Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Το Βήμα, 19–20 April 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 33.8% 31.9–35.7% 31.4–36.3% 30.9–36.7% 30.0–37.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.0% 25.3–28.9% 24.8–29.4% 24.4–29.8% 23.5–30.7%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 10.3% 9.2–11.7% 8.9–12.0% 8.6–12.4% 8.1–13.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.2–6.6% 4.0–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες 0.0% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 141 136–146 134–147 133–149 130–151
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 68–77 67–79 65–80 63–83
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 28 24–31 24–32 23–33 22–35
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 17–23 16–24 16–24 15–26
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 15 12–17 12–18 11–18 10–19
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 11–15 10–16 10–17 9–19
Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες 0 11 9–14 9–14 8–15 0–17

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0% 99.7%  
84 0% 99.7%  
85 0% 99.7%  
86 0% 99.7%  
87 0% 99.7%  
88 0% 99.7%  
89 0% 99.7%  
90 0% 99.7%  
91 0% 99.7%  
92 0% 99.7%  
93 0% 99.7%  
94 0% 99.7%  
95 0% 99.7%  
96 0% 99.7%  
97 0% 99.7%  
98 0% 99.7%  
99 0% 99.7%  
100 0% 99.7%  
101 0% 99.7%  
102 0% 99.7%  
103 0% 99.7%  
104 0% 99.7%  
105 0% 99.7%  
106 0% 99.7%  
107 0% 99.7%  
108 0% 99.7%  
109 0% 99.7%  
110 0% 99.7%  
111 0% 99.7%  
112 0% 99.7%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0% 99.7%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0% 99.7%  
124 0% 99.7%  
125 0% 99.7%  
126 0% 99.7%  
127 0% 99.7%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0.1% 99.7%  
130 0.2% 99.6%  
131 0.5% 99.4%  
132 0.7% 98.9%  
133 1.3% 98%  
134 2% 97%  
135 4% 95%  
136 5% 90%  
137 5% 86%  
138 9% 81%  
139 10% 72%  
140 9% 61%  
141 9% 52% Median
142 10% 43%  
143 8% 33%  
144 7% 24%  
145 5% 17%  
146 6% 12%  
147 3% 7%  
148 2% 4%  
149 1.3% 3%  
150 0.8% 1.5%  
151 0.3% 0.7% Majority
152 0.2% 0.4%  
153 0.1% 0.2%  
154 0.1% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.8%  
64 0.7% 99.4%  
65 1.3% 98.7%  
66 2% 97%  
67 3% 95%  
68 5% 92%  
69 6% 87%  
70 8% 80%  
71 10% 72%  
72 11% 62%  
73 10% 50% Median
74 10% 41%  
75 9% 31%  
76 6% 22%  
77 6% 16%  
78 4% 10%  
79 2% 6%  
80 2% 4%  
81 0.9% 2%  
82 0.4% 1.1%  
83 0.3% 0.7%  
84 0.1% 0.4%  
85 0% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.3% Last Result
87 0% 0.3%  
88 0% 0.3%  
89 0% 0.3%  
90 0% 0.3%  
91 0% 0.3%  
92 0% 0.3%  
93 0% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.3%  
96 0% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.3%  
98 0% 0.3%  
99 0% 0.3%  
100 0% 0.3%  
101 0% 0.3%  
102 0% 0.3%  
103 0% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.3%  
105 0% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0% 0.3%  
109 0% 0.3%  
110 0% 0.3%  
111 0% 0.3%  
112 0% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.3%  
114 0% 0.3%  
115 0% 0.3%  
116 0% 0.3%  
117 0% 0.3%  
118 0% 0.3%  
119 0% 0.3%  
120 0% 0.3%  
121 0% 0.3%  
122 0% 0.3%  
123 0% 0.3%  
124 0% 0.3%  
125 0% 0.3%  
126 0% 0.3%  
127 0% 0.3%  
128 0% 0.3%  
129 0% 0.3%  
130 0% 0.3%  
131 0% 0.3%  
132 0.1% 0.2%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.3% 99.9%  
22 1.1% 99.6% Last Result
23 3% 98%  
24 6% 96%  
25 10% 90%  
26 13% 80%  
27 15% 67%  
28 17% 52% Median
29 12% 35%  
30 9% 23%  
31 6% 13%  
32 4% 7%  
33 2% 3%  
34 0.9% 1.5%  
35 0.4% 0.6%  
36 0.2% 0.2%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.3% 99.9%  
15 1.2% 99.6% Last Result
16 4% 98%  
17 8% 95%  
18 13% 87%  
19 17% 74%  
20 19% 57% Median
21 15% 38%  
22 10% 23%  
23 7% 13%  
24 4% 6%  
25 1.5% 2%  
26 0.7% 1.0%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100% Last Result
10 1.1% 99.7%  
11 3% 98.6%  
12 7% 95%  
13 12% 89%  
14 21% 77%  
15 23% 56% Median
16 19% 33%  
17 9% 14%  
18 4% 5%  
19 1.0% 1.3%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 1.1% 99.9%  
10 6% 98.7% Last Result
11 14% 93%  
12 21% 79%  
13 24% 58% Median
14 16% 34%  
15 10% 18%  
16 4% 8%  
17 2% 4%  
18 1.0% 2%  
19 0.4% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.1% 100% Last Result
1 0% 98.9%  
2 0% 98.9%  
3 0% 98.9%  
4 0% 98.9%  
5 0% 98.9%  
6 0% 98.9%  
7 0% 98.9%  
8 1.4% 98.9%  
9 9% 97%  
10 20% 88%  
11 26% 68% Median
12 19% 42%  
13 13% 24%  
14 6% 11%  
15 3% 5%  
16 1.2% 2%  
17 0.4% 0.6%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 168 99.7% 163–174 162–175 160–177 157–179
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 141 0.7% 136–146 134–147 133–149 130–151
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 87 0% 82–92 81–94 80–95 77–97
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 0% 68–77 67–79 65–80 63–83

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.7%  
112 0% 99.7%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0% 99.7%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0% 99.7%  
124 0% 99.7%  
125 0% 99.7%  
126 0% 99.7%  
127 0% 99.7%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.7%  
135 0% 99.7%  
136 0% 99.7%  
137 0% 99.7%  
138 0% 99.7%  
139 0% 99.7%  
140 0% 99.7%  
141 0% 99.7%  
142 0% 99.7%  
143 0% 99.7%  
144 0% 99.7%  
145 0% 99.7%  
146 0% 99.7%  
147 0% 99.7%  
148 0% 99.7%  
149 0% 99.7%  
150 0% 99.7%  
151 0% 99.7% Majority
152 0% 99.7%  
153 0% 99.7%  
154 0% 99.7%  
155 0% 99.7%  
156 0.1% 99.7%  
157 0.2% 99.6%  
158 0.3% 99.4%  
159 0.7% 99.1%  
160 1.0% 98%  
161 2% 97%  
162 3% 95%  
163 3% 93%  
164 6% 89%  
165 7% 83%  
166 8% 76%  
167 9% 68%  
168 10% 59%  
169 8% 48% Median
170 9% 40%  
171 8% 31%  
172 7% 23%  
173 6% 17%  
174 4% 11%  
175 2% 7%  
176 2% 5%  
177 1.0% 3%  
178 0.6% 2%  
179 0.5% 0.9%  
180 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0.1% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0% 99.7%  
84 0% 99.7%  
85 0% 99.7%  
86 0% 99.7%  
87 0% 99.7%  
88 0% 99.7%  
89 0% 99.7%  
90 0% 99.7%  
91 0% 99.7%  
92 0% 99.7%  
93 0% 99.7%  
94 0% 99.7%  
95 0% 99.7%  
96 0% 99.7%  
97 0% 99.7%  
98 0% 99.7%  
99 0% 99.7%  
100 0% 99.7%  
101 0% 99.7%  
102 0% 99.7%  
103 0% 99.7%  
104 0% 99.7%  
105 0% 99.7%  
106 0% 99.7%  
107 0% 99.7%  
108 0% 99.7%  
109 0% 99.7%  
110 0% 99.7%  
111 0% 99.7%  
112 0% 99.7%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0% 99.7%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0% 99.7%  
124 0% 99.7%  
125 0% 99.7%  
126 0% 99.7%  
127 0% 99.7%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0.1% 99.7%  
130 0.2% 99.6%  
131 0.5% 99.4%  
132 0.7% 98.9%  
133 1.3% 98%  
134 2% 97%  
135 4% 95%  
136 5% 90%  
137 5% 86%  
138 9% 81%  
139 10% 72%  
140 9% 61%  
141 9% 52% Median
142 10% 43%  
143 8% 33%  
144 7% 24%  
145 5% 17%  
146 6% 12%  
147 3% 7%  
148 2% 4%  
149 1.3% 3%  
150 0.8% 1.5%  
151 0.3% 0.7% Majority
152 0.2% 0.4%  
153 0.1% 0.2%  
154 0.1% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.4% 99.7%  
78 0.6% 99.3%  
79 1.0% 98.7%  
80 2% 98%  
81 3% 96%  
82 4% 93%  
83 5% 90%  
84 7% 84%  
85 9% 78%  
86 9% 69%  
87 10% 60%  
88 10% 50% Median
89 11% 39%  
90 7% 28%  
91 7% 21%  
92 5% 14%  
93 3% 9%  
94 2% 5%  
95 1.4% 3% Last Result
96 0.6% 2%  
97 0.4% 0.9%  
98 0.1% 0.5%  
99 0% 0.4%  
100 0% 0.3%  
101 0% 0.3%  
102 0% 0.3%  
103 0% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.3%  
105 0% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0% 0.3%  
109 0% 0.3%  
110 0% 0.3%  
111 0% 0.3%  
112 0% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.3%  
114 0% 0.3%  
115 0% 0.3%  
116 0% 0.3%  
117 0% 0.3%  
118 0% 0.3%  
119 0% 0.3%  
120 0% 0.3%  
121 0% 0.3%  
122 0% 0.3%  
123 0% 0.3%  
124 0% 0.3%  
125 0% 0.3%  
126 0% 0.3%  
127 0% 0.3%  
128 0% 0.3%  
129 0% 0.3%  
130 0% 0.3%  
131 0% 0.3%  
132 0% 0.3%  
133 0% 0.3%  
134 0% 0.3%  
135 0% 0.3%  
136 0% 0.3%  
137 0% 0.3%  
138 0% 0.3%  
139 0% 0.3%  
140 0% 0.3%  
141 0% 0.3%  
142 0% 0.3%  
143 0% 0.3%  
144 0% 0.3%  
145 0% 0.3%  
146 0% 0.3%  
147 0.1% 0.2%  
148 0.1% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.8%  
64 0.7% 99.4%  
65 1.3% 98.7%  
66 2% 97%  
67 3% 95%  
68 5% 92%  
69 6% 87%  
70 8% 80%  
71 10% 72%  
72 11% 62%  
73 10% 50% Median
74 10% 41%  
75 9% 31%  
76 6% 22%  
77 6% 16%  
78 4% 10%  
79 2% 6%  
80 2% 4%  
81 0.9% 2%  
82 0.4% 1.1%  
83 0.3% 0.7%  
84 0.1% 0.4%  
85 0% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.3% Last Result
87 0% 0.3%  
88 0% 0.3%  
89 0% 0.3%  
90 0% 0.3%  
91 0% 0.3%  
92 0% 0.3%  
93 0% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.3%  
96 0% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.3%  
98 0% 0.3%  
99 0% 0.3%  
100 0% 0.3%  
101 0% 0.3%  
102 0% 0.3%  
103 0% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.3%  
105 0% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0% 0.3%  
109 0% 0.3%  
110 0% 0.3%  
111 0% 0.3%  
112 0% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.3%  
114 0% 0.3%  
115 0% 0.3%  
116 0% 0.3%  
117 0% 0.3%  
118 0% 0.3%  
119 0% 0.3%  
120 0% 0.3%  
121 0% 0.3%  
122 0% 0.3%  
123 0% 0.3%  
124 0% 0.3%  
125 0% 0.3%  
126 0% 0.3%  
127 0% 0.3%  
128 0% 0.3%  
129 0% 0.3%  
130 0% 0.3%  
131 0% 0.3%  
132 0.1% 0.2%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations