Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 25 April–5 May 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.4% 33.7–37.1% 33.3–37.6% 32.8–38.0% 32.1–38.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.8% 26.3–29.4% 25.8–29.9% 25.5–30.3% 24.7–31.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 10.8% 9.8–12.0% 9.5–12.3% 9.2–12.6% 8.7–13.2%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.7% 5.9–7.6% 5.6–7.9% 5.4–8.2% 5.1–8.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.5% 3.9–5.3% 3.7–5.6% 3.5–5.8% 3.2–6.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.1% 2.5–3.8% 2.4–4.0% 2.3–4.2% 2.0–4.5%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.5% 1.2–2.1% 1.1–2.2% 1.0–2.4% 0.8–2.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 151 146–157 145–158 143–159 141–162
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 75–84 74–86 72–87 70–90
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 31 28–34 27–35 26–36 25–38
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 17–22 16–23 16–23 14–25
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 13 11–15 10–16 10–17 9–18
Ελληνική Λύση 10 9 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.8%  
141 0.5% 99.7%  
142 0.6% 99.3%  
143 1.4% 98.7%  
144 2% 97%  
145 4% 95%  
146 4% 91%  
147 6% 87%  
148 8% 81%  
149 7% 73%  
150 11% 66%  
151 7% 55% Median, Majority
152 10% 49%  
153 8% 38%  
154 8% 31%  
155 7% 23%  
156 5% 16%  
157 5% 12%  
158 2% 7% Last Result
159 2% 5%  
160 1.1% 2%  
161 0.6% 1.3%  
162 0.4% 0.8%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.7%  
71 0.6% 99.4%  
72 1.5% 98.8%  
73 2% 97%  
74 3% 95%  
75 6% 92%  
76 7% 86%  
77 8% 79%  
78 10% 71%  
79 10% 61%  
80 11% 51% Median
81 9% 40%  
82 9% 31%  
83 6% 22%  
84 6% 16%  
85 4% 10%  
86 2% 6% Last Result
87 2% 4%  
88 0.9% 2%  
89 0.6% 1.1%  
90 0.3% 0.6%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0.2% 99.9%  
25 0.8% 99.8%  
26 2% 99.0%  
27 5% 97%  
28 8% 92%  
29 10% 84%  
30 16% 74%  
31 17% 58% Median
32 13% 41%  
33 11% 28%  
34 8% 17%  
35 4% 8%  
36 2% 4%  
37 1.2% 2%  
38 0.4% 0.7%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.4% 99.9%  
15 2% 99.5% Last Result
16 6% 98%  
17 11% 92%  
18 16% 80%  
19 21% 64% Median
20 19% 43%  
21 12% 25%  
22 7% 13%  
23 4% 6%  
24 1.4% 2%  
25 0.5% 0.7%  
26 0.2% 0.2%  
27 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0.8% 99.9% Last Result
10 4% 99.1%  
11 11% 95%  
12 20% 84%  
13 25% 64% Median
14 19% 39%  
15 11% 20%  
16 6% 9%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.6% 0.8%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 42% 100%  
1 0% 58%  
2 0% 58%  
3 0% 58%  
4 0% 58%  
5 0% 58%  
6 0% 58%  
7 0% 58%  
8 0.9% 58%  
9 25% 57% Median
10 20% 31% Last Result
11 9% 12%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.6% 0.7%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 182 100% 176–188 175–190 174–191 172–194
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 151 55% 146–157 145–158 143–159 141–162
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 93 0% 88–98 86–100 85–101 83–103
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 0% 75–84 74–86 72–87 70–90

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
168 0% 100%  
169 0.1% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.2% 99.7%  
172 0.6% 99.5%  
173 1.0% 99.0%  
174 1.4% 98%  
175 3% 97%  
176 4% 94%  
177 4% 90%  
178 5% 85%  
179 8% 80%  
180 8% 72% Last Result
181 8% 64%  
182 8% 56% Median
183 8% 48%  
184 8% 40%  
185 8% 32%  
186 5% 24%  
187 4% 19%  
188 6% 15%  
189 3% 9%  
190 2% 6%  
191 2% 4%  
192 0.7% 2%  
193 0.5% 1.0%  
194 0.3% 0.6%  
195 0.2% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.8%  
141 0.5% 99.7%  
142 0.6% 99.3%  
143 1.4% 98.7%  
144 2% 97%  
145 4% 95%  
146 4% 91%  
147 6% 87%  
148 8% 81%  
149 7% 73%  
150 11% 66%  
151 7% 55% Median, Majority
152 10% 49%  
153 8% 38%  
154 8% 31%  
155 7% 23%  
156 5% 16%  
157 5% 12%  
158 2% 7% Last Result
159 2% 5%  
160 1.1% 2%  
161 0.6% 1.3%  
162 0.4% 0.8%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.3% 99.8%  
83 0.2% 99.5%  
84 1.1% 99.3%  
85 2% 98%  
86 2% 97%  
87 4% 95%  
88 6% 91%  
89 5% 84%  
90 7% 79%  
91 11% 72%  
92 8% 61%  
93 9% 52% Median
94 11% 44%  
95 8% 33% Last Result
96 5% 25%  
97 7% 19%  
98 4% 12%  
99 2% 8%  
100 2% 5%  
101 2% 3%  
102 0.5% 1.4%  
103 0.5% 0.9%  
104 0.2% 0.4%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.7%  
71 0.6% 99.4%  
72 1.5% 98.8%  
73 2% 97%  
74 3% 95%  
75 6% 92%  
76 7% 86%  
77 8% 79%  
78 10% 71%  
79 10% 61%  
80 11% 51% Median
81 9% 40%  
82 9% 31%  
83 6% 22%  
84 6% 16%  
85 4% 10%  
86 2% 6% Last Result
87 2% 4%  
88 0.9% 2%  
89 0.6% 1.1%  
90 0.3% 0.6%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations