Opinion Poll by Palmos Analysis for Tvxs.gr, 27–30 March 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 31.0% 29.3–32.9% 28.8–33.4% 28.3–33.9% 27.5–34.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.2% 24.6–28.0% 24.1–28.5% 23.7–28.9% 22.9–29.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 10.7% 9.6–12.0% 9.3–12.4% 9.0–12.7% 8.5–13.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.1% 6.2–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.7–8.8% 5.3–9.4%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.8% 4.1–5.7% 3.9–6.0% 3.7–6.2% 3.4–6.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.8% 4.1–5.7% 3.9–6.0% 3.7–6.2% 3.4–6.7%
Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες 0.0% 4.8% 4.1–5.7% 3.9–6.0% 3.7–6.2% 3.4–6.7%
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.7–3.2% 1.6–3.4% 1.4–3.8%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 137 131–142 129–143 126–144 77–146
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 68–78 67–79 66–82 63–132
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 30 26–34 26–34 25–35 24–36
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 17–23 17–24 16–25 15–26
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 11–16 11–16 10–17 10–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 13 12–15 12–16 11–17 9–19
Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες 0 14 11–16 11–16 10–17 9–18
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0 0 0 0–9 0–9 0–10
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 0.2% 99.6%  
78 0.2% 99.4%  
79 0.9% 99.2%  
80 0.2% 98%  
81 0.3% 98%  
82 0% 98%  
83 0% 98%  
84 0% 98%  
85 0% 98%  
86 0% 98%  
87 0% 98%  
88 0% 98%  
89 0% 98%  
90 0% 98%  
91 0% 98%  
92 0% 98%  
93 0% 98%  
94 0% 98%  
95 0% 98%  
96 0% 98%  
97 0% 98%  
98 0% 98%  
99 0% 98%  
100 0% 98%  
101 0% 98%  
102 0% 98%  
103 0% 98%  
104 0% 98%  
105 0% 98%  
106 0% 98%  
107 0% 98%  
108 0% 98%  
109 0% 98%  
110 0% 98%  
111 0% 98%  
112 0% 98%  
113 0% 98%  
114 0% 98%  
115 0% 98%  
116 0% 98%  
117 0% 98%  
118 0% 98%  
119 0% 98%  
120 0% 98%  
121 0% 98%  
122 0% 98%  
123 0% 98%  
124 0% 98%  
125 0.1% 98%  
126 0.1% 98%  
127 0.3% 97%  
128 0.6% 97%  
129 2% 97%  
130 4% 95%  
131 3% 91%  
132 5% 88%  
133 5% 83%  
134 5% 77%  
135 15% 72%  
136 7% 57%  
137 11% 50% Median
138 15% 39%  
139 6% 24%  
140 3% 18%  
141 3% 15%  
142 5% 11%  
143 4% 7%  
144 2% 3%  
145 0.3% 1.0%  
146 0.5% 0.7%  
147 0.2% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0% Majority
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.7%  
64 0.5% 99.4%  
65 1.1% 98.8%  
66 1.0% 98%  
67 5% 97%  
68 4% 92%  
69 6% 88%  
70 8% 82%  
71 12% 74%  
72 9% 62%  
73 17% 53% Median
74 5% 36%  
75 9% 31%  
76 7% 22%  
77 4% 16%  
78 6% 11%  
79 2% 6%  
80 1.3% 4%  
81 0.3% 3%  
82 0.2% 3%  
83 0.1% 2%  
84 0.2% 2%  
85 0% 2%  
86 0% 2% Last Result
87 0% 2%  
88 0% 2%  
89 0% 2%  
90 0% 2%  
91 0% 2%  
92 0% 2%  
93 0% 2%  
94 0% 2%  
95 0% 2%  
96 0% 2%  
97 0% 2%  
98 0% 2%  
99 0% 2%  
100 0% 2%  
101 0% 2%  
102 0% 2%  
103 0% 2%  
104 0% 2%  
105 0% 2%  
106 0% 2%  
107 0% 2%  
108 0% 2%  
109 0% 2%  
110 0% 2%  
111 0% 2%  
112 0% 2%  
113 0% 2%  
114 0% 2%  
115 0% 2%  
116 0% 2%  
117 0% 2%  
118 0% 2%  
119 0% 2%  
120 0% 2%  
121 0% 2%  
122 0% 2%  
123 0% 2%  
124 0% 2%  
125 0% 2%  
126 0.1% 2%  
127 0.1% 2%  
128 0.2% 2%  
129 0.2% 2%  
130 0.8% 2%  
131 0.2% 0.8%  
132 0.2% 0.6%  
133 0.3% 0.4%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0.1% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0.4% 99.9%  
24 2% 99.6%  
25 2% 98%  
26 8% 96%  
27 7% 88%  
28 20% 81%  
29 7% 61%  
30 6% 54% Median
31 19% 48%  
32 14% 29%  
33 5% 15%  
34 6% 11%  
35 3% 5%  
36 1.1% 1.5%  
37 0.2% 0.4%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.2% 99.9%  
15 1.0% 99.7% Last Result
16 3% 98.7%  
17 8% 95%  
18 25% 87%  
19 11% 62%  
20 10% 52% Median
21 16% 41%  
22 15% 25%  
23 5% 11%  
24 3% 5%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.8% 1.0%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.4% 100%  
10 2% 99.6% Last Result
11 9% 97%  
12 20% 88%  
13 15% 68%  
14 30% 54% Median
15 13% 24%  
16 7% 11%  
17 3% 4%  
18 0.8% 1.2%  
19 0.4% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0.6% 99.9% Last Result
10 1.3% 99.3%  
11 3% 98%  
12 19% 95%  
13 30% 76% Median
14 25% 46%  
15 15% 21%  
16 2% 6%  
17 2% 4%  
18 1.3% 2%  
19 0.6% 0.8%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.7% 99.9%  
10 3% 99.3%  
11 10% 96%  
12 12% 86%  
13 23% 74%  
14 26% 51% Median
15 13% 25%  
16 8% 12%  
17 3% 4%  
18 0.8% 1.3%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Εθνική Δημιουργία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 10%  
2 0% 10%  
3 0% 10%  
4 0% 10%  
5 0% 10%  
6 0% 10%  
7 0% 10%  
8 2% 10%  
9 7% 8%  
10 1.3% 2%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 166 98% 160–171 157–174 156–174 106–177
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 137 0% 131–142 129–143 126–144 77–146
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 86 0% 82–91 80–93 80–96 76–145
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 0% 68–78 67–79 66–82 63–132

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.3% 99.8%  
107 0.2% 99.5%  
108 0.8% 99.2%  
109 0.3% 98%  
110 0.1% 98%  
111 0.1% 98%  
112 0.1% 98%  
113 0% 98%  
114 0% 98%  
115 0% 98%  
116 0% 98%  
117 0% 98%  
118 0% 98%  
119 0% 98%  
120 0% 98%  
121 0% 98%  
122 0% 98%  
123 0% 98%  
124 0% 98%  
125 0% 98%  
126 0% 98%  
127 0% 98%  
128 0% 98%  
129 0% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0% 98%  
132 0% 98%  
133 0% 98%  
134 0% 98%  
135 0% 98%  
136 0% 98%  
137 0% 98%  
138 0% 98%  
139 0% 98%  
140 0% 98%  
141 0% 98%  
142 0% 98%  
143 0% 98%  
144 0% 98%  
145 0% 98%  
146 0% 98%  
147 0% 98%  
148 0% 98%  
149 0% 98%  
150 0% 98%  
151 0% 98% Majority
152 0% 98%  
153 0.1% 98%  
154 0% 98%  
155 0.1% 98%  
156 1.4% 98%  
157 1.2% 96%  
158 1.2% 95%  
159 1.1% 94%  
160 3% 93%  
161 6% 89%  
162 4% 83%  
163 7% 80%  
164 6% 73%  
165 12% 66%  
166 6% 54%  
167 8% 49% Median
168 3% 40%  
169 16% 37%  
170 9% 21%  
171 3% 13%  
172 0.8% 10%  
173 4% 9%  
174 3% 5%  
175 1.1% 2%  
176 0.1% 0.7%  
177 0.3% 0.6%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0% Last Result

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 0.2% 99.6%  
78 0.2% 99.4%  
79 0.9% 99.2%  
80 0.2% 98%  
81 0.3% 98%  
82 0% 98%  
83 0% 98%  
84 0% 98%  
85 0% 98%  
86 0% 98%  
87 0% 98%  
88 0% 98%  
89 0% 98%  
90 0% 98%  
91 0% 98%  
92 0% 98%  
93 0% 98%  
94 0% 98%  
95 0% 98%  
96 0% 98%  
97 0% 98%  
98 0% 98%  
99 0% 98%  
100 0% 98%  
101 0% 98%  
102 0% 98%  
103 0% 98%  
104 0% 98%  
105 0% 98%  
106 0% 98%  
107 0% 98%  
108 0% 98%  
109 0% 98%  
110 0% 98%  
111 0% 98%  
112 0% 98%  
113 0% 98%  
114 0% 98%  
115 0% 98%  
116 0% 98%  
117 0% 98%  
118 0% 98%  
119 0% 98%  
120 0% 98%  
121 0% 98%  
122 0% 98%  
123 0% 98%  
124 0% 98%  
125 0.1% 98%  
126 0.1% 98%  
127 0.3% 97%  
128 0.6% 97%  
129 2% 97%  
130 4% 95%  
131 3% 91%  
132 5% 88%  
133 5% 83%  
134 5% 77%  
135 15% 72%  
136 7% 57%  
137 11% 50% Median
138 15% 39%  
139 6% 24%  
140 3% 18%  
141 3% 15%  
142 5% 11%  
143 4% 7%  
144 2% 3%  
145 0.3% 1.0%  
146 0.5% 0.7%  
147 0.2% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0% Majority
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.7%  
77 0.5% 99.5%  
78 0.5% 99.0%  
79 0.9% 98%  
80 3% 98%  
81 4% 94%  
82 6% 90%  
83 4% 84%  
84 9% 80%  
85 14% 71%  
86 16% 56% Median
87 7% 41%  
88 7% 33%  
89 6% 26%  
90 10% 20%  
91 3% 11%  
92 2% 8%  
93 0.9% 5%  
94 2% 4%  
95 0.2% 3% Last Result
96 0.2% 3%  
97 0.2% 2%  
98 0% 2%  
99 0% 2%  
100 0% 2%  
101 0% 2%  
102 0% 2%  
103 0% 2%  
104 0% 2%  
105 0% 2%  
106 0% 2%  
107 0% 2%  
108 0% 2%  
109 0% 2%  
110 0% 2%  
111 0% 2%  
112 0% 2%  
113 0% 2%  
114 0% 2%  
115 0% 2%  
116 0% 2%  
117 0% 2%  
118 0% 2%  
119 0% 2%  
120 0% 2%  
121 0% 2%  
122 0% 2%  
123 0% 2%  
124 0% 2%  
125 0% 2%  
126 0% 2%  
127 0% 2%  
128 0% 2%  
129 0% 2%  
130 0% 2%  
131 0% 2%  
132 0% 2%  
133 0% 2%  
134 0% 2%  
135 0% 2%  
136 0% 2%  
137 0% 2%  
138 0% 2%  
139 0% 2%  
140 0.1% 2%  
141 0.1% 2%  
142 0.2% 2%  
143 0.2% 2%  
144 0.8% 2%  
145 0.4% 0.7%  
146 0.2% 0.3%  
147 0% 0.2%  
148 0.1% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.7%  
64 0.5% 99.4%  
65 1.1% 98.8%  
66 1.0% 98%  
67 5% 97%  
68 4% 92%  
69 6% 88%  
70 8% 82%  
71 12% 74%  
72 9% 62%  
73 17% 53% Median
74 5% 36%  
75 9% 31%  
76 7% 22%  
77 4% 16%  
78 6% 11%  
79 2% 6%  
80 1.3% 4%  
81 0.3% 3%  
82 0.2% 3%  
83 0.1% 2%  
84 0.2% 2%  
85 0% 2%  
86 0% 2% Last Result
87 0% 2%  
88 0% 2%  
89 0% 2%  
90 0% 2%  
91 0% 2%  
92 0% 2%  
93 0% 2%  
94 0% 2%  
95 0% 2%  
96 0% 2%  
97 0% 2%  
98 0% 2%  
99 0% 2%  
100 0% 2%  
101 0% 2%  
102 0% 2%  
103 0% 2%  
104 0% 2%  
105 0% 2%  
106 0% 2%  
107 0% 2%  
108 0% 2%  
109 0% 2%  
110 0% 2%  
111 0% 2%  
112 0% 2%  
113 0% 2%  
114 0% 2%  
115 0% 2%  
116 0% 2%  
117 0% 2%  
118 0% 2%  
119 0% 2%  
120 0% 2%  
121 0% 2%  
122 0% 2%  
123 0% 2%  
124 0% 2%  
125 0% 2%  
126 0.1% 2%  
127 0.1% 2%  
128 0.2% 2%  
129 0.2% 2%  
130 0.8% 2%  
131 0.2% 0.8%  
132 0.2% 0.6%  
133 0.3% 0.4%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0.1% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations