
177 9% 40%  
178 8% 31%  
179 7% 24%  
180 5% 17% Last Result
181 4% 12%  
182 3% 8%  
183 2% 6%  
184 1.2% 4%  
185 1.1% 2%  
186 0.5% 1.4%  
187 0.4% 0.8%  
188 0.2% 0.5%  
189 0.2% 0.3%  
190 0.1% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.2% 99.8%  
87 0.3% 99.7%  
88 0.3% 99.4%  
89 0.4% 99.1%  
90 0.3% 98.7%  
91 0.1% 98%  
92 0.1% 98%  
93 0% 98%  
94 0% 98%  
95 0% 98%  
96 0% 98%  
97 0% 98%  
98 0% 98%  
99 0% 98%  
100 0% 98%  
101 0% 98%  
102 0% 98%  
103 0% 98%  
104 0% 98%  
105 0% 98%  
106 0% 98%  
107 0% 98%  
108 0% 98%  
109 0% 98%  
110 0% 98%  
111 0% 98%  
112 0% 98%  
113 0% 98%  
114 0% 98%  
115 0% 98%  
116 0% 98%  
117 0% 98%  
118 0% 98%  
119 0% 98%  
120 0% 98%  
121 0% 98%  
122 0% 98%  
123 0% 98%  
124 0% 98%  
125 0% 98%  
126 0% 98%  
127 0% 98%  
128 0% 98%  
129 0% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0% 98%  
132 0% 98%  
133 0% 98%  
134 0% 98%  
135 0% 98%  
136 0.1% 98%  
137 0.2% 98%  
138 0.6% 98%  
139 1.3% 97%  
140 2% 96%  
141 4% 94%  
142 6% 90%  
143 7% 84%  
144 9% 77%  
145 11% 68%  
146 10% 57% Median
147 11% 47%  
148 9% 36%  
149 7% 27%  
150 6% 20%  
151 5% 14% Majority
152 3% 9%  
153 2% 6%  
154 1.4% 4%  
155 0.9% 2%  
156 0.5% 1.2%  
157 0.3% 0.7%  
158 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0.1% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.7%  
81 0.4% 99.5%  
82 0.5% 99.1%  
83 0.8% 98.6%  
84 1.4% 98%  
85 2% 96%  
86 2% 95%  
87 3% 92%  
88 5% 89%  
89 6% 85%  
90 8% 78%  
91 9% 70%  
92 9% 61%  
93 10% 52% Median
94 10% 42%  
95 9% 32% Last Result
96 7% 23%  
97 5% 16%  
98 4% 11%  
99 2% 6%  
100 1.3% 4%  
101 0.6% 3%  
102 0.3% 2%  
103 0.1% 2%  
104 0.1% 2%  
105 0% 2%  
106 0% 2%  
107 0% 2%  
108 0% 2%  
109 0% 2%  
110 0% 2%  
111 0% 2%  
112 0% 2%  
113 0% 2%  
114 0% 2%  
115 0% 2%  
116 0% 2%  
117 0% 2%  
118 0% 2%  
119 0% 2%  
120 0% 2%  
121 0% 2%  
122 0% 2%  
123 0% 2%  
124 0% 2%  
125 0% 2%  
126 0% 2%  
127 0% 2%  
128 0% 2%  
129 0% 2%  
130 0% 2%  
131 0% 2%  
132 0% 2%  
133 0% 2%  
134 0% 2%  
135 0% 2%  
136 0% 2%  
137 0% 2%  
138 0% 2%  
139 0% 2%  
140 0% 2%  
141 0% 2%  
142 0% 2%  
143 0% 2%  
144 0% 2%  
145 0% 2%  
146 0.1% 2%  
147 0.1% 2%  
148 0.2% 2%  
149 0.3% 1.5%  
150 0.3% 1.2%  
151 0.3% 0.9% Majority
152 0.2% 0.5%  
153 0.1% 0.3%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.5% 99.6%  
75 0.9% 99.2%  
76 2% 98%  
77 3% 96%  
78 4% 94%  
79 6% 89%  
80 8% 83%  
81 10% 75%  
82 11% 66%  
83 11% 55% Median
84 10% 44%  
85 10% 34%  
86 7% 24% Last Result
87 6% 17%  
88 4% 11%  
89 3% 7%  
90 1.5% 5%  
91 0.7% 3%  
92 0.5% 3%  
93 0.2% 2%  
94 0.1% 2%  
95 0% 2%  
96 0% 2%  
97 0% 2%  
98 0% 2%  
99 0% 2%  
100 0% 2%  
101 0% 2%  
102 0% 2%  
103 0% 2%  
104 0% 2%  
105 0% 2%  
106 0% 2%  
107 0% 2%  
108 0% 2%  
109 0% 2%  
110 0% 2%  
111 0% 2%  
112 0% 2%  
113 0% 2%  
114 0% 2%  
115 0% 2%  
116 0% 2%  
117 0% 2%  
118 0% 2%  
119 0% 2%  
120 0% 2%  
121 0% 2%  
122 0% 2%  
123 0% 2%  
124 0% 2%  
125 0% 2%  
126 0% 2%  
127 0% 2%  
128 0% 2%  
129 0% 2%  
130 0% 2%  
131 0% 2%  
132 0% 2%  
133 0% 2%  
134 0% 2%  
135 0% 2%  
136 0% 2%  
137 0.1% 2%  
138 0.2% 2%  
139 0.3% 2%  
140 0.4% 1.3%  
141 0.3% 0.9%  
142 0.2% 0.6%  
143 0.1% 0.4%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations