Opinion Poll by GPO for Τα Νέα, 2–3 May 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 37.0% 35.1–39.0% 34.5–39.6% 34.0–40.0% 33.2–41.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 30.4% 28.6–32.3% 28.1–32.9% 27.6–33.3% 26.8–34.3%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 10.1% 9.0–11.4% 8.6–11.8% 8.4–12.1% 7.9–12.8%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.4%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.3%
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 151 146–157 144–159 143–161 138–164
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 78–89 77–91 75–92 73–99
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 28 25–31 24–33 23–33 21–35
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 17–22 16–23 15–24 14–26
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–13 0–14 0–15
Ελληνική Λύση 10 10 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–14
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0 0 0 0 0 0–8

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.8%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0% 99.7%  
94 0.1% 99.6%  
95 0% 99.6%  
96 0% 99.5%  
97 0% 99.5%  
98 0% 99.5%  
99 0% 99.5%  
100 0% 99.5%  
101 0% 99.5%  
102 0% 99.5%  
103 0% 99.5%  
104 0% 99.5%  
105 0% 99.5%  
106 0% 99.5%  
107 0% 99.5%  
108 0% 99.5%  
109 0% 99.5%  
110 0% 99.5%  
111 0% 99.5%  
112 0% 99.5%  
113 0% 99.5%  
114 0% 99.5%  
115 0% 99.5%  
116 0% 99.5%  
117 0% 99.5%  
118 0% 99.5%  
119 0% 99.5%  
120 0% 99.5%  
121 0% 99.5%  
122 0% 99.5%  
123 0% 99.5%  
124 0% 99.5%  
125 0% 99.5%  
126 0% 99.5%  
127 0% 99.5%  
128 0% 99.5%  
129 0% 99.5%  
130 0% 99.5%  
131 0% 99.5%  
132 0% 99.5%  
133 0% 99.5%  
134 0% 99.5%  
135 0% 99.5%  
136 0% 99.5%  
137 0% 99.5%  
138 0% 99.5%  
139 0.1% 99.5%  
140 0.2% 99.4%  
141 0.4% 99.1%  
142 0.7% 98.8%  
143 2% 98%  
144 3% 96%  
145 3% 94%  
146 4% 91%  
147 6% 86%  
148 7% 80%  
149 7% 73%  
150 7% 65%  
151 9% 59% Median, Majority
152 11% 50%  
153 7% 39%  
154 7% 32%  
155 6% 25%  
156 6% 19%  
157 3% 13%  
158 4% 10% Last Result
159 2% 6%  
160 2% 4%  
161 0.8% 3%  
162 0.6% 2%  
163 0.6% 1.3%  
164 0.3% 0.7%  
165 0.2% 0.4%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.4% 99.7%  
74 0.9% 99.3%  
75 1.1% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 3% 96%  
78 4% 93%  
79 5% 89%  
80 9% 83%  
81 9% 74%  
82 9% 65%  
83 8% 56% Median
84 8% 48%  
85 8% 40%  
86 8% 32% Last Result
87 7% 24%  
88 5% 17%  
89 3% 11%  
90 3% 8%  
91 2% 5%  
92 1.4% 4%  
93 0.6% 2%  
94 0.4% 2%  
95 0.3% 1.1%  
96 0.2% 0.8%  
97 0.1% 0.6%  
98 0% 0.5%  
99 0% 0.5%  
100 0% 0.5%  
101 0% 0.5%  
102 0% 0.5%  
103 0% 0.5%  
104 0% 0.5%  
105 0% 0.5%  
106 0% 0.5%  
107 0% 0.5%  
108 0% 0.5%  
109 0% 0.5%  
110 0% 0.5%  
111 0% 0.5%  
112 0% 0.5%  
113 0% 0.5%  
114 0% 0.5%  
115 0% 0.5%  
116 0% 0.5%  
117 0% 0.5%  
118 0% 0.5%  
119 0% 0.5%  
120 0% 0.5%  
121 0% 0.5%  
122 0% 0.5%  
123 0% 0.5%  
124 0% 0.5%  
125 0% 0.5%  
126 0% 0.5%  
127 0% 0.5%  
128 0% 0.5%  
129 0% 0.5%  
130 0% 0.5%  
131 0% 0.5%  
132 0% 0.5%  
133 0% 0.5%  
134 0% 0.5%  
135 0% 0.5%  
136 0% 0.5%  
137 0% 0.5%  
138 0% 0.5%  
139 0% 0.5%  
140 0% 0.5%  
141 0% 0.5%  
142 0.1% 0.4%  
143 0.1% 0.4%  
144 0.1% 0.3%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.5% 99.9%  
22 0.8% 99.4% Last Result
23 3% 98.7%  
24 4% 95%  
25 10% 92%  
26 13% 82%  
27 10% 68%  
28 21% 58% Median
29 12% 38%  
30 10% 26%  
31 7% 16%  
32 3% 9%  
33 3% 5%  
34 1.0% 2%  
35 0.6% 1.0%  
36 0.2% 0.4%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 0.7% 99.8%  
15 3% 99.1% Last Result
16 5% 97%  
17 10% 91%  
18 16% 81%  
19 18% 66% Median
20 17% 48%  
21 14% 31%  
22 8% 17%  
23 5% 9%  
24 3% 4%  
25 1.1% 2%  
26 0.4% 0.6%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100%  
1 0% 88%  
2 0% 88%  
3 0% 88%  
4 0% 88%  
5 0% 88%  
6 0% 88%  
7 0% 88%  
8 5% 88%  
9 20% 83% Last Result
10 25% 64% Median
11 19% 38%  
12 11% 19%  
13 5% 7%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.6% 0.7%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100%  
1 0% 83%  
2 0% 83%  
3 0% 83%  
4 0% 83%  
5 0% 83%  
6 0% 83%  
7 0% 83%  
8 4% 83%  
9 25% 79%  
10 23% 54% Last Result, Median
11 17% 31%  
12 8% 14%  
13 4% 6%  
14 1.1% 2%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Εθνική Δημιουργία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0% 0.6%  
4 0% 0.6%  
5 0% 0.6%  
6 0% 0.6%  
7 0% 0.6%  
8 0.3% 0.6%  
9 0.2% 0.3%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 179 99.5% 173–186 172–188 170–190 165–193
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 151 59% 146–157 144–159 143–161 138–164
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 93 0.4% 86–99 85–100 82–102 79–108
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 0% 78–89 77–91 75–92 73–99

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.8%  
119 0.1% 99.8%  
120 0.1% 99.7%  
121 0% 99.7%  
122 0% 99.6%  
123 0% 99.6%  
124 0% 99.6%  
125 0% 99.6%  
126 0% 99.5%  
127 0% 99.5%  
128 0% 99.5%  
129 0% 99.5%  
130 0% 99.5%  
131 0% 99.5%  
132 0% 99.5%  
133 0% 99.5%  
134 0% 99.5%  
135 0% 99.5%  
136 0% 99.5%  
137 0% 99.5%  
138 0% 99.5%  
139 0% 99.5%  
140 0% 99.5%  
141 0% 99.5%  
142 0% 99.5%  
143 0% 99.5%  
144 0% 99.5%  
145 0% 99.5%  
146 0% 99.5%  
147 0% 99.5%  
148 0% 99.5%  
149 0% 99.5%  
150 0% 99.5%  
151 0% 99.5% Majority
152 0% 99.5%  
153 0% 99.5%  
154 0% 99.5%  
155 0% 99.5%  
156 0% 99.5%  
157 0% 99.5%  
158 0% 99.5%  
159 0% 99.5%  
160 0% 99.5%  
161 0% 99.5%  
162 0% 99.5%  
163 0% 99.5%  
164 0% 99.5%  
165 0% 99.5%  
166 0.1% 99.5%  
167 0.1% 99.4%  
168 0.5% 99.3%  
169 0.5% 98.8%  
170 0.8% 98%  
171 2% 97%  
172 3% 95%  
173 3% 93%  
174 8% 90%  
175 5% 82%  
176 5% 77%  
177 9% 72%  
178 7% 63%  
179 7% 56% Median
180 9% 49% Last Result
181 8% 39%  
182 5% 31%  
183 6% 26%  
184 5% 20%  
185 4% 15%  
186 3% 11%  
187 2% 8%  
188 1.4% 5%  
189 1.4% 4%  
190 0.9% 3%  
191 0.6% 2%  
192 0.4% 1.1%  
193 0.3% 0.7%  
194 0.2% 0.4%  
195 0.1% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0.1% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.8%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0% 99.7%  
94 0.1% 99.6%  
95 0% 99.6%  
96 0% 99.5%  
97 0% 99.5%  
98 0% 99.5%  
99 0% 99.5%  
100 0% 99.5%  
101 0% 99.5%  
102 0% 99.5%  
103 0% 99.5%  
104 0% 99.5%  
105 0% 99.5%  
106 0% 99.5%  
107 0% 99.5%  
108 0% 99.5%  
109 0% 99.5%  
110 0% 99.5%  
111 0% 99.5%  
112 0% 99.5%  
113 0% 99.5%  
114 0% 99.5%  
115 0% 99.5%  
116 0% 99.5%  
117 0% 99.5%  
118 0% 99.5%  
119 0% 99.5%  
120 0% 99.5%  
121 0% 99.5%  
122 0% 99.5%  
123 0% 99.5%  
124 0% 99.5%  
125 0% 99.5%  
126 0% 99.5%  
127 0% 99.5%  
128 0% 99.5%  
129 0% 99.5%  
130 0% 99.5%  
131 0% 99.5%  
132 0% 99.5%  
133 0% 99.5%  
134 0% 99.5%  
135 0% 99.5%  
136 0% 99.5%  
137 0% 99.5%  
138 0% 99.5%  
139 0.1% 99.5%  
140 0.2% 99.4%  
141 0.4% 99.1%  
142 0.7% 98.8%  
143 2% 98%  
144 3% 96%  
145 3% 94%  
146 4% 91%  
147 6% 86%  
148 7% 80%  
149 7% 73%  
150 7% 65%  
151 9% 59% Median, Majority
152 11% 50%  
153 7% 39%  
154 7% 32%  
155 6% 25%  
156 6% 19%  
157 3% 13%  
158 4% 10% Last Result
159 2% 6%  
160 2% 4%  
161 0.8% 3%  
162 0.6% 2%  
163 0.6% 1.3%  
164 0.3% 0.7%  
165 0.2% 0.4%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.7%  
80 0.4% 99.5%  
81 0.8% 99.1%  
82 1.0% 98%  
83 0.8% 97%  
84 1.3% 97%  
85 2% 95%  
86 3% 93%  
87 3% 90%  
88 6% 87%  
89 6% 81%  
90 8% 75%  
91 7% 67%  
92 9% 61%  
93 9% 51% Median
94 6% 43%  
95 10% 37% Last Result
96 5% 27%  
97 7% 22%  
98 4% 15%  
99 4% 11%  
100 2% 6%  
101 2% 5%  
102 0.8% 3%  
103 0.7% 2%  
104 0.3% 1.1%  
105 0.2% 0.8%  
106 0.1% 0.6%  
107 0% 0.5%  
108 0% 0.5%  
109 0% 0.5%  
110 0% 0.5%  
111 0% 0.5%  
112 0% 0.5%  
113 0% 0.5%  
114 0% 0.5%  
115 0% 0.5%  
116 0% 0.5%  
117 0% 0.5%  
118 0% 0.5%  
119 0% 0.5%  
120 0% 0.5%  
121 0% 0.5%  
122 0% 0.5%  
123 0% 0.5%  
124 0% 0.5%  
125 0% 0.5%  
126 0% 0.5%  
127 0% 0.5%  
128 0% 0.5%  
129 0% 0.5%  
130 0% 0.5%  
131 0% 0.5%  
132 0% 0.5%  
133 0% 0.5%  
134 0% 0.5%  
135 0% 0.5%  
136 0% 0.5%  
137 0% 0.5%  
138 0% 0.5%  
139 0% 0.5%  
140 0% 0.5%  
141 0% 0.5%  
142 0% 0.5%  
143 0% 0.5%  
144 0% 0.5%  
145 0% 0.5%  
146 0% 0.5%  
147 0% 0.4%  
148 0% 0.4%  
149 0% 0.4%  
150 0% 0.4%  
151 0.1% 0.4% Majority
152 0% 0.3%  
153 0.1% 0.3%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.2%  
156 0.1% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.4% 99.7%  
74 0.9% 99.3%  
75 1.1% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 3% 96%  
78 4% 93%  
79 5% 89%  
80 9% 83%  
81 9% 74%  
82 9% 65%  
83 8% 56% Median
84 8% 48%  
85 8% 40%  
86 8% 32% Last Result
87 7% 24%  
88 5% 17%  
89 3% 11%  
90 3% 8%  
91 2% 5%  
92 1.4% 4%  
93 0.6% 2%  
94 0.4% 2%  
95 0.3% 1.1%  
96 0.2% 0.8%  
97 0.1% 0.6%  
98 0% 0.5%  
99 0% 0.5%  
100 0% 0.5%  
101 0% 0.5%  
102 0% 0.5%  
103 0% 0.5%  
104 0% 0.5%  
105 0% 0.5%  
106 0% 0.5%  
107 0% 0.5%  
108 0% 0.5%  
109 0% 0.5%  
110 0% 0.5%  
111 0% 0.5%  
112 0% 0.5%  
113 0% 0.5%  
114 0% 0.5%  
115 0% 0.5%  
116 0% 0.5%  
117 0% 0.5%  
118 0% 0.5%  
119 0% 0.5%  
120 0% 0.5%  
121 0% 0.5%  
122 0% 0.5%  
123 0% 0.5%  
124 0% 0.5%  
125 0% 0.5%  
126 0% 0.5%  
127 0% 0.5%  
128 0% 0.5%  
129 0% 0.5%  
130 0% 0.5%  
131 0% 0.5%  
132 0% 0.5%  
133 0% 0.5%  
134 0% 0.5%  
135 0% 0.5%  
136 0% 0.5%  
137 0% 0.5%  
138 0% 0.5%  
139 0% 0.5%  
140 0% 0.5%  
141 0% 0.5%  
142 0.1% 0.4%  
143 0.1% 0.4%  
144 0.1% 0.3%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations