Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 22–28 March 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 32.5% 30.8–34.2% 30.4–34.6% 30.0–35.1% 29.2–35.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.7% 25.2–28.3% 24.8–28.8% 24.4–29.2% 23.7–30.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 11.7% 10.6–12.9% 10.3–13.3% 10.1–13.6% 9.6–14.2%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.1% 6.3–8.1% 6.0–8.4% 5.8–8.7% 5.5–9.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.2% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.3% 4.1–6.6% 3.8–7.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.8% 4.1–5.7% 3.9–5.9% 3.8–6.1% 3.5–6.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 142 137–146 136–148 135–149 132–151
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 76 71–80 70–81 69–82 67–85
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 33 30–37 29–37 29–38 27–40
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 18–23 17–24 17–24 15–26
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–17 12–18 12–19 11–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 14 12–16 11–17 11–17 10–19

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 0% 99.7%  
86 0% 99.7%  
87 0% 99.7%  
88 0% 99.6%  
89 0% 99.6%  
90 0% 99.6%  
91 0% 99.6%  
92 0% 99.6%  
93 0% 99.6%  
94 0% 99.6%  
95 0% 99.6%  
96 0% 99.6%  
97 0% 99.6%  
98 0% 99.6%  
99 0% 99.6%  
100 0% 99.6%  
101 0% 99.6%  
102 0% 99.6%  
103 0% 99.6%  
104 0% 99.6%  
105 0% 99.6%  
106 0% 99.6%  
107 0% 99.6%  
108 0% 99.6%  
109 0% 99.6%  
110 0% 99.6%  
111 0% 99.6%  
112 0% 99.6%  
113 0% 99.6%  
114 0% 99.6%  
115 0% 99.6%  
116 0% 99.6%  
117 0% 99.6%  
118 0% 99.6%  
119 0% 99.6%  
120 0% 99.6%  
121 0% 99.6%  
122 0% 99.6%  
123 0% 99.6%  
124 0% 99.6%  
125 0% 99.6%  
126 0% 99.6%  
127 0% 99.6%  
128 0% 99.6%  
129 0% 99.6%  
130 0% 99.6%  
131 0% 99.6%  
132 0.1% 99.6%  
133 0.4% 99.4%  
134 0.9% 99.0%  
135 2% 98%  
136 3% 96%  
137 4% 94%  
138 6% 89%  
139 8% 83%  
140 10% 75%  
141 11% 65%  
142 11% 54% Median
143 10% 43%  
144 10% 33%  
145 8% 23%  
146 6% 15%  
147 4% 10%  
148 3% 6%  
149 2% 3%  
150 0.9% 2%  
151 0.4% 0.8% Majority
152 0.2% 0.4%  
153 0.1% 0.2%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.4% 99.7%  
68 0.9% 99.3%  
69 2% 98%  
70 3% 97%  
71 4% 94%  
72 7% 90%  
73 9% 83%  
74 11% 74%  
75 11% 63%  
76 12% 52% Median
77 11% 40%  
78 9% 30%  
79 7% 20%  
80 5% 13%  
81 3% 8%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.2% 2%  
84 0.6% 1.3%  
85 0.2% 0.7%  
86 0.1% 0.5% Last Result
87 0% 0.4%  
88 0% 0.4%  
89 0% 0.4%  
90 0% 0.4%  
91 0% 0.4%  
92 0% 0.4%  
93 0% 0.4%  
94 0% 0.4%  
95 0% 0.4%  
96 0% 0.4%  
97 0% 0.4%  
98 0% 0.4%  
99 0% 0.4%  
100 0% 0.4%  
101 0% 0.4%  
102 0% 0.4%  
103 0% 0.4%  
104 0% 0.4%  
105 0% 0.4%  
106 0% 0.4%  
107 0% 0.4%  
108 0% 0.4%  
109 0% 0.4%  
110 0% 0.4%  
111 0% 0.4%  
112 0% 0.4%  
113 0% 0.4%  
114 0% 0.4%  
115 0% 0.4%  
116 0% 0.4%  
117 0% 0.4%  
118 0% 0.4%  
119 0% 0.4%  
120 0% 0.4%  
121 0% 0.4%  
122 0% 0.4%  
123 0% 0.4%  
124 0% 0.4%  
125 0% 0.4%  
126 0% 0.4%  
127 0% 0.4%  
128 0% 0.4%  
129 0% 0.4%  
130 0% 0.4%  
131 0% 0.3%  
132 0% 0.3%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.3%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0.1% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.2% 100%  
27 0.6% 99.8%  
28 1.5% 99.2%  
29 4% 98%  
30 7% 94%  
31 11% 87%  
32 15% 76%  
33 15% 61% Median
34 16% 46%  
35 12% 31%  
36 9% 19%  
37 6% 10%  
38 3% 5%  
39 1.4% 2%  
40 0.5% 0.8%  
41 0.2% 0.3%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
16 2% 99.5%  
17 5% 98%  
18 11% 92%  
19 16% 82%  
20 20% 66% Median
21 18% 45%  
22 13% 27%  
23 7% 14%  
24 4% 6%  
25 2% 2%  
26 0.5% 0.7%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100% Last Result
11 2% 99.7%  
12 6% 98%  
13 14% 92%  
14 21% 79%  
15 22% 58% Median
16 18% 36%  
17 11% 18%  
18 5% 7%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.6% 0.7%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100% Last Result
10 1.5% 99.8%  
11 6% 98%  
12 13% 92%  
13 23% 79%  
14 24% 56% Median
15 17% 33%  
16 10% 16%  
17 4% 6%  
18 1.4% 2%  
19 0.4% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 175 99.6% 170–180 169–181 168–182 165–185
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 142 0.8% 137–146 136–148 135–149 132–151
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 89 0.1% 85–94 84–95 83–97 81–100
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 76 0% 71–80 70–81 69–82 67–85

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0% 100%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0% 99.7%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0% 99.6%  
124 0% 99.6%  
125 0% 99.6%  
126 0% 99.6%  
127 0% 99.6%  
128 0% 99.6%  
129 0% 99.6%  
130 0% 99.6%  
131 0% 99.6%  
132 0% 99.6%  
133 0% 99.6%  
134 0% 99.6%  
135 0% 99.6%  
136 0% 99.6%  
137 0% 99.6%  
138 0% 99.6%  
139 0% 99.6%  
140 0% 99.6%  
141 0% 99.6%  
142 0% 99.6%  
143 0% 99.6%  
144 0% 99.6%  
145 0% 99.6%  
146 0% 99.6%  
147 0% 99.6%  
148 0% 99.6%  
149 0% 99.6%  
150 0% 99.6%  
151 0% 99.6% Majority
152 0% 99.6%  
153 0% 99.6%  
154 0% 99.6%  
155 0% 99.6%  
156 0% 99.6%  
157 0% 99.6%  
158 0% 99.6%  
159 0% 99.6%  
160 0% 99.6%  
161 0% 99.6%  
162 0% 99.6%  
163 0% 99.6%  
164 0.1% 99.6%  
165 0.2% 99.5%  
166 0.4% 99.4%  
167 0.9% 99.0%  
168 2% 98%  
169 3% 96%  
170 4% 94%  
171 5% 90%  
172 8% 85%  
173 8% 76%  
174 10% 68%  
175 11% 58% Median
176 10% 46%  
177 10% 37%  
178 8% 27%  
179 6% 19%  
180 5% 12% Last Result
181 3% 7%  
182 2% 4%  
183 1.1% 2%  
184 0.7% 1.2%  
185 0.3% 0.6%  
186 0.2% 0.3%  
187 0.1% 0.1%  
188 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 0% 99.7%  
86 0% 99.7%  
87 0% 99.7%  
88 0% 99.6%  
89 0% 99.6%  
90 0% 99.6%  
91 0% 99.6%  
92 0% 99.6%  
93 0% 99.6%  
94 0% 99.6%  
95 0% 99.6%  
96 0% 99.6%  
97 0% 99.6%  
98 0% 99.6%  
99 0% 99.6%  
100 0% 99.6%  
101 0% 99.6%  
102 0% 99.6%  
103 0% 99.6%  
104 0% 99.6%  
105 0% 99.6%  
106 0% 99.6%  
107 0% 99.6%  
108 0% 99.6%  
109 0% 99.6%  
110 0% 99.6%  
111 0% 99.6%  
112 0% 99.6%  
113 0% 99.6%  
114 0% 99.6%  
115 0% 99.6%  
116 0% 99.6%  
117 0% 99.6%  
118 0% 99.6%  
119 0% 99.6%  
120 0% 99.6%  
121 0% 99.6%  
122 0% 99.6%  
123 0% 99.6%  
124 0% 99.6%  
125 0% 99.6%  
126 0% 99.6%  
127 0% 99.6%  
128 0% 99.6%  
129 0% 99.6%  
130 0% 99.6%  
131 0% 99.6%  
132 0.1% 99.6%  
133 0.4% 99.4%  
134 0.9% 99.0%  
135 2% 98%  
136 3% 96%  
137 4% 94%  
138 6% 89%  
139 8% 83%  
140 10% 75%  
141 11% 65%  
142 11% 54% Median
143 10% 43%  
144 10% 33%  
145 8% 23%  
146 6% 15%  
147 4% 10%  
148 3% 6%  
149 2% 3%  
150 0.9% 2%  
151 0.4% 0.8% Majority
152 0.2% 0.4%  
153 0.1% 0.2%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8%  
81 0.6% 99.6%  
82 1.3% 99.0%  
83 2% 98%  
84 3% 96%  
85 5% 92%  
86 7% 87%  
87 9% 81%  
88 9% 71%  
89 13% 62%  
90 10% 50% Median
91 11% 39%  
92 8% 29%  
93 7% 20%  
94 6% 14%  
95 3% 8% Last Result
96 2% 5%  
97 1.3% 3%  
98 0.5% 1.4%  
99 0.3% 0.9%  
100 0.1% 0.5%  
101 0% 0.4%  
102 0% 0.4%  
103 0% 0.4%  
104 0% 0.4%  
105 0% 0.4%  
106 0% 0.4%  
107 0% 0.4%  
108 0% 0.4%  
109 0% 0.4%  
110 0% 0.4%  
111 0% 0.4%  
112 0% 0.4%  
113 0% 0.4%  
114 0% 0.4%  
115 0% 0.4%  
116 0% 0.4%  
117 0% 0.4%  
118 0% 0.4%  
119 0% 0.4%  
120 0% 0.4%  
121 0% 0.4%  
122 0% 0.4%  
123 0% 0.4%  
124 0% 0.4%  
125 0% 0.4%  
126 0% 0.4%  
127 0% 0.4%  
128 0% 0.4%  
129 0% 0.4%  
130 0% 0.4%  
131 0% 0.4%  
132 0% 0.4%  
133 0% 0.4%  
134 0% 0.4%  
135 0% 0.4%  
136 0% 0.4%  
137 0% 0.4%  
138 0% 0.4%  
139 0% 0.4%  
140 0% 0.4%  
141 0% 0.4%  
142 0% 0.4%  
143 0% 0.4%  
144 0% 0.4%  
145 0% 0.3%  
146 0% 0.3%  
147 0.1% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.2%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1% Majority
152 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.4% 99.7%  
68 0.9% 99.3%  
69 2% 98%  
70 3% 97%  
71 4% 94%  
72 7% 90%  
73 9% 83%  
74 11% 74%  
75 11% 63%  
76 12% 52% Median
77 11% 40%  
78 9% 30%  
79 7% 20%  
80 5% 13%  
81 3% 8%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.2% 2%  
84 0.6% 1.3%  
85 0.2% 0.7%  
86 0.1% 0.5% Last Result
87 0% 0.4%  
88 0% 0.4%  
89 0% 0.4%  
90 0% 0.4%  
91 0% 0.4%  
92 0% 0.4%  
93 0% 0.4%  
94 0% 0.4%  
95 0% 0.4%  
96 0% 0.4%  
97 0% 0.4%  
98 0% 0.4%  
99 0% 0.4%  
100 0% 0.4%  
101 0% 0.4%  
102 0% 0.4%  
103 0% 0.4%  
104 0% 0.4%  
105 0% 0.4%  
106 0% 0.4%  
107 0% 0.4%  
108 0% 0.4%  
109 0% 0.4%  
110 0% 0.4%  
111 0% 0.4%  
112 0% 0.4%  
113 0% 0.4%  
114 0% 0.4%  
115 0% 0.4%  
116 0% 0.4%  
117 0% 0.4%  
118 0% 0.4%  
119 0% 0.4%  
120 0% 0.4%  
121 0% 0.4%  
122 0% 0.4%  
123 0% 0.4%  
124 0% 0.4%  
125 0% 0.4%  
126 0% 0.4%  
127 0% 0.4%  
128 0% 0.4%  
129 0% 0.4%  
130 0% 0.4%  
131 0% 0.3%  
132 0% 0.3%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.3%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0.1% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations