Opinion Poll by Prorata for Η Εφημερίδα των Συντακτών, 24–28 March 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 33.9% 32.1–35.8% 31.6–36.3% 31.2–36.8% 30.3–37.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 30.4% 28.7–32.3% 28.2–32.8% 27.7–33.2% 26.9–34.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 10.7% 9.6–12.0% 9.3–12.4% 9.0–12.7% 8.5–13.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.5% 5.7–7.6% 5.4–7.9% 5.2–8.2% 4.8–8.7%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.2% 3.6–5.1% 3.4–5.4% 3.2–5.6% 2.9–6.1%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.6% 3.0–4.4% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.4–5.3%
Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες 0.0% 3.6% 3.0–4.4% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.4–5.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 142 136–147 89–148 85–150 81–153
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 82 77–88 76–136 75–139 72–143
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 29 26–32 25–33 24–34 23–36
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 15–20 15–21 14–22 13–24
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 10–14 9–15 9–15 0–16
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–14
Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες 0 10 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.3% 99.8%  
82 0.4% 99.5%  
83 0.6% 99.1%  
84 0.9% 98.5%  
85 1.1% 98%  
86 0.5% 97%  
87 0.4% 96%  
88 0.6% 96%  
89 0.4% 95%  
90 0.2% 95%  
91 0.1% 94%  
92 0% 94%  
93 0% 94%  
94 0% 94%  
95 0% 94%  
96 0% 94%  
97 0% 94%  
98 0% 94%  
99 0% 94%  
100 0% 94%  
101 0% 94%  
102 0% 94%  
103 0% 94%  
104 0% 94%  
105 0% 94%  
106 0% 94%  
107 0% 94%  
108 0% 94%  
109 0% 94%  
110 0% 94%  
111 0% 94%  
112 0% 94%  
113 0% 94%  
114 0% 94%  
115 0% 94%  
116 0% 94%  
117 0% 94%  
118 0% 94%  
119 0% 94%  
120 0% 94%  
121 0% 94%  
122 0% 94%  
123 0% 94%  
124 0% 94%  
125 0% 94%  
126 0% 94%  
127 0% 94%  
128 0% 94%  
129 0% 94%  
130 0% 94%  
131 0% 94%  
132 0.1% 94%  
133 0.2% 94%  
134 0.5% 94%  
135 2% 93%  
136 4% 91%  
137 4% 88%  
138 6% 84%  
139 8% 78%  
140 9% 70%  
141 9% 60%  
142 9% 52% Median
143 10% 42%  
144 9% 32%  
145 6% 23%  
146 5% 16%  
147 4% 11%  
148 3% 7%  
149 2% 4%  
150 1.1% 3%  
151 0.7% 2% Majority
152 0.4% 0.9%  
153 0.2% 0.5%  
154 0.2% 0.3%  
155 0.1% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.8%  
73 0.6% 99.5%  
74 1.2% 98.9%  
75 2% 98%  
76 3% 96%  
77 5% 93%  
78 7% 88%  
79 9% 81%  
80 10% 72%  
81 12% 62%  
82 11% 50% Median
83 9% 40%  
84 7% 31%  
85 5% 24%  
86 5% 18% Last Result
87 3% 13%  
88 2% 10%  
89 1.4% 8%  
90 0.5% 7%  
91 0.3% 6%  
92 0.2% 6%  
93 0% 6%  
94 0% 6%  
95 0% 6%  
96 0% 6%  
97 0% 6%  
98 0% 6%  
99 0% 6%  
100 0% 6%  
101 0% 6%  
102 0% 6%  
103 0% 6%  
104 0% 6%  
105 0% 6%  
106 0% 6%  
107 0% 6%  
108 0% 6%  
109 0% 6%  
110 0% 6%  
111 0% 6%  
112 0% 6%  
113 0% 6%  
114 0% 6%  
115 0% 6%  
116 0% 6%  
117 0% 6%  
118 0% 6%  
119 0% 6%  
120 0% 6%  
121 0% 6%  
122 0% 6%  
123 0% 6%  
124 0% 6%  
125 0% 6%  
126 0% 6%  
127 0% 6%  
128 0% 6%  
129 0% 6%  
130 0% 6%  
131 0% 6%  
132 0% 6%  
133 0.1% 6%  
134 0.2% 6%  
135 0.4% 5%  
136 0.5% 5%  
137 1.0% 4%  
138 0.6% 3%  
139 0.6% 3%  
140 0.9% 2%  
141 0.5% 1.4%  
142 0.4% 0.9%  
143 0.2% 0.6%  
144 0.2% 0.3%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
23 0.9% 99.7%  
24 2% 98.8%  
25 5% 97%  
26 8% 92%  
27 13% 83%  
28 15% 71%  
29 15% 56% Median
30 13% 41%  
31 12% 28%  
32 7% 16%  
33 4% 9%  
34 2% 4%  
35 1.3% 2%  
36 0.5% 0.8%  
37 0.2% 0.3%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 0.9% 99.8%  
14 3% 99.0%  
15 8% 96% Last Result
16 12% 88%  
17 16% 75%  
18 19% 59% Median
19 19% 40%  
20 12% 22%  
21 5% 9%  
22 3% 4%  
23 1.1% 2%  
24 0.4% 0.6%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100%  
1 0% 99.1%  
2 0% 99.1%  
3 0% 99.1%  
4 0% 99.1%  
5 0% 99.1%  
6 0% 99.1%  
7 0% 99.1%  
8 0.9% 99.1%  
9 6% 98%  
10 14% 92% Last Result
11 24% 77%  
12 24% 54% Median
13 16% 30%  
14 9% 14%  
15 4% 5%  
16 1.2% 2%  
17 0.4% 0.5%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100%  
1 0% 89%  
2 0% 89%  
3 0% 89%  
4 0% 89%  
5 0% 89%  
6 0% 89%  
7 0% 89%  
8 0.6% 89%  
9 30% 89% Last Result
10 35% 59% Median
11 10% 24%  
12 8% 14%  
13 5% 6%  
14 0.8% 1.0%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100% Last Result
1 0% 86%  
2 0% 86%  
3 0% 86%  
4 0% 86%  
5 0% 86%  
6 0% 86%  
7 0% 86%  
8 4% 86%  
9 22% 82%  
10 26% 60% Median
11 17% 34%  
12 10% 16%  
13 4% 6%  
14 1.5% 2%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 171 94% 164–177 118–178 114–180 110–183
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 142 2% 136–147 89–148 85–150 81–153
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 91 1.4% 86–97 84–144 82–148 79–153
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 82 0% 77–88 76–136 75–139 72–143

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0.1% 100%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.2% 99.8%  
110 0.4% 99.6%  
111 0.3% 99.3%  
112 0.8% 98.9%  
113 0.4% 98%  
114 0.8% 98%  
115 0.5% 97%  
116 0.7% 96%  
117 0.4% 96%  
118 0.5% 95%  
119 0.3% 95%  
120 0.2% 95%  
121 0.1% 94%  
122 0% 94%  
123 0% 94%  
124 0% 94%  
125 0% 94%  
126 0% 94%  
127 0% 94%  
128 0% 94%  
129 0% 94%  
130 0% 94%  
131 0% 94%  
132 0% 94%  
133 0% 94%  
134 0% 94%  
135 0% 94%  
136 0% 94%  
137 0% 94%  
138 0% 94%  
139 0% 94%  
140 0% 94%  
141 0% 94%  
142 0% 94%  
143 0% 94%  
144 0% 94%  
145 0% 94%  
146 0% 94%  
147 0% 94%  
148 0% 94%  
149 0% 94%  
150 0% 94%  
151 0% 94% Majority
152 0% 94%  
153 0% 94%  
154 0% 94%  
155 0% 94%  
156 0% 94%  
157 0% 94%  
158 0% 94%  
159 0% 94%  
160 0.1% 94%  
161 0.2% 94%  
162 0.7% 94%  
163 1.0% 93%  
164 3% 92%  
165 3% 89%  
166 6% 86%  
167 5% 80%  
168 8% 75%  
169 10% 68%  
170 7% 58%  
171 13% 51% Median
172 6% 38%  
173 8% 32%  
174 5% 24%  
175 5% 19%  
176 4% 14%  
177 3% 10%  
178 3% 7%  
179 1.3% 4%  
180 1.4% 3% Last Result
181 0.5% 2%  
182 0.4% 1.0%  
183 0.2% 0.6%  
184 0.2% 0.4%  
185 0.1% 0.2%  
186 0.1% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.3% 99.8%  
82 0.4% 99.5%  
83 0.6% 99.1%  
84 0.9% 98.5%  
85 1.1% 98%  
86 0.5% 97%  
87 0.4% 96%  
88 0.6% 96%  
89 0.4% 95%  
90 0.2% 95%  
91 0.1% 94%  
92 0% 94%  
93 0% 94%  
94 0% 94%  
95 0% 94%  
96 0% 94%  
97 0% 94%  
98 0% 94%  
99 0% 94%  
100 0% 94%  
101 0% 94%  
102 0% 94%  
103 0% 94%  
104 0% 94%  
105 0% 94%  
106 0% 94%  
107 0% 94%  
108 0% 94%  
109 0% 94%  
110 0% 94%  
111 0% 94%  
112 0% 94%  
113 0% 94%  
114 0% 94%  
115 0% 94%  
116 0% 94%  
117 0% 94%  
118 0% 94%  
119 0% 94%  
120 0% 94%  
121 0% 94%  
122 0% 94%  
123 0% 94%  
124 0% 94%  
125 0% 94%  
126 0% 94%  
127 0% 94%  
128 0% 94%  
129 0% 94%  
130 0% 94%  
131 0% 94%  
132 0.1% 94%  
133 0.2% 94%  
134 0.5% 94%  
135 2% 93%  
136 4% 91%  
137 4% 88%  
138 6% 84%  
139 8% 78%  
140 9% 70%  
141 9% 60%  
142 9% 52% Median
143 10% 42%  
144 9% 32%  
145 6% 23%  
146 5% 16%  
147 4% 11%  
148 3% 7%  
149 2% 4%  
150 1.1% 3%  
151 0.7% 2% Majority
152 0.4% 0.9%  
153 0.2% 0.5%  
154 0.2% 0.3%  
155 0.1% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.8%  
79 0.3% 99.6%  
80 0.4% 99.2%  
81 0.7% 98.8%  
82 1.1% 98%  
83 2% 97%  
84 2% 95%  
85 3% 93%  
86 4% 91%  
87 6% 86%  
88 7% 80%  
89 8% 73%  
90 10% 65%  
91 12% 55%  
92 10% 43% Median
93 9% 34%  
94 6% 25%  
95 4% 19% Last Result
96 4% 15%  
97 2% 11%  
98 1.3% 9%  
99 1.1% 8%  
100 0.3% 7%  
101 0.3% 6%  
102 0.1% 6%  
103 0% 6%  
104 0% 6%  
105 0% 6%  
106 0% 6%  
107 0% 6%  
108 0% 6%  
109 0% 6%  
110 0% 6%  
111 0% 6%  
112 0% 6%  
113 0% 6%  
114 0% 6%  
115 0% 6%  
116 0% 6%  
117 0% 6%  
118 0% 6%  
119 0% 6%  
120 0% 6%  
121 0% 6%  
122 0% 6%  
123 0% 6%  
124 0% 6%  
125 0% 6%  
126 0% 6%  
127 0% 6%  
128 0% 6%  
129 0% 6%  
130 0% 6%  
131 0% 6%  
132 0% 6%  
133 0% 6%  
134 0% 6%  
135 0% 6%  
136 0% 6%  
137 0% 6%  
138 0% 6%  
139 0.1% 6%  
140 0.2% 6%  
141 0.1% 5%  
142 0.1% 5%  
143 0.1% 5%  
144 0.2% 5%  
145 0.4% 5%  
146 0.5% 5%  
147 0.9% 4%  
148 0.6% 3%  
149 0.6% 2%  
150 0.5% 2%  
151 0.4% 1.4% Majority
152 0.4% 0.9%  
153 0.2% 0.5%  
154 0.1% 0.3%  
155 0.1% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.8%  
73 0.6% 99.5%  
74 1.2% 98.9%  
75 2% 98%  
76 3% 96%  
77 5% 93%  
78 7% 88%  
79 9% 81%  
80 10% 72%  
81 12% 62%  
82 11% 50% Median
83 9% 40%  
84 7% 31%  
85 5% 24%  
86 5% 18% Last Result
87 3% 13%  
88 2% 10%  
89 1.4% 8%  
90 0.5% 7%  
91 0.3% 6%  
92 0.2% 6%  
93 0% 6%  
94 0% 6%  
95 0% 6%  
96 0% 6%  
97 0% 6%  
98 0% 6%  
99 0% 6%  
100 0% 6%  
101 0% 6%  
102 0% 6%  
103 0% 6%  
104 0% 6%  
105 0% 6%  
106 0% 6%  
107 0% 6%  
108 0% 6%  
109 0% 6%  
110 0% 6%  
111 0% 6%  
112 0% 6%  
113 0% 6%  
114 0% 6%  
115 0% 6%  
116 0% 6%  
117 0% 6%  
118 0% 6%  
119 0% 6%  
120 0% 6%  
121 0% 6%  
122 0% 6%  
123 0% 6%  
124 0% 6%  
125 0% 6%  
126 0% 6%  
127 0% 6%  
128 0% 6%  
129 0% 6%  
130 0% 6%  
131 0% 6%  
132 0% 6%  
133 0.1% 6%  
134 0.2% 6%  
135 0.4% 5%  
136 0.5% 5%  
137 1.0% 4%  
138 0.6% 3%  
139 0.6% 3%  
140 0.9% 2%  
141 0.5% 1.4%  
142 0.4% 0.9%  
143 0.2% 0.6%  
144 0.2% 0.3%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations