Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 27–30 April 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.6% 34.1–37.1% 33.7–37.5% 33.3–37.9% 32.7–38.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.6% 27.2–30.1% 26.9–30.5% 26.5–30.8% 25.9–31.5%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 10.8% 9.9–11.8% 9.6–12.1% 9.4–12.4% 9.0–12.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.9% 6.2–7.8% 6.0–8.0% 5.8–8.2% 5.5–8.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.4% 3.8–5.1% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.5% 3.3–5.8%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.2% 3.7–4.9% 3.5–5.1% 3.4–5.3% 3.1–5.6%
Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες 0.0% 3.3% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6%
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0.0% 2.1% 1.7–2.6% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–2.9% 1.4–3.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 146 142–150 141–151 140–152 137–155
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 76 72–80 71–81 70–82 69–84
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 29 26–31 26–32 25–33 24–34
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 17–21 16–21 16–22 15–23
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 12 10–13 10–14 9–14 9–15
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 10–13 9–13 9–14 8–15
Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες 0 9 0–11 0–11 0–11 0–12
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0 0 0 0 0 0–8

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0.1% 100%  
136 0.2% 99.9%  
137 0.3% 99.7%  
138 0.6% 99.4%  
139 1.2% 98.8%  
140 2% 98%  
141 5% 95%  
142 5% 91%  
143 7% 85%  
144 11% 78%  
145 16% 67%  
146 11% 51% Median
147 9% 39%  
148 12% 30%  
149 7% 18%  
150 4% 12%  
151 3% 7% Majority
152 2% 4%  
153 1.1% 2%  
154 0.4% 1.0%  
155 0.2% 0.5%  
156 0.2% 0.3%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1% Last Result
159 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 0.6% 99.5%  
70 2% 99.0%  
71 3% 97%  
72 5% 94%  
73 12% 90%  
74 13% 78%  
75 14% 65%  
76 12% 51% Median
77 14% 38%  
78 7% 25%  
79 6% 17%  
80 4% 11%  
81 3% 7%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.0% 2%  
84 0.4% 0.9%  
85 0.2% 0.4%  
86 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0.2% 100%  
24 1.0% 99.7%  
25 3% 98.7%  
26 9% 96%  
27 13% 87%  
28 18% 74%  
29 21% 56% Median
30 14% 35%  
31 12% 21%  
32 5% 9%  
33 3% 4%  
34 0.7% 1.0%  
35 0.2% 0.3%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.3% 100%  
15 2% 99.6% Last Result
16 7% 98%  
17 12% 91%  
18 25% 79%  
19 21% 54% Median
20 19% 32%  
21 9% 14%  
22 3% 4%  
23 1.4% 2%  
24 0.2% 0.3%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0.3% 99.9%  
9 4% 99.6% Last Result
10 14% 96%  
11 29% 81%  
12 30% 53% Median
13 16% 23%  
14 6% 7%  
15 1.3% 2%  
16 0.3% 0.4%  
17 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 1.0% 99.8%  
9 7% 98.8%  
10 22% 92% Last Result
11 32% 70% Median
12 21% 37%  
13 12% 17%  
14 4% 5%  
15 0.7% 0.9%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνικό Κόμμα – Έλληνες page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100% Last Result
1 0% 85%  
2 0% 85%  
3 0% 85%  
4 0% 85%  
5 0% 85%  
6 0% 85%  
7 0% 85%  
8 16% 85%  
9 33% 69% Median
10 24% 37%  
11 10% 12%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Εθνική Δημιουργία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.3%  
2 0% 1.3%  
3 0% 1.3%  
4 0% 1.3%  
5 0% 1.3%  
6 0% 1.3%  
7 0% 1.3%  
8 1.2% 1.3%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 175 100% 170–179 169–180 168–182 166–185
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 146 7% 142–150 141–151 140–152 137–155
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 87 0% 84–92 83–93 82–94 80–97
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 76 0% 72–80 71–81 70–82 69–84

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0.1% 99.9%  
165 0.3% 99.8%  
166 0.6% 99.5%  
167 1.1% 98.9%  
168 2% 98%  
169 3% 96%  
170 4% 93%  
171 5% 89%  
172 9% 83%  
173 11% 74%  
174 13% 64%  
175 12% 51% Median
176 12% 39%  
177 8% 26%  
178 6% 18%  
179 6% 13%  
180 2% 7% Last Result
181 2% 5%  
182 2% 3%  
183 0.3% 1.2%  
184 0.3% 0.8%  
185 0.3% 0.5%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0.1% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0.1% 100%  
136 0.2% 99.9%  
137 0.3% 99.7%  
138 0.6% 99.4%  
139 1.2% 98.8%  
140 2% 98%  
141 5% 95%  
142 5% 91%  
143 7% 85%  
144 11% 78%  
145 16% 67%  
146 11% 51% Median
147 9% 39%  
148 12% 30%  
149 7% 18%  
150 4% 12%  
151 3% 7% Majority
152 2% 4%  
153 1.1% 2%  
154 0.4% 1.0%  
155 0.2% 0.5%  
156 0.2% 0.3%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1% Last Result
159 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.3% 99.8%  
80 0.7% 99.6%  
81 0.7% 98.9%  
82 1.3% 98%  
83 2% 97%  
84 7% 95%  
85 14% 88%  
86 19% 73%  
87 13% 55%  
88 13% 42% Median
89 7% 29%  
90 6% 22%  
91 5% 17%  
92 4% 12%  
93 5% 7%  
94 1.2% 3%  
95 0.7% 2% Last Result
96 0.4% 1.0%  
97 0.3% 0.6%  
98 0.1% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 0.6% 99.5%  
70 2% 99.0%  
71 3% 97%  
72 5% 94%  
73 12% 90%  
74 13% 78%  
75 14% 65%  
76 12% 51% Median
77 14% 38%  
78 7% 25%  
79 6% 17%  
80 4% 11%  
81 3% 7%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.0% 2%  
84 0.4% 0.9%  
85 0.2% 0.4%  
86 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations