Opinion Poll by MRB for Open TV, 24–26 April 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 34.1% 32.2–36.1% 31.7–36.6% 31.2–37.1% 30.3–38.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.6% 26.8–30.5% 26.3–31.0% 25.9–31.5% 25.0–32.4%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.2% 7.8–11.5% 7.3–12.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.4%
Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες 0.0% 4.6% 3.9–5.6% 3.6–5.9% 3.5–6.1% 3.1–6.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.5%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.5–2.4%
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 145 139–151 138–152 136–154 86–157
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 74–85 73–87 72–89 70–140
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 27 23–30 22–31 22–32 20–34
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 16–21 14–21 13–22 12–23
Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες 0 13 11–15 10–16 10–17 9–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 8–13 0–14 0–14 0–15
Ελληνική Λύση 10 9 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–14
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 0.2% 99.8%  
86 0.3% 99.5%  
87 0% 99.2%  
88 0.2% 99.2%  
89 0.1% 99.0%  
90 0% 98.9%  
91 0% 98.9%  
92 0.1% 98.9%  
93 0% 98.8%  
94 0% 98.8%  
95 0% 98.8%  
96 0% 98.8%  
97 0% 98.8%  
98 0% 98.8%  
99 0% 98.8%  
100 0% 98.8%  
101 0% 98.8%  
102 0% 98.8%  
103 0% 98.8%  
104 0% 98.8%  
105 0% 98.8%  
106 0% 98.8%  
107 0% 98.8%  
108 0% 98.8%  
109 0% 98.8%  
110 0% 98.8%  
111 0% 98.8%  
112 0% 98.8%  
113 0% 98.8%  
114 0% 98.8%  
115 0% 98.8%  
116 0% 98.8%  
117 0% 98.8%  
118 0% 98.8%  
119 0% 98.8%  
120 0% 98.8%  
121 0% 98.8%  
122 0% 98.8%  
123 0% 98.8%  
124 0% 98.8%  
125 0% 98.8%  
126 0% 98.8%  
127 0% 98.8%  
128 0% 98.8%  
129 0% 98.8%  
130 0% 98.8%  
131 0% 98.8%  
132 0% 98.8%  
133 0.1% 98.8%  
134 0.3% 98.6%  
135 0.5% 98%  
136 0.7% 98%  
137 2% 97%  
138 2% 96%  
139 4% 93%  
140 9% 89%  
141 4% 81%  
142 5% 77%  
143 12% 72%  
144 6% 60%  
145 14% 54% Median
146 6% 40%  
147 9% 34%  
148 4% 25%  
149 5% 21%  
150 5% 16%  
151 3% 11% Majority
152 3% 8%  
153 2% 4%  
154 1.0% 3%  
155 0.5% 2%  
156 0.4% 1.1%  
157 0.2% 0.7%  
158 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0.1% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.3% 99.8%  
70 0.6% 99.5%  
71 0.9% 98.9%  
72 1.0% 98%  
73 3% 97%  
74 5% 94%  
75 5% 89%  
76 5% 85%  
77 8% 80%  
78 4% 71%  
79 10% 67%  
80 8% 58% Median
81 7% 50%  
82 6% 43%  
83 14% 37%  
84 8% 23%  
85 5% 14%  
86 2% 9% Last Result
87 3% 7%  
88 2% 4%  
89 0.6% 3%  
90 0.2% 2%  
91 0.5% 2%  
92 0.1% 1.3%  
93 0% 1.2%  
94 0% 1.2%  
95 0% 1.2%  
96 0% 1.2%  
97 0% 1.2%  
98 0% 1.2%  
99 0% 1.2%  
100 0% 1.2%  
101 0% 1.2%  
102 0% 1.2%  
103 0% 1.2%  
104 0% 1.2%  
105 0% 1.2%  
106 0% 1.2%  
107 0% 1.2%  
108 0% 1.2%  
109 0% 1.2%  
110 0% 1.2%  
111 0% 1.2%  
112 0% 1.2%  
113 0% 1.2%  
114 0% 1.2%  
115 0% 1.2%  
116 0% 1.2%  
117 0% 1.2%  
118 0% 1.2%  
119 0% 1.2%  
120 0% 1.2%  
121 0% 1.2%  
122 0% 1.2%  
123 0% 1.2%  
124 0% 1.2%  
125 0% 1.2%  
126 0% 1.2%  
127 0% 1.2%  
128 0% 1.2%  
129 0% 1.2%  
130 0% 1.2%  
131 0% 1.2%  
132 0% 1.2%  
133 0% 1.2%  
134 0% 1.2%  
135 0.1% 1.2%  
136 0.1% 1.0%  
137 0.1% 1.0%  
138 0.2% 0.9%  
139 0.1% 0.7%  
140 0.3% 0.6%  
141 0.1% 0.3%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0.1% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.4% 99.9%  
21 2% 99.4%  
22 4% 98% Last Result
23 6% 94%  
24 10% 88%  
25 9% 78%  
26 11% 69%  
27 13% 58% Median
28 15% 45%  
29 7% 30%  
30 13% 23%  
31 7% 10%  
32 2% 3%  
33 0.6% 1.3%  
34 0.5% 0.7%  
35 0.1% 0.2%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.8% 99.9%  
13 2% 99.1%  
14 2% 97%  
15 1.4% 95% Last Result
16 25% 93%  
17 30% 69% Median
18 18% 39%  
19 3% 20%  
20 6% 17%  
21 7% 11%  
22 3% 4%  
23 0.4% 0.8%  
24 0.2% 0.4%  
25 0.2% 0.2%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0.1% 99.8%  
9 2% 99.6%  
10 4% 98%  
11 16% 94%  
12 27% 77%  
13 12% 51% Median
14 18% 39%  
15 13% 21%  
16 5% 8%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.7% 1.1%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 2% 92%  
9 15% 90% Last Result
10 22% 75%  
11 20% 52% Median
12 21% 32%  
13 6% 11%  
14 4% 6%  
15 0.7% 1.2%  
16 0.4% 0.5%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 27% 100%  
1 0% 73%  
2 0% 73%  
3 0% 73%  
4 0% 73%  
5 0% 73%  
6 0% 73%  
7 0% 73%  
8 1.5% 73%  
9 24% 72% Median
10 21% 48% Last Result
11 14% 27%  
12 8% 13%  
13 4% 5%  
14 1.1% 2%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Εθνική Δημιουργία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 172 98.8% 166–178 164–180 163–181 112–185
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 145 11% 139–151 138–152 136–154 86–157
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 91 0.4% 84–95 82–98 80–100 75–150
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 0% 74–85 73–87 72–89 70–140

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0.1% 100%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0.1% 99.7%  
112 0.1% 99.6%  
113 0.1% 99.5%  
114 0.2% 99.4%  
115 0.2% 99.2%  
116 0.1% 99.0%  
117 0% 99.0%  
118 0.1% 98.9%  
119 0% 98.9%  
120 0% 98.8%  
121 0% 98.8%  
122 0% 98.8%  
123 0% 98.8%  
124 0% 98.8%  
125 0% 98.8%  
126 0% 98.8%  
127 0% 98.8%  
128 0% 98.8%  
129 0% 98.8%  
130 0% 98.8%  
131 0% 98.8%  
132 0% 98.8%  
133 0% 98.8%  
134 0% 98.8%  
135 0% 98.8%  
136 0% 98.8%  
137 0% 98.8%  
138 0% 98.8%  
139 0% 98.8%  
140 0% 98.8%  
141 0% 98.8%  
142 0% 98.8%  
143 0% 98.8%  
144 0% 98.8%  
145 0% 98.8%  
146 0% 98.8%  
147 0% 98.8%  
148 0% 98.8%  
149 0% 98.8%  
150 0% 98.8%  
151 0% 98.8% Majority
152 0% 98.8%  
153 0% 98.8%  
154 0% 98.8%  
155 0% 98.8%  
156 0% 98.8%  
157 0% 98.8%  
158 0.1% 98.8%  
159 0.1% 98.7%  
160 0.1% 98.6%  
161 0.4% 98.5%  
162 0.2% 98%  
163 2% 98%  
164 2% 96%  
165 2% 94%  
166 4% 92%  
167 3% 88%  
168 15% 85%  
169 8% 70%  
170 3% 62%  
171 4% 58%  
172 5% 54% Median
173 10% 48%  
174 7% 38%  
175 10% 31%  
176 7% 21%  
177 3% 14%  
178 4% 11%  
179 2% 7%  
180 2% 5% Last Result
181 0.9% 3%  
182 0.6% 2%  
183 0.4% 2%  
184 0.7% 1.3%  
185 0.3% 0.6%  
186 0.1% 0.3%  
187 0.1% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 0.2% 99.8%  
86 0.3% 99.5%  
87 0% 99.2%  
88 0.2% 99.2%  
89 0.1% 99.0%  
90 0% 98.9%  
91 0% 98.9%  
92 0.1% 98.9%  
93 0% 98.8%  
94 0% 98.8%  
95 0% 98.8%  
96 0% 98.8%  
97 0% 98.8%  
98 0% 98.8%  
99 0% 98.8%  
100 0% 98.8%  
101 0% 98.8%  
102 0% 98.8%  
103 0% 98.8%  
104 0% 98.8%  
105 0% 98.8%  
106 0% 98.8%  
107 0% 98.8%  
108 0% 98.8%  
109 0% 98.8%  
110 0% 98.8%  
111 0% 98.8%  
112 0% 98.8%  
113 0% 98.8%  
114 0% 98.8%  
115 0% 98.8%  
116 0% 98.8%  
117 0% 98.8%  
118 0% 98.8%  
119 0% 98.8%  
120 0% 98.8%  
121 0% 98.8%  
122 0% 98.8%  
123 0% 98.8%  
124 0% 98.8%  
125 0% 98.8%  
126 0% 98.8%  
127 0% 98.8%  
128 0% 98.8%  
129 0% 98.8%  
130 0% 98.8%  
131 0% 98.8%  
132 0% 98.8%  
133 0.1% 98.8%  
134 0.3% 98.6%  
135 0.5% 98%  
136 0.7% 98%  
137 2% 97%  
138 2% 96%  
139 4% 93%  
140 9% 89%  
141 4% 81%  
142 5% 77%  
143 12% 72%  
144 6% 60%  
145 14% 54% Median
146 6% 40%  
147 9% 34%  
148 4% 25%  
149 5% 21%  
150 5% 16%  
151 3% 11% Majority
152 3% 8%  
153 2% 4%  
154 1.0% 3%  
155 0.5% 2%  
156 0.4% 1.1%  
157 0.2% 0.7%  
158 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0.1% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 0.4% 99.7%  
76 0.2% 99.4%  
77 0.2% 99.2%  
78 0.3% 99.0%  
79 0.7% 98.7%  
80 2% 98%  
81 0.9% 96%  
82 1.3% 95%  
83 2% 94%  
84 6% 92%  
85 4% 86%  
86 7% 82%  
87 5% 75%  
88 4% 70%  
89 5% 66%  
90 8% 61%  
91 12% 54% Median
92 5% 42%  
93 5% 37%  
94 10% 32%  
95 13% 22% Last Result
96 2% 10%  
97 2% 7%  
98 1.1% 5%  
99 0.5% 4%  
100 2% 3%  
101 0.2% 2%  
102 0.5% 2%  
103 0.1% 1.3%  
104 0% 1.2%  
105 0% 1.2%  
106 0% 1.2%  
107 0% 1.2%  
108 0% 1.2%  
109 0% 1.2%  
110 0% 1.2%  
111 0% 1.2%  
112 0% 1.2%  
113 0% 1.2%  
114 0% 1.2%  
115 0% 1.2%  
116 0% 1.2%  
117 0% 1.2%  
118 0% 1.2%  
119 0% 1.2%  
120 0% 1.2%  
121 0% 1.2%  
122 0% 1.2%  
123 0% 1.2%  
124 0% 1.2%  
125 0% 1.2%  
126 0% 1.2%  
127 0% 1.2%  
128 0% 1.2%  
129 0% 1.2%  
130 0% 1.2%  
131 0% 1.2%  
132 0% 1.2%  
133 0% 1.2%  
134 0% 1.2%  
135 0% 1.2%  
136 0% 1.2%  
137 0% 1.2%  
138 0% 1.2%  
139 0% 1.2%  
140 0% 1.2%  
141 0% 1.2%  
142 0% 1.2%  
143 0% 1.1%  
144 0% 1.1%  
145 0.1% 1.1%  
146 0% 1.0%  
147 0.1% 1.0%  
148 0.3% 0.9%  
149 0.1% 0.6%  
150 0.2% 0.5%  
151 0.1% 0.4% Majority
152 0.1% 0.2%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.3% 99.8%  
70 0.6% 99.5%  
71 0.9% 98.9%  
72 1.0% 98%  
73 3% 97%  
74 5% 94%  
75 5% 89%  
76 5% 85%  
77 8% 80%  
78 4% 71%  
79 10% 67%  
80 8% 58% Median
81 7% 50%  
82 6% 43%  
83 14% 37%  
84 8% 23%  
85 5% 14%  
86 2% 9% Last Result
87 3% 7%  
88 2% 4%  
89 0.6% 3%  
90 0.2% 2%  
91 0.5% 2%  
92 0.1% 1.3%  
93 0% 1.2%  
94 0% 1.2%  
95 0% 1.2%  
96 0% 1.2%  
97 0% 1.2%  
98 0% 1.2%  
99 0% 1.2%  
100 0% 1.2%  
101 0% 1.2%  
102 0% 1.2%  
103 0% 1.2%  
104 0% 1.2%  
105 0% 1.2%  
106 0% 1.2%  
107 0% 1.2%  
108 0% 1.2%  
109 0% 1.2%  
110 0% 1.2%  
111 0% 1.2%  
112 0% 1.2%  
113 0% 1.2%  
114 0% 1.2%  
115 0% 1.2%  
116 0% 1.2%  
117 0% 1.2%  
118 0% 1.2%  
119 0% 1.2%  
120 0% 1.2%  
121 0% 1.2%  
122 0% 1.2%  
123 0% 1.2%  
124 0% 1.2%  
125 0% 1.2%  
126 0% 1.2%  
127 0% 1.2%  
128 0% 1.2%  
129 0% 1.2%  
130 0% 1.2%  
131 0% 1.2%  
132 0% 1.2%  
133 0% 1.2%  
134 0% 1.2%  
135 0.1% 1.2%  
136 0.1% 1.0%  
137 0.1% 1.0%  
138 0.2% 0.9%  
139 0.1% 0.7%  
140 0.3% 0.6%  
141 0.1% 0.3%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0.1% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations