Opinion Poll by Rass for Action 24, 27–31 March 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 32.9% 31.0–34.8% 30.5–35.4% 30.0–35.8% 29.1–36.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.9% 25.1–28.7% 24.6–29.2% 24.2–29.7% 23.4–30.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 13.3% 12.0–14.8% 11.6–15.2% 11.3–15.5% 10.7–16.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.2% 4.0–7.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.2%
Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες 0.0% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 135 131–141 129–142 128–143 78–146
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 65–75 64–76 63–78 61–127
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 35 31–39 30–40 29–41 28–42
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 21 18–24 17–25 17–25 15–27
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 12–17 12–18 11–19 10–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 13 11–16 11–17 10–17 9–19
Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες 0 11 9–13 8–14 8–14 0–16

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 0.1% 99.7%  
78 0.1% 99.5%  
79 0% 99.4%  
80 0% 99.4%  
81 0% 99.4%  
82 0% 99.3%  
83 0% 99.3%  
84 0% 99.3%  
85 0% 99.3%  
86 0% 99.3%  
87 0% 99.3%  
88 0% 99.3%  
89 0% 99.3%  
90 0% 99.3%  
91 0% 99.3%  
92 0% 99.3%  
93 0% 99.3%  
94 0% 99.3%  
95 0% 99.3%  
96 0% 99.3%  
97 0% 99.3%  
98 0% 99.3%  
99 0% 99.3%  
100 0% 99.3%  
101 0% 99.3%  
102 0% 99.3%  
103 0% 99.3%  
104 0% 99.3%  
105 0% 99.3%  
106 0% 99.3%  
107 0% 99.3%  
108 0% 99.3%  
109 0% 99.3%  
110 0% 99.3%  
111 0% 99.3%  
112 0% 99.3%  
113 0% 99.3%  
114 0% 99.3%  
115 0% 99.3%  
116 0% 99.3%  
117 0% 99.3%  
118 0% 99.3%  
119 0% 99.3%  
120 0% 99.3%  
121 0% 99.3%  
122 0% 99.3%  
123 0% 99.3%  
124 0% 99.3%  
125 0.1% 99.3%  
126 0.3% 99.1%  
127 0.5% 98.8%  
128 1.0% 98%  
129 2% 97%  
130 4% 95%  
131 6% 91%  
132 9% 84%  
133 9% 76%  
134 9% 67%  
135 9% 58% Median
136 8% 49%  
137 8% 41%  
138 8% 34%  
139 9% 25%  
140 6% 16%  
141 5% 10%  
142 2% 5%  
143 1.4% 3%  
144 0.9% 2%  
145 0.4% 1.0%  
146 0.3% 0.6%  
147 0.2% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0% Majority
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.2% 99.8%  
61 0.6% 99.7%  
62 0.8% 99.1%  
63 2% 98%  
64 2% 96%  
65 5% 94%  
66 6% 89%  
67 9% 83%  
68 8% 74%  
69 11% 66%  
70 10% 55% Median
71 10% 45%  
72 9% 35%  
73 7% 26%  
74 7% 19%  
75 4% 12%  
76 3% 7%  
77 2% 4%  
78 1.1% 3%  
79 0.6% 2%  
80 0.2% 1.0%  
81 0.1% 0.8%  
82 0% 0.7%  
83 0% 0.7%  
84 0% 0.7%  
85 0% 0.7%  
86 0% 0.7% Last Result
87 0% 0.7%  
88 0% 0.7%  
89 0% 0.7%  
90 0% 0.7%  
91 0% 0.7%  
92 0% 0.7%  
93 0% 0.7%  
94 0% 0.7%  
95 0% 0.7%  
96 0% 0.7%  
97 0% 0.7%  
98 0% 0.7%  
99 0% 0.7%  
100 0% 0.7%  
101 0% 0.7%  
102 0% 0.7%  
103 0% 0.7%  
104 0% 0.7%  
105 0% 0.7%  
106 0% 0.7%  
107 0% 0.7%  
108 0% 0.7%  
109 0% 0.7%  
110 0% 0.7%  
111 0% 0.7%  
112 0% 0.7%  
113 0% 0.7%  
114 0% 0.7%  
115 0% 0.7%  
116 0% 0.7%  
117 0% 0.7%  
118 0% 0.7%  
119 0% 0.7%  
120 0% 0.7%  
121 0% 0.7%  
122 0% 0.7%  
123 0% 0.7%  
124 0% 0.7%  
125 0% 0.6%  
126 0.1% 0.6%  
127 0.1% 0.6%  
128 0.1% 0.5%  
129 0.2% 0.4%  
130 0.1% 0.2%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.2% 99.9%  
28 0.7% 99.7%  
29 2% 99.1%  
30 4% 97%  
31 6% 94%  
32 11% 88%  
33 13% 77%  
34 12% 64%  
35 14% 52% Median
36 11% 38%  
37 9% 27%  
38 8% 18%  
39 5% 10%  
40 3% 5%  
41 2% 3%  
42 0.7% 1.1%  
43 0.3% 0.4%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
16 2% 99.5%  
17 5% 98%  
18 9% 93%  
19 14% 84%  
20 18% 70%  
21 16% 52% Median
22 15% 36%  
23 11% 22%  
24 6% 11%  
25 3% 5%  
26 1.3% 2%  
27 0.5% 0.8%  
28 0.2% 0.3%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.6% 99.9% Last Result
11 3% 99.3%  
12 8% 97%  
13 18% 88%  
14 19% 70%  
15 17% 51% Median
16 14% 33%  
17 10% 20%  
18 7% 10%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.7% 0.9%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.7% 99.9% Last Result
10 4% 99.2%  
11 9% 95%  
12 17% 86%  
13 22% 69% Median
14 19% 47%  
15 15% 28%  
16 7% 13%  
17 4% 6%  
18 1.4% 2%  
19 0.4% 0.6%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 4% 98%  
9 14% 94%  
10 23% 80%  
11 22% 58% Median
12 18% 35%  
13 11% 17%  
14 4% 7%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.5% 0.6%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 170 99.3% 165–176 164–177 162–179 113–181
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 135 0% 131–141 129–142 128–143 78–146
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 83 0% 79–88 77–90 76–91 74–141
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 0% 65–75 64–76 63–78 61–127

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.8%  
111 0.1% 99.8%  
112 0.1% 99.7%  
113 0.1% 99.6%  
114 0.1% 99.5%  
115 0% 99.4%  
116 0% 99.4%  
117 0% 99.4%  
118 0% 99.3%  
119 0% 99.3%  
120 0% 99.3%  
121 0% 99.3%  
122 0% 99.3%  
123 0% 99.3%  
124 0% 99.3%  
125 0% 99.3%  
126 0% 99.3%  
127 0% 99.3%  
128 0% 99.3%  
129 0% 99.3%  
130 0% 99.3%  
131 0% 99.3%  
132 0% 99.3%  
133 0% 99.3%  
134 0% 99.3%  
135 0% 99.3%  
136 0% 99.3%  
137 0% 99.3%  
138 0% 99.3%  
139 0% 99.3%  
140 0% 99.3%  
141 0% 99.3%  
142 0% 99.3%  
143 0% 99.3%  
144 0% 99.3%  
145 0% 99.3%  
146 0% 99.3%  
147 0% 99.3%  
148 0% 99.3%  
149 0% 99.3%  
150 0% 99.3%  
151 0% 99.3% Majority
152 0% 99.3%  
153 0% 99.3%  
154 0% 99.3%  
155 0% 99.3%  
156 0% 99.3%  
157 0% 99.3%  
158 0.1% 99.3%  
159 0.1% 99.2%  
160 0.3% 99.1%  
161 0.6% 98.8%  
162 1.4% 98%  
163 2% 97%  
164 3% 95%  
165 5% 92%  
166 5% 87%  
167 8% 82%  
168 7% 74%  
169 11% 67%  
170 9% 56% Median
171 8% 47%  
172 9% 39%  
173 9% 30%  
174 5% 21%  
175 6% 16%  
176 3% 10%  
177 3% 7%  
178 2% 4%  
179 1.1% 3%  
180 0.7% 1.5% Last Result
181 0.4% 0.8%  
182 0.2% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0.1% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 0.1% 99.7%  
78 0.1% 99.5%  
79 0% 99.4%  
80 0% 99.4%  
81 0% 99.4%  
82 0% 99.3%  
83 0% 99.3%  
84 0% 99.3%  
85 0% 99.3%  
86 0% 99.3%  
87 0% 99.3%  
88 0% 99.3%  
89 0% 99.3%  
90 0% 99.3%  
91 0% 99.3%  
92 0% 99.3%  
93 0% 99.3%  
94 0% 99.3%  
95 0% 99.3%  
96 0% 99.3%  
97 0% 99.3%  
98 0% 99.3%  
99 0% 99.3%  
100 0% 99.3%  
101 0% 99.3%  
102 0% 99.3%  
103 0% 99.3%  
104 0% 99.3%  
105 0% 99.3%  
106 0% 99.3%  
107 0% 99.3%  
108 0% 99.3%  
109 0% 99.3%  
110 0% 99.3%  
111 0% 99.3%  
112 0% 99.3%  
113 0% 99.3%  
114 0% 99.3%  
115 0% 99.3%  
116 0% 99.3%  
117 0% 99.3%  
118 0% 99.3%  
119 0% 99.3%  
120 0% 99.3%  
121 0% 99.3%  
122 0% 99.3%  
123 0% 99.3%  
124 0% 99.3%  
125 0.1% 99.3%  
126 0.3% 99.1%  
127 0.5% 98.8%  
128 1.0% 98%  
129 2% 97%  
130 4% 95%  
131 6% 91%  
132 9% 84%  
133 9% 76%  
134 9% 67%  
135 9% 58% Median
136 8% 49%  
137 8% 41%  
138 8% 34%  
139 9% 25%  
140 6% 16%  
141 5% 10%  
142 2% 5%  
143 1.4% 3%  
144 0.9% 2%  
145 0.4% 1.0%  
146 0.3% 0.6%  
147 0.2% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0% Majority
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.5% 99.6%  
75 0.9% 99.2%  
76 1.4% 98%  
77 3% 97%  
78 4% 94%  
79 5% 90%  
80 8% 85%  
81 7% 77%  
82 9% 70%  
83 12% 61% Median
84 9% 49%  
85 9% 40%  
86 7% 30%  
87 8% 23%  
88 5% 15%  
89 3% 10%  
90 3% 7%  
91 1.4% 4%  
92 0.8% 2%  
93 0.5% 2%  
94 0.2% 1.1%  
95 0.1% 0.9% Last Result
96 0% 0.7%  
97 0% 0.7%  
98 0% 0.7%  
99 0% 0.7%  
100 0% 0.7%  
101 0% 0.7%  
102 0% 0.7%  
103 0% 0.7%  
104 0% 0.7%  
105 0% 0.7%  
106 0% 0.7%  
107 0% 0.7%  
108 0% 0.7%  
109 0% 0.7%  
110 0% 0.7%  
111 0% 0.7%  
112 0% 0.7%  
113 0% 0.7%  
114 0% 0.7%  
115 0% 0.7%  
116 0% 0.7%  
117 0% 0.7%  
118 0% 0.7%  
119 0% 0.7%  
120 0% 0.7%  
121 0% 0.7%  
122 0% 0.7%  
123 0% 0.7%  
124 0% 0.7%  
125 0% 0.7%  
126 0% 0.7%  
127 0% 0.7%  
128 0% 0.7%  
129 0% 0.7%  
130 0% 0.7%  
131 0% 0.7%  
132 0% 0.7%  
133 0% 0.7%  
134 0% 0.7%  
135 0% 0.7%  
136 0% 0.7%  
137 0% 0.7%  
138 0% 0.7%  
139 0.1% 0.6%  
140 0.1% 0.6%  
141 0.1% 0.5%  
142 0.1% 0.4%  
143 0.1% 0.3%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.2% 99.8%  
61 0.6% 99.7%  
62 0.8% 99.1%  
63 2% 98%  
64 2% 96%  
65 5% 94%  
66 6% 89%  
67 9% 83%  
68 8% 74%  
69 11% 66%  
70 10% 55% Median
71 10% 45%  
72 9% 35%  
73 7% 26%  
74 7% 19%  
75 4% 12%  
76 3% 7%  
77 2% 4%  
78 1.1% 3%  
79 0.6% 2%  
80 0.2% 1.0%  
81 0.1% 0.8%  
82 0% 0.7%  
83 0% 0.7%  
84 0% 0.7%  
85 0% 0.7%  
86 0% 0.7% Last Result
87 0% 0.7%  
88 0% 0.7%  
89 0% 0.7%  
90 0% 0.7%  
91 0% 0.7%  
92 0% 0.7%  
93 0% 0.7%  
94 0% 0.7%  
95 0% 0.7%  
96 0% 0.7%  
97 0% 0.7%  
98 0% 0.7%  
99 0% 0.7%  
100 0% 0.7%  
101 0% 0.7%  
102 0% 0.7%  
103 0% 0.7%  
104 0% 0.7%  
105 0% 0.7%  
106 0% 0.7%  
107 0% 0.7%  
108 0% 0.7%  
109 0% 0.7%  
110 0% 0.7%  
111 0% 0.7%  
112 0% 0.7%  
113 0% 0.7%  
114 0% 0.7%  
115 0% 0.7%  
116 0% 0.7%  
117 0% 0.7%  
118 0% 0.7%  
119 0% 0.7%  
120 0% 0.7%  
121 0% 0.7%  
122 0% 0.7%  
123 0% 0.7%  
124 0% 0.7%  
125 0% 0.6%  
126 0.1% 0.6%  
127 0.1% 0.6%  
128 0.1% 0.5%  
129 0.2% 0.4%  
130 0.1% 0.2%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations