Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 3–5 April 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.6% 33.7–37.6% 33.2–38.1% 32.7–38.6% 31.8–39.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 30.2% 28.4–32.1% 27.9–32.6% 27.4–33.1% 26.6–34.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 10.8% 9.6–12.2% 9.3–12.5% 9.0–12.9% 8.5–13.6%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.1% 6.2–8.3% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.2–9.4%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.4%
Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 1.9–4.8%
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 145 140–152 138–154 136–155 86–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 75–86 74–88 73–90 71–141
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 29 26–32 25–33 24–34 23–36
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 17–22 16–23 15–24 14–25
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 9–13 9–14 8–15 0–16
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–15
Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες 0 8 0–10 0–11 0–12 0–13
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 0.1% 99.6%  
86 0.2% 99.5%  
87 0.2% 99.3%  
88 0.3% 99.2%  
89 0.3% 98.9%  
90 0.1% 98.6%  
91 0.1% 98%  
92 0% 98%  
93 0% 98%  
94 0% 98%  
95 0% 98%  
96 0% 98%  
97 0% 98%  
98 0% 98%  
99 0% 98%  
100 0% 98%  
101 0% 98%  
102 0% 98%  
103 0% 98%  
104 0% 98%  
105 0% 98%  
106 0% 98%  
107 0% 98%  
108 0% 98%  
109 0% 98%  
110 0% 98%  
111 0% 98%  
112 0% 98%  
113 0% 98%  
114 0% 98%  
115 0% 98%  
116 0% 98%  
117 0% 98%  
118 0% 98%  
119 0% 98%  
120 0% 98%  
121 0% 98%  
122 0% 98%  
123 0% 98%  
124 0% 98%  
125 0% 98%  
126 0% 98%  
127 0% 98%  
128 0% 98%  
129 0% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0% 98%  
132 0% 98%  
133 0% 98%  
134 0.1% 98%  
135 0.3% 98%  
136 0.6% 98%  
137 1.3% 97%  
138 2% 96%  
139 3% 95%  
140 4% 92%  
141 7% 88%  
142 7% 81%  
143 8% 74%  
144 9% 66%  
145 9% 56% Median
146 11% 47%  
147 9% 36%  
148 7% 27%  
149 4% 21%  
150 3% 17%  
151 3% 13% Majority
152 3% 10%  
153 2% 8%  
154 1.2% 5%  
155 2% 4%  
156 0.7% 2%  
157 0.9% 2%  
158 0.3% 0.8% Last Result
159 0.2% 0.5%  
160 0.2% 0.3%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 99.8%  
71 0.8% 99.5%  
72 0.7% 98.7%  
73 1.4% 98%  
74 3% 97%  
75 4% 93%  
76 4% 90%  
77 11% 86%  
78 5% 74%  
79 7% 69%  
80 14% 62% Median
81 10% 48%  
82 5% 38%  
83 10% 33%  
84 6% 23%  
85 4% 17%  
86 4% 13% Last Result
87 3% 9%  
88 1.4% 6%  
89 1.2% 4%  
90 0.8% 3%  
91 0.3% 2%  
92 0.1% 2%  
93 0.1% 2%  
94 0% 2%  
95 0% 2%  
96 0% 2%  
97 0% 2%  
98 0% 2%  
99 0% 2%  
100 0% 2%  
101 0% 2%  
102 0% 2%  
103 0% 2%  
104 0% 2%  
105 0% 2%  
106 0% 2%  
107 0% 2%  
108 0% 2%  
109 0% 2%  
110 0% 2%  
111 0% 2%  
112 0% 2%  
113 0% 2%  
114 0% 2%  
115 0% 2%  
116 0% 2%  
117 0% 2%  
118 0% 2%  
119 0% 2%  
120 0% 2%  
121 0% 2%  
122 0% 2%  
123 0% 2%  
124 0% 2%  
125 0% 2%  
126 0% 2%  
127 0% 2%  
128 0% 2%  
129 0% 2%  
130 0% 2%  
131 0% 2%  
132 0% 2%  
133 0% 2%  
134 0% 2%  
135 0.1% 2%  
136 0.1% 2%  
137 0.2% 1.4%  
138 0.2% 1.2%  
139 0.3% 1.0%  
140 0.1% 0.7%  
141 0.2% 0.6%  
142 0.1% 0.4%  
143 0.2% 0.3%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
23 0.9% 99.6%  
24 3% 98.7%  
25 5% 96%  
26 10% 91%  
27 9% 82%  
28 22% 72%  
29 11% 51% Median
30 13% 40%  
31 10% 26%  
32 7% 16%  
33 4% 9%  
34 2% 5%  
35 1.4% 2%  
36 0.5% 0.9%  
37 0.2% 0.4%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 1.0% 99.7%  
15 3% 98.8% Last Result
16 5% 96%  
17 8% 90%  
18 15% 82%  
19 24% 67% Median
20 14% 43%  
21 13% 28%  
22 9% 15%  
23 4% 6%  
24 2% 3%  
25 0.7% 1.1%  
26 0.3% 0.4%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 3% 98%  
9 12% 95%  
10 19% 83% Last Result
11 21% 64% Median
12 23% 43%  
13 11% 19%  
14 5% 8%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.7% 0.9%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100%  
1 0% 88%  
2 0% 88%  
3 0% 88%  
4 0% 88%  
5 0% 88%  
6 0% 88%  
7 0% 88%  
8 2% 88%  
9 30% 86% Last Result
10 32% 56% Median
11 9% 24%  
12 11% 15%  
13 4% 5%  
14 0.6% 1.1%  
15 0.4% 0.5%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100% Last Result
1 0% 64%  
2 0% 64%  
3 0% 64%  
4 0% 64%  
5 0% 64%  
6 0% 64%  
7 0% 64%  
8 21% 64% Median
9 22% 43%  
10 13% 21%  
11 5% 8%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.7% 0.8%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Εθνική Δημιουργία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 174 98% 168–181 166–183 164–185 114–189
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 145 13% 140–152 138–154 136–155 86–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 90 0.5% 84–95 81–97 80–100 77–151
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 0% 75–86 74–88 73–90 71–141

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.8%  
113 0.1% 99.7%  
114 0.1% 99.6%  
115 0.1% 99.5%  
116 0.1% 99.3%  
117 0.2% 99.2%  
118 0.2% 99.0%  
119 0.2% 98.8%  
120 0.2% 98.7%  
121 0.1% 98.5%  
122 0% 98%  
123 0% 98%  
124 0.1% 98%  
125 0% 98%  
126 0% 98%  
127 0% 98%  
128 0% 98%  
129 0% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0% 98%  
132 0% 98%  
133 0% 98%  
134 0% 98%  
135 0% 98%  
136 0% 98%  
137 0% 98%  
138 0% 98%  
139 0% 98%  
140 0% 98%  
141 0% 98%  
142 0% 98%  
143 0% 98%  
144 0% 98%  
145 0% 98%  
146 0% 98%  
147 0% 98%  
148 0% 98%  
149 0% 98%  
150 0% 98%  
151 0% 98% Majority
152 0% 98%  
153 0% 98%  
154 0% 98%  
155 0% 98%  
156 0% 98%  
157 0% 98%  
158 0% 98%  
159 0% 98%  
160 0% 98%  
161 0.1% 98%  
162 0.3% 98%  
163 0.2% 98%  
164 0.8% 98%  
165 0.5% 97%  
166 2% 96%  
167 1.5% 95%  
168 4% 93%  
169 7% 89%  
170 5% 82%  
171 5% 77%  
172 5% 72%  
173 11% 66%  
174 14% 55% Median
175 5% 41%  
176 7% 36%  
177 5% 29%  
178 4% 23%  
179 4% 19%  
180 4% 15% Last Result
181 3% 11%  
182 2% 9%  
183 1.4% 6%  
184 1.3% 5%  
185 1.4% 3%  
186 0.5% 2%  
187 0.7% 2%  
188 0.2% 0.8%  
189 0.3% 0.6%  
190 0.1% 0.4%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0.1% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 0.1% 99.6%  
86 0.2% 99.5%  
87 0.2% 99.3%  
88 0.3% 99.2%  
89 0.3% 98.9%  
90 0.1% 98.6%  
91 0.1% 98%  
92 0% 98%  
93 0% 98%  
94 0% 98%  
95 0% 98%  
96 0% 98%  
97 0% 98%  
98 0% 98%  
99 0% 98%  
100 0% 98%  
101 0% 98%  
102 0% 98%  
103 0% 98%  
104 0% 98%  
105 0% 98%  
106 0% 98%  
107 0% 98%  
108 0% 98%  
109 0% 98%  
110 0% 98%  
111 0% 98%  
112 0% 98%  
113 0% 98%  
114 0% 98%  
115 0% 98%  
116 0% 98%  
117 0% 98%  
118 0% 98%  
119 0% 98%  
120 0% 98%  
121 0% 98%  
122 0% 98%  
123 0% 98%  
124 0% 98%  
125 0% 98%  
126 0% 98%  
127 0% 98%  
128 0% 98%  
129 0% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0% 98%  
132 0% 98%  
133 0% 98%  
134 0.1% 98%  
135 0.3% 98%  
136 0.6% 98%  
137 1.3% 97%  
138 2% 96%  
139 3% 95%  
140 4% 92%  
141 7% 88%  
142 7% 81%  
143 8% 74%  
144 9% 66%  
145 9% 56% Median
146 11% 47%  
147 9% 36%  
148 7% 27%  
149 4% 21%  
150 3% 17%  
151 3% 13% Majority
152 3% 10%  
153 2% 8%  
154 1.2% 5%  
155 2% 4%  
156 0.7% 2%  
157 0.9% 2%  
158 0.3% 0.8% Last Result
159 0.2% 0.5%  
160 0.2% 0.3%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 0.1% 99.7%  
77 0.5% 99.6%  
78 0.7% 99.1%  
79 0.2% 98%  
80 1.1% 98%  
81 3% 97%  
82 0.8% 94%  
83 3% 94%  
84 5% 90%  
85 4% 86%  
86 4% 82%  
87 11% 78%  
88 7% 67%  
89 8% 60%  
90 11% 52% Median
91 8% 42%  
92 8% 33%  
93 6% 26%  
94 5% 20%  
95 4% 14% Last Result
96 3% 10%  
97 2% 7%  
98 1.3% 5%  
99 0.6% 3%  
100 0.6% 3%  
101 0.2% 2%  
102 0.1% 2%  
103 0.1% 2%  
104 0% 2%  
105 0% 2%  
106 0% 2%  
107 0% 2%  
108 0% 2%  
109 0% 2%  
110 0% 2%  
111 0% 2%  
112 0% 2%  
113 0% 2%  
114 0% 2%  
115 0% 2%  
116 0% 2%  
117 0% 2%  
118 0% 2%  
119 0% 2%  
120 0% 2%  
121 0% 2%  
122 0% 2%  
123 0% 2%  
124 0% 2%  
125 0% 2%  
126 0% 2%  
127 0% 2%  
128 0% 2%  
129 0% 2%  
130 0% 2%  
131 0% 2%  
132 0% 2%  
133 0% 2%  
134 0% 2%  
135 0% 2%  
136 0% 2%  
137 0% 2%  
138 0% 2%  
139 0% 2%  
140 0% 2%  
141 0% 2%  
142 0% 2%  
143 0% 2%  
144 0% 2%  
145 0.1% 2%  
146 0.1% 1.4%  
147 0.2% 1.3%  
148 0.1% 1.1%  
149 0.3% 0.9%  
150 0.1% 0.6%  
151 0.1% 0.5% Majority
152 0.2% 0.4%  
153 0.1% 0.2%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 99.8%  
71 0.8% 99.5%  
72 0.7% 98.7%  
73 1.4% 98%  
74 3% 97%  
75 4% 93%  
76 4% 90%  
77 11% 86%  
78 5% 74%  
79 7% 69%  
80 14% 62% Median
81 10% 48%  
82 5% 38%  
83 10% 33%  
84 6% 23%  
85 4% 17%  
86 4% 13% Last Result
87 3% 9%  
88 1.4% 6%  
89 1.2% 4%  
90 0.8% 3%  
91 0.3% 2%  
92 0.1% 2%  
93 0.1% 2%  
94 0% 2%  
95 0% 2%  
96 0% 2%  
97 0% 2%  
98 0% 2%  
99 0% 2%  
100 0% 2%  
101 0% 2%  
102 0% 2%  
103 0% 2%  
104 0% 2%  
105 0% 2%  
106 0% 2%  
107 0% 2%  
108 0% 2%  
109 0% 2%  
110 0% 2%  
111 0% 2%  
112 0% 2%  
113 0% 2%  
114 0% 2%  
115 0% 2%  
116 0% 2%  
117 0% 2%  
118 0% 2%  
119 0% 2%  
120 0% 2%  
121 0% 2%  
122 0% 2%  
123 0% 2%  
124 0% 2%  
125 0% 2%  
126 0% 2%  
127 0% 2%  
128 0% 2%  
129 0% 2%  
130 0% 2%  
131 0% 2%  
132 0% 2%  
133 0% 2%  
134 0% 2%  
135 0.1% 2%  
136 0.1% 2%  
137 0.2% 1.4%  
138 0.2% 1.2%  
139 0.3% 1.0%  
140 0.1% 0.7%  
141 0.2% 0.6%  
142 0.1% 0.4%  
143 0.2% 0.3%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations