Opinion Poll by MRB for Newsbomb, 24–28 March 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 33.3% 31.4–35.3% 30.9–35.8% 30.4–36.3% 29.6–37.2%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.4% 27.6–31.3% 27.1–31.8% 26.7–32.3% 25.8–33.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.2% 7.8–11.5% 7.3–12.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.4–8.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.0–6.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 144 139–148 136–150 88–151 84–154
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 78–88 77–91 76–140 73–143
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 27 24–30 24–31 23–31 21–33
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–20 14–21 14–22 12–23
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–18 13–18 12–19 11–21
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 13 11–15 10–16 10–17 9–18

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.3% 99.7%  
85 0.5% 99.4%  
86 0.6% 98.9%  
87 0.8% 98%  
88 0.7% 98%  
89 0.8% 97%  
90 0.4% 96%  
91 0.2% 96%  
92 0.1% 95%  
93 0% 95%  
94 0% 95%  
95 0% 95%  
96 0% 95%  
97 0% 95%  
98 0% 95%  
99 0% 95%  
100 0% 95%  
101 0% 95%  
102 0% 95%  
103 0% 95%  
104 0% 95%  
105 0% 95%  
106 0% 95%  
107 0% 95%  
108 0% 95%  
109 0% 95%  
110 0% 95%  
111 0% 95%  
112 0% 95%  
113 0% 95%  
114 0% 95%  
115 0% 95%  
116 0% 95%  
117 0% 95%  
118 0% 95%  
119 0% 95%  
120 0% 95%  
121 0% 95%  
122 0% 95%  
123 0% 95%  
124 0% 95%  
125 0% 95%  
126 0% 95%  
127 0% 95%  
128 0% 95%  
129 0% 95%  
130 0% 95%  
131 0% 95%  
132 0% 95%  
133 0% 95%  
134 0% 95%  
135 0.2% 95%  
136 0.5% 95%  
137 1.3% 95%  
138 2% 93%  
139 4% 91%  
140 6% 87%  
141 7% 81%  
142 11% 74%  
143 10% 63%  
144 11% 53% Median
145 10% 42%  
146 9% 32%  
147 7% 22%  
148 5% 15%  
149 4% 10%  
150 3% 6%  
151 2% 4% Majority
152 0.8% 2%  
153 0.5% 1.1%  
154 0.3% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 0.5% 99.5%  
75 0.9% 98.9%  
76 2% 98%  
77 3% 96%  
78 4% 94%  
79 6% 90%  
80 7% 84%  
81 9% 77%  
82 11% 68%  
83 10% 57% Median
84 9% 46%  
85 10% 37%  
86 8% 27% Last Result
87 6% 19%  
88 4% 13%  
89 2% 9%  
90 1.2% 7%  
91 0.5% 5%  
92 0.1% 5%  
93 0.1% 5%  
94 0% 5%  
95 0% 5%  
96 0% 5%  
97 0% 5%  
98 0% 5%  
99 0% 5%  
100 0% 5%  
101 0% 5%  
102 0% 5%  
103 0% 5%  
104 0% 5%  
105 0% 5%  
106 0% 5%  
107 0% 5%  
108 0% 5%  
109 0% 5%  
110 0% 5%  
111 0% 5%  
112 0% 5%  
113 0% 5%  
114 0% 5%  
115 0% 5%  
116 0% 5%  
117 0% 5%  
118 0% 5%  
119 0% 5%  
120 0% 5%  
121 0% 5%  
122 0% 5%  
123 0% 5%  
124 0% 5%  
125 0% 5%  
126 0% 5%  
127 0% 5%  
128 0% 5%  
129 0% 5%  
130 0% 5%  
131 0% 5%  
132 0% 5%  
133 0% 5%  
134 0% 5%  
135 0.1% 5%  
136 0.2% 5%  
137 0.4% 4%  
138 0.6% 4%  
139 0.7% 4%  
140 0.8% 3%  
141 0.9% 2%  
142 0.5% 1.1%  
143 0.3% 0.6%  
144 0.2% 0.3%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.2% 99.9%  
21 0.4% 99.8%  
22 1.2% 99.3% Last Result
23 3% 98%  
24 6% 95%  
25 11% 89%  
26 16% 78%  
27 19% 61% Median
28 17% 43%  
29 12% 25%  
30 8% 14%  
31 3% 6%  
32 1.4% 2%  
33 0.6% 1.0%  
34 0.2% 0.5%  
35 0.1% 0.2%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.9%  
13 2% 99.4%  
14 5% 98%  
15 10% 92% Last Result
16 16% 82%  
17 19% 66% Median
18 17% 47%  
19 13% 30%  
20 9% 17%  
21 5% 8%  
22 2% 3%  
23 0.9% 1.3%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100% Last Result
11 0.6% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.3%  
13 7% 97%  
14 17% 89%  
15 24% 72% Median
16 21% 48%  
17 15% 27%  
18 7% 12%  
19 3% 5%  
20 1.1% 2%  
21 0.6% 1.0%  
22 0.3% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 0% 99.6%  
5 0% 99.6%  
6 0% 99.6%  
7 0% 99.6%  
8 0% 99.6%  
9 2% 99.6% Last Result
10 6% 98%  
11 14% 92%  
12 20% 78%  
13 22% 58% Median
14 16% 36%  
15 11% 20%  
16 6% 9%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.8% 1.2%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 171 95% 165–176 162–178 113–179 110–182
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 96 4% 91–101 90–105 88–153 86–156
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 144 4% 139–148 136–150 88–151 84–154
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 0% 78–88 77–91 76–140 73–143

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.2% 99.9%  
110 0.2% 99.6%  
111 0.5% 99.4%  
112 1.0% 98.9%  
113 0.7% 98%  
114 0.4% 97%  
115 0.9% 97%  
116 0.3% 96%  
117 0.1% 96%  
118 0.1% 95%  
119 0.1% 95%  
120 0% 95%  
121 0% 95%  
122 0% 95%  
123 0% 95%  
124 0% 95%  
125 0% 95%  
126 0% 95%  
127 0% 95%  
128 0% 95%  
129 0% 95%  
130 0% 95%  
131 0% 95%  
132 0% 95%  
133 0% 95%  
134 0% 95%  
135 0% 95%  
136 0% 95%  
137 0% 95%  
138 0% 95%  
139 0% 95%  
140 0% 95%  
141 0% 95%  
142 0% 95%  
143 0% 95%  
144 0% 95%  
145 0% 95%  
146 0% 95%  
147 0% 95%  
148 0% 95%  
149 0% 95%  
150 0% 95%  
151 0% 95% Majority
152 0% 95%  
153 0% 95%  
154 0% 95%  
155 0% 95%  
156 0% 95%  
157 0% 95%  
158 0% 95%  
159 0% 95%  
160 0% 95%  
161 0.1% 95%  
162 0.1% 95%  
163 0.4% 95%  
164 2% 95%  
165 4% 93%  
166 3% 89%  
167 6% 85%  
168 10% 79%  
169 6% 70%  
170 8% 63%  
171 14% 56% Median
172 7% 42%  
173 7% 35%  
174 10% 28%  
175 6% 19%  
176 3% 13%  
177 4% 10%  
178 2% 6%  
179 1.0% 3%  
180 1.2% 2% Last Result
181 0.5% 1.1%  
182 0.2% 0.6%  
183 0.2% 0.3%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.2% 99.8%  
86 0.4% 99.5%  
87 0.7% 99.1%  
88 1.1% 98%  
89 2% 97%  
90 3% 95%  
91 4% 93%  
92 6% 88%  
93 7% 82%  
94 9% 76%  
95 9% 66% Last Result
96 10% 57% Median
97 10% 46%  
98 9% 37%  
99 8% 27%  
100 6% 19%  
101 4% 13%  
102 2% 10%  
103 1.4% 7%  
104 0.7% 6%  
105 0.2% 5%  
106 0.1% 5%  
107 0% 5%  
108 0% 5%  
109 0% 5%  
110 0% 5%  
111 0% 5%  
112 0% 5%  
113 0% 5%  
114 0% 5%  
115 0% 5%  
116 0% 5%  
117 0% 5%  
118 0% 5%  
119 0% 5%  
120 0% 5%  
121 0% 5%  
122 0% 5%  
123 0% 5%  
124 0% 5%  
125 0% 5%  
126 0% 5%  
127 0% 5%  
128 0% 5%  
129 0% 5%  
130 0% 5%  
131 0% 5%  
132 0% 5%  
133 0% 5%  
134 0% 5%  
135 0% 5%  
136 0% 5%  
137 0% 5%  
138 0% 5%  
139 0% 5%  
140 0% 5%  
141 0% 5%  
142 0% 5%  
143 0% 5%  
144 0% 5%  
145 0% 5%  
146 0% 5%  
147 0% 5%  
148 0.1% 5%  
149 0.2% 5%  
150 0.4% 4%  
151 0.7% 4% Majority
152 0.7% 3%  
153 0.7% 3%  
154 0.8% 2%  
155 0.5% 1.1%  
156 0.3% 0.6%  
157 0.2% 0.3%  
158 0.1% 0.2%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.3% 99.7%  
85 0.5% 99.4%  
86 0.6% 98.9%  
87 0.8% 98%  
88 0.7% 98%  
89 0.8% 97%  
90 0.4% 96%  
91 0.2% 96%  
92 0.1% 95%  
93 0% 95%  
94 0% 95%  
95 0% 95%  
96 0% 95%  
97 0% 95%  
98 0% 95%  
99 0% 95%  
100 0% 95%  
101 0% 95%  
102 0% 95%  
103 0% 95%  
104 0% 95%  
105 0% 95%  
106 0% 95%  
107 0% 95%  
108 0% 95%  
109 0% 95%  
110 0% 95%  
111 0% 95%  
112 0% 95%  
113 0% 95%  
114 0% 95%  
115 0% 95%  
116 0% 95%  
117 0% 95%  
118 0% 95%  
119 0% 95%  
120 0% 95%  
121 0% 95%  
122 0% 95%  
123 0% 95%  
124 0% 95%  
125 0% 95%  
126 0% 95%  
127 0% 95%  
128 0% 95%  
129 0% 95%  
130 0% 95%  
131 0% 95%  
132 0% 95%  
133 0% 95%  
134 0% 95%  
135 0.2% 95%  
136 0.5% 95%  
137 1.3% 95%  
138 2% 93%  
139 4% 91%  
140 6% 87%  
141 7% 81%  
142 11% 74%  
143 10% 63%  
144 11% 53% Median
145 10% 42%  
146 9% 32%  
147 7% 22%  
148 5% 15%  
149 4% 10%  
150 3% 6%  
151 2% 4% Majority
152 0.8% 2%  
153 0.5% 1.1%  
154 0.3% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 0.5% 99.5%  
75 0.9% 98.9%  
76 2% 98%  
77 3% 96%  
78 4% 94%  
79 6% 90%  
80 7% 84%  
81 9% 77%  
82 11% 68%  
83 10% 57% Median
84 9% 46%  
85 10% 37%  
86 8% 27% Last Result
87 6% 19%  
88 4% 13%  
89 2% 9%  
90 1.2% 7%  
91 0.5% 5%  
92 0.1% 5%  
93 0.1% 5%  
94 0% 5%  
95 0% 5%  
96 0% 5%  
97 0% 5%  
98 0% 5%  
99 0% 5%  
100 0% 5%  
101 0% 5%  
102 0% 5%  
103 0% 5%  
104 0% 5%  
105 0% 5%  
106 0% 5%  
107 0% 5%  
108 0% 5%  
109 0% 5%  
110 0% 5%  
111 0% 5%  
112 0% 5%  
113 0% 5%  
114 0% 5%  
115 0% 5%  
116 0% 5%  
117 0% 5%  
118 0% 5%  
119 0% 5%  
120 0% 5%  
121 0% 5%  
122 0% 5%  
123 0% 5%  
124 0% 5%  
125 0% 5%  
126 0% 5%  
127 0% 5%  
128 0% 5%  
129 0% 5%  
130 0% 5%  
131 0% 5%  
132 0% 5%  
133 0% 5%  
134 0% 5%  
135 0.1% 5%  
136 0.2% 5%  
137 0.4% 4%  
138 0.6% 4%  
139 0.7% 4%  
140 0.8% 3%  
141 0.9% 2%  
142 0.5% 1.1%  
143 0.3% 0.6%  
144 0.2% 0.3%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations