Opinion Poll by Alco for Alpha TV, 18–22 April 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.8% 33.9–37.8% 33.3–38.3% 32.9–38.8% 32.0–39.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.8% 27.0–30.7% 26.5–31.2% 26.1–31.7% 25.2–32.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.6% 3.3–5.9% 3.0–6.4%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες 0.0% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.4%
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.8–2.2% 0.6–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 146 140–151 139–153 137–154 135–157
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 77 72–82 71–84 69–85 67–88
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 27 24–30 23–31 22–32 21–34
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 16–22 15–23 15–23 14–25
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 10–14 9–15 9–16 0–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–14 9–14 8–15 0–16
Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες 0 10 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–14
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.8%  
87 0% 99.8%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.8%  
92 0% 99.7%  
93 0% 99.7%  
94 0% 99.7%  
95 0% 99.7%  
96 0% 99.7%  
97 0% 99.7%  
98 0% 99.7%  
99 0% 99.7%  
100 0% 99.7%  
101 0% 99.7%  
102 0% 99.7%  
103 0% 99.7%  
104 0% 99.7%  
105 0% 99.7%  
106 0% 99.7%  
107 0% 99.7%  
108 0% 99.7%  
109 0% 99.7%  
110 0% 99.7%  
111 0% 99.7%  
112 0% 99.7%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0% 99.7%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0% 99.7%  
124 0% 99.7%  
125 0% 99.7%  
126 0% 99.7%  
127 0% 99.7%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.7%  
134 0.1% 99.7%  
135 0.2% 99.6%  
136 0.8% 99.3%  
137 1.0% 98.5%  
138 2% 97%  
139 3% 96%  
140 4% 93%  
141 5% 89%  
142 8% 83%  
143 7% 76%  
144 8% 69%  
145 9% 61%  
146 13% 52% Median
147 8% 39%  
148 7% 32%  
149 7% 25%  
150 6% 18%  
151 3% 12% Majority
152 4% 9%  
153 2% 5%  
154 2% 4%  
155 1.0% 2%  
156 0.5% 1.1%  
157 0.3% 0.6%  
158 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.4% 99.7%  
68 1.0% 99.3%  
69 1.4% 98%  
70 2% 97%  
71 3% 95%  
72 6% 92%  
73 7% 86%  
74 9% 79%  
75 9% 71%  
76 6% 61%  
77 11% 56% Median
78 8% 45%  
79 10% 36%  
80 7% 26%  
81 6% 19%  
82 4% 13%  
83 4% 9%  
84 2% 5%  
85 1.4% 3%  
86 0.7% 2% Last Result
87 0.6% 1.2%  
88 0.2% 0.6%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.4%  
91 0% 0.3%  
92 0% 0.3%  
93 0% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.3%  
96 0% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.3%  
98 0% 0.3%  
99 0% 0.3%  
100 0% 0.3%  
101 0% 0.3%  
102 0% 0.3%  
103 0% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.3%  
105 0% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0% 0.3%  
109 0% 0.3%  
110 0% 0.3%  
111 0% 0.3%  
112 0% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.3%  
114 0% 0.3%  
115 0% 0.3%  
116 0% 0.3%  
117 0% 0.3%  
118 0% 0.3%  
119 0% 0.3%  
120 0% 0.3%  
121 0% 0.3%  
122 0% 0.3%  
123 0% 0.3%  
124 0% 0.3%  
125 0% 0.3%  
126 0% 0.3%  
127 0% 0.3%  
128 0% 0.3%  
129 0% 0.3%  
130 0% 0.3%  
131 0% 0.3%  
132 0% 0.3%  
133 0% 0.3%  
134 0% 0.2%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.3% 99.9%  
21 0.9% 99.6%  
22 2% 98.8% Last Result
23 5% 96%  
24 11% 92%  
25 12% 81%  
26 18% 69%  
27 12% 51% Median
28 15% 39%  
29 8% 25%  
30 8% 16%  
31 4% 8%  
32 2% 4%  
33 0.8% 2%  
34 0.5% 0.8%  
35 0.2% 0.3%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.3% 99.9%  
14 2% 99.6%  
15 5% 98% Last Result
16 13% 93%  
17 17% 80%  
18 16% 64% Median
19 16% 48%  
20 12% 32%  
21 10% 20%  
22 5% 10%  
23 3% 5%  
24 1.3% 2%  
25 0.4% 0.5%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100%  
1 0% 99.3%  
2 0% 99.3%  
3 0% 99.3%  
4 0% 99.3%  
5 0% 99.3%  
6 0% 99.3%  
7 0% 99.3%  
8 0.9% 99.3%  
9 4% 98%  
10 16% 94% Last Result
11 21% 78%  
12 21% 58% Median
13 17% 37%  
14 12% 19%  
15 5% 8%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.7% 1.0%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 2% 98%  
9 9% 97% Last Result
10 17% 87%  
11 25% 70% Median
12 19% 45%  
13 15% 26%  
14 6% 11%  
15 3% 4%  
16 0.8% 1.2%  
17 0.3% 0.4%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100% Last Result
1 0% 87%  
2 0% 87%  
3 0% 87%  
4 0% 87%  
5 0% 87%  
6 0% 87%  
7 0% 87%  
8 8% 87%  
9 24% 79%  
10 24% 56% Median
11 18% 32%  
12 9% 14%  
13 4% 5%  
14 1.1% 1.4%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Εθνική Δημιουργία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 172 99.7% 167–178 165–180 164–181 161–185
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 146 12% 140–151 139–153 137–154 135–157
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 88 0.1% 83–94 81–95 80–97 77–100
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 77 0% 72–82 71–84 69–85 67–88

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0% 99.7%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0% 99.7%  
124 0% 99.7%  
125 0% 99.7%  
126 0% 99.7%  
127 0% 99.7%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.7%  
135 0% 99.7%  
136 0% 99.7%  
137 0% 99.7%  
138 0% 99.7%  
139 0% 99.7%  
140 0% 99.7%  
141 0% 99.7%  
142 0% 99.7%  
143 0% 99.7%  
144 0% 99.7%  
145 0% 99.7%  
146 0% 99.7%  
147 0% 99.7%  
148 0% 99.7%  
149 0% 99.7%  
150 0% 99.7%  
151 0% 99.7% Majority
152 0% 99.7%  
153 0% 99.7%  
154 0% 99.7%  
155 0% 99.7%  
156 0% 99.7%  
157 0% 99.7%  
158 0% 99.7%  
159 0% 99.7%  
160 0.2% 99.7%  
161 0.1% 99.5%  
162 0.5% 99.4%  
163 0.9% 98.9%  
164 1.5% 98%  
165 2% 96%  
166 3% 94%  
167 4% 91%  
168 5% 87%  
169 9% 83%  
170 6% 73%  
171 8% 67%  
172 11% 59%  
173 7% 48% Median
174 11% 41%  
175 6% 29%  
176 6% 24%  
177 5% 18%  
178 5% 13%  
179 2% 8%  
180 2% 6% Last Result
181 2% 5%  
182 0.7% 2%  
183 0.5% 2%  
184 0.7% 1.3%  
185 0.2% 0.5%  
186 0.1% 0.3%  
187 0.1% 0.2%  
188 0.1% 0.1%  
189 0.1% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.8%  
87 0% 99.8%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.8%  
92 0% 99.7%  
93 0% 99.7%  
94 0% 99.7%  
95 0% 99.7%  
96 0% 99.7%  
97 0% 99.7%  
98 0% 99.7%  
99 0% 99.7%  
100 0% 99.7%  
101 0% 99.7%  
102 0% 99.7%  
103 0% 99.7%  
104 0% 99.7%  
105 0% 99.7%  
106 0% 99.7%  
107 0% 99.7%  
108 0% 99.7%  
109 0% 99.7%  
110 0% 99.7%  
111 0% 99.7%  
112 0% 99.7%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0% 99.7%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0% 99.7%  
124 0% 99.7%  
125 0% 99.7%  
126 0% 99.7%  
127 0% 99.7%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.7%  
134 0.1% 99.7%  
135 0.2% 99.6%  
136 0.8% 99.3%  
137 1.0% 98.5%  
138 2% 97%  
139 3% 96%  
140 4% 93%  
141 5% 89%  
142 8% 83%  
143 7% 76%  
144 8% 69%  
145 9% 61%  
146 13% 52% Median
147 8% 39%  
148 7% 32%  
149 7% 25%  
150 6% 18%  
151 3% 12% Majority
152 4% 9%  
153 2% 5%  
154 2% 4%  
155 1.0% 2%  
156 0.5% 1.1%  
157 0.3% 0.6%  
158 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.3% 99.6%  
78 0.6% 99.4%  
79 0.9% 98.7%  
80 1.2% 98%  
81 2% 97%  
82 3% 95%  
83 3% 92%  
84 6% 88%  
85 10% 83%  
86 11% 73%  
87 5% 62%  
88 11% 57% Median
89 7% 46%  
90 7% 39%  
91 10% 32%  
92 6% 22%  
93 5% 16%  
94 4% 11%  
95 3% 7% Last Result
96 2% 5%  
97 1.0% 3%  
98 1.1% 2%  
99 0.3% 0.8%  
100 0.1% 0.5%  
101 0.1% 0.4%  
102 0% 0.3%  
103 0% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.3%  
105 0% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0% 0.3%  
109 0% 0.3%  
110 0% 0.3%  
111 0% 0.3%  
112 0% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.3%  
114 0% 0.3%  
115 0% 0.3%  
116 0% 0.3%  
117 0% 0.3%  
118 0% 0.3%  
119 0% 0.3%  
120 0% 0.3%  
121 0% 0.3%  
122 0% 0.3%  
123 0% 0.3%  
124 0% 0.3%  
125 0% 0.3%  
126 0% 0.3%  
127 0% 0.3%  
128 0% 0.3%  
129 0% 0.3%  
130 0% 0.3%  
131 0% 0.3%  
132 0% 0.3%  
133 0% 0.3%  
134 0% 0.3%  
135 0% 0.3%  
136 0% 0.3%  
137 0% 0.3%  
138 0% 0.3%  
139 0% 0.3%  
140 0% 0.3%  
141 0% 0.3%  
142 0% 0.3%  
143 0% 0.3%  
144 0% 0.3%  
145 0% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1% Majority
152 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.4% 99.7%  
68 1.0% 99.3%  
69 1.4% 98%  
70 2% 97%  
71 3% 95%  
72 6% 92%  
73 7% 86%  
74 9% 79%  
75 9% 71%  
76 6% 61%  
77 11% 56% Median
78 8% 45%  
79 10% 36%  
80 7% 26%  
81 6% 19%  
82 4% 13%  
83 4% 9%  
84 2% 5%  
85 1.4% 3%  
86 0.7% 2% Last Result
87 0.6% 1.2%  
88 0.2% 0.6%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.4%  
91 0% 0.3%  
92 0% 0.3%  
93 0% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.3%  
96 0% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.3%  
98 0% 0.3%  
99 0% 0.3%  
100 0% 0.3%  
101 0% 0.3%  
102 0% 0.3%  
103 0% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.3%  
105 0% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0% 0.3%  
109 0% 0.3%  
110 0% 0.3%  
111 0% 0.3%  
112 0% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.3%  
114 0% 0.3%  
115 0% 0.3%  
116 0% 0.3%  
117 0% 0.3%  
118 0% 0.3%  
119 0% 0.3%  
120 0% 0.3%  
121 0% 0.3%  
122 0% 0.3%  
123 0% 0.3%  
124 0% 0.3%  
125 0% 0.3%  
126 0% 0.3%  
127 0% 0.3%  
128 0% 0.3%  
129 0% 0.3%  
130 0% 0.3%  
131 0% 0.3%  
132 0% 0.3%  
133 0% 0.3%  
134 0% 0.2%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations