Opinion Poll by Alco for Alpha TV, 3–6 May 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.8% 34.9–38.8% 34.3–39.4% 33.9–39.8% 33.0–40.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.2% 27.4–31.1% 26.9–31.6% 26.5–32.1% 25.6–33.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 10.3% 9.2–11.6% 8.8–12.0% 8.6–12.3% 8.0–13.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.2% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.7–9.0% 5.3–9.6%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.5%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 150 145–156 143–158 142–159 140–162
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 75–85 73–86 72–88 70–90
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 28 25–32 24–33 23–34 22–35
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 17–23 16–24 16–25 14–26
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 10–14 9–15 9–16 0–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 8–13 0–13 0–14 0–15
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.2% 99.8%  
140 0.3% 99.6%  
141 0.9% 99.3%  
142 1.1% 98%  
143 2% 97%  
144 3% 95%  
145 4% 92%  
146 7% 88%  
147 8% 81%  
148 9% 73%  
149 10% 64%  
150 9% 54% Median
151 7% 44% Majority
152 7% 37%  
153 8% 31%  
154 4% 22%  
155 6% 18%  
156 3% 12%  
157 3% 9%  
158 2% 6% Last Result
159 1.4% 4%  
160 1.1% 2%  
161 0.5% 1.1%  
162 0.3% 0.6%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.5% 99.6%  
71 1.0% 99.1%  
72 1.4% 98%  
73 3% 97%  
74 3% 94%  
75 4% 90%  
76 5% 86%  
77 8% 82%  
78 9% 74%  
79 8% 65%  
80 10% 57% Median
81 10% 46%  
82 8% 36%  
83 8% 28%  
84 6% 20%  
85 6% 13%  
86 3% 7% Last Result
87 2% 4%  
88 0.9% 3%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 0.4% 0.8%  
91 0.1% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.2% 99.9%  
22 0.7% 99.7% Last Result
23 2% 99.0%  
24 4% 97%  
25 8% 93%  
26 13% 86%  
27 13% 73%  
28 16% 60% Median
29 12% 44%  
30 12% 32%  
31 9% 20%  
32 5% 11%  
33 3% 6%  
34 2% 3%  
35 0.8% 1.2%  
36 0.3% 0.4%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.4% 99.9%  
15 1.2% 99.5% Last Result
16 4% 98%  
17 9% 94%  
18 14% 85%  
19 16% 71%  
20 17% 55% Median
21 17% 38%  
22 9% 21%  
23 6% 12%  
24 3% 6%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.8% 1.1%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100%  
1 0% 99.1%  
2 0% 99.1%  
3 0% 99.1%  
4 0% 99.1%  
5 0% 99.1%  
6 0% 99.1%  
7 0% 99.1%  
8 0.5% 99.1%  
9 7% 98.6%  
10 14% 92% Last Result
11 17% 78%  
12 21% 61% Median
13 23% 41%  
14 10% 18%  
15 4% 8%  
16 3% 4%  
17 0.8% 1.0%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 0% 91%  
4 0% 91%  
5 0% 91%  
6 0% 91%  
7 0% 91%  
8 2% 91%  
9 19% 89% Last Result
10 26% 70% Median
11 20% 44%  
12 13% 23%  
13 7% 10%  
14 2% 4%  
15 0.9% 1.2%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Εθνική Δημιουργία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 178 99.9% 173–185 172–187 171–188 168–192
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 150 44% 145–156 143–158 142–159 140–162
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 90 0.1% 83–95 81–96 79–98 77–100
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 0% 75–85 73–86 72–88 70–90

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9% Majority
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0.1% 99.8%  
167 0.2% 99.8%  
168 0.2% 99.6%  
169 0.7% 99.4%  
170 0.9% 98.7%  
171 2% 98%  
172 3% 95%  
173 4% 93%  
174 6% 88%  
175 11% 82%  
176 6% 71%  
177 10% 65%  
178 9% 54% Median
179 6% 45%  
180 6% 39% Last Result
181 11% 33%  
182 3% 22%  
183 3% 19%  
184 3% 16%  
185 5% 13%  
186 2% 8%  
187 2% 6%  
188 1.2% 3%  
189 0.8% 2%  
190 0.4% 1.4%  
191 0.3% 0.9%  
192 0.4% 0.6%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.2% 99.8%  
140 0.3% 99.6%  
141 0.9% 99.3%  
142 1.1% 98%  
143 2% 97%  
144 3% 95%  
145 4% 92%  
146 7% 88%  
147 8% 81%  
148 9% 73%  
149 10% 64%  
150 9% 54% Median
151 7% 44% Majority
152 7% 37%  
153 8% 31%  
154 4% 22%  
155 6% 18%  
156 3% 12%  
157 3% 9%  
158 2% 6% Last Result
159 1.4% 4%  
160 1.1% 2%  
161 0.5% 1.1%  
162 0.3% 0.6%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.4% 99.5%  
78 0.5% 99.2%  
79 1.3% 98.7%  
80 0.7% 97%  
81 2% 97%  
82 2% 95%  
83 3% 93%  
84 3% 90%  
85 3% 86%  
86 8% 83%  
87 4% 75%  
88 6% 71%  
89 10% 65%  
90 8% 55% Median
91 11% 48%  
92 7% 37%  
93 10% 30%  
94 5% 19%  
95 5% 14% Last Result
96 4% 9%  
97 2% 5%  
98 1.2% 3%  
99 0.5% 1.3%  
100 0.5% 0.8%  
101 0.2% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1% Majority
152 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.5% 99.6%  
71 1.0% 99.1%  
72 1.4% 98%  
73 3% 97%  
74 3% 94%  
75 4% 90%  
76 5% 86%  
77 8% 82%  
78 9% 74%  
79 8% 65%  
80 10% 57% Median
81 10% 46%  
82 8% 36%  
83 8% 28%  
84 6% 20%  
85 6% 13%  
86 3% 7% Last Result
87 2% 4%  
88 0.9% 3%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 0.4% 0.8%  
91 0.1% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations