Opinion Poll by Κάπα Research, 5 May 2022–9 May 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.6% 34.8–38.4% 34.4–38.9% 33.9–39.4% 33.1–40.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.9% 28.2–31.6% 27.7–32.1% 27.3–32.5% 26.6–33.4%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 9.8% 8.8–11.0% 8.5–11.3% 8.3–11.6% 7.8–12.2%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.6% 6.7–8.6% 6.4–8.9% 6.2–9.2% 5.8–9.8%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.5% 3.4–5.7% 3.1–6.2%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.1% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.1–5.3% 2.8–5.8%
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.8–2.7%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.2%
ΕΑΝ… 0.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.2%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ 0.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 149 145–155 143–155 142–156 140–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 81 76–84 75–86 75–88 72–90
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 27 24–29 23–31 22–31 21–33
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 18–23 18–24 17–25 16–26
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 10–14 10–14 9–16 8–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–13 9–14 9–14 0–15
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0 0 0 0 0 0
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0
ΕΑΝ… 0 0 0 0 0 0
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.8%  
94 0% 99.8%  
95 0% 99.8%  
96 0% 99.8%  
97 0% 99.8%  
98 0% 99.8%  
99 0% 99.8%  
100 0% 99.8%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0% 99.8%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0.2% 99.8%  
140 0.6% 99.6%  
141 0.7% 99.0%  
142 0.9% 98%  
143 4% 97%  
144 3% 94%  
145 4% 91%  
146 4% 86%  
147 7% 82%  
148 24% 75%  
149 5% 51% Median
150 6% 46%  
151 7% 40% Majority
152 13% 33%  
153 4% 20%  
154 2% 16%  
155 11% 14%  
156 2% 3%  
157 0.7% 1.3%  
158 0.1% 0.7% Last Result
159 0.2% 0.5%  
160 0.2% 0.3%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.2% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0.4% 99.7%  
73 1.1% 99.3%  
74 0.4% 98%  
75 5% 98%  
76 12% 93%  
77 6% 81%  
78 3% 75%  
79 18% 72%  
80 3% 55%  
81 19% 51% Median
82 14% 33%  
83 4% 19%  
84 6% 15%  
85 2% 9%  
86 3% 7% Last Result
87 1.2% 4%  
88 1.3% 3%  
89 1.0% 2%  
90 0.5% 0.9%  
91 0.1% 0.4%  
92 0% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.2%  
105 0% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.2%  
110 0% 0.2%  
111 0% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.2%  
116 0% 0.2%  
117 0% 0.2%  
118 0% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.2%  
121 0% 0.2%  
122 0% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.2%  
124 0% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.2%  
126 0% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.2%  
129 0% 0.2%  
130 0% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.2%  
133 0% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.2%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0.1% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 2% 99.9%  
22 1.2% 98% Last Result
23 4% 97%  
24 7% 93%  
25 8% 86%  
26 17% 78%  
27 18% 61% Median
28 24% 42%  
29 10% 19%  
30 3% 8%  
31 3% 6%  
32 1.4% 2%  
33 0.6% 0.9%  
34 0.2% 0.3%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.2% 100% Last Result
16 0.6% 99.8%  
17 3% 99.2%  
18 7% 96%  
19 24% 89%  
20 19% 65% Median
21 10% 46%  
22 22% 36%  
23 5% 14%  
24 6% 9%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.5% 0.8%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 0% 99.6%  
5 0% 99.6%  
6 0% 99.6%  
7 0% 99.6%  
8 1.0% 99.6%  
9 2% 98.6%  
10 27% 97% Last Result
11 20% 70% Median
12 19% 50%  
13 19% 31%  
14 8% 12%  
15 2% 5%  
16 2% 3%  
17 1.0% 1.1%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0.4% 98%  
9 9% 98% Last Result
10 20% 89%  
11 23% 69% Median
12 18% 45%  
13 21% 27%  
14 5% 7%  
15 1.2% 2%  
16 0.3% 0.5%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Εθνική Δημιουργία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

ΕΑΝ…

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ΕΑΝ… page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 176 99.8% 171–181 170–182 169–182 165–186
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 149 40% 145–155 143–155 142–156 140–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 91 0.1% 87–95 87–97 85–98 82–102
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 81 0% 76–84 75–86 75–88 72–90

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0.1% 100%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0% 99.8%  
142 0% 99.8%  
143 0% 99.8%  
144 0% 99.8%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0% 99.8%  
147 0% 99.8%  
148 0% 99.8%  
149 0% 99.8%  
150 0% 99.8%  
151 0% 99.8% Majority
152 0% 99.8%  
153 0% 99.8%  
154 0% 99.8%  
155 0% 99.8%  
156 0% 99.8%  
157 0% 99.8%  
158 0% 99.8%  
159 0% 99.8%  
160 0% 99.8%  
161 0% 99.8%  
162 0% 99.8%  
163 0% 99.8%  
164 0.3% 99.8%  
165 0.1% 99.6%  
166 0.4% 99.4%  
167 0.2% 99.0%  
168 0.2% 98.8%  
169 3% 98.6%  
170 4% 96%  
171 5% 92%  
172 3% 86%  
173 0.3% 83%  
174 5% 83%  
175 19% 78%  
176 19% 59% Median
177 6% 40%  
178 1.5% 35%  
179 2% 33%  
180 14% 31% Last Result
181 12% 17%  
182 3% 5%  
183 0.6% 2%  
184 0.1% 1.3%  
185 0.4% 1.2%  
186 0.5% 0.8%  
187 0.2% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.8%  
94 0% 99.8%  
95 0% 99.8%  
96 0% 99.8%  
97 0% 99.8%  
98 0% 99.8%  
99 0% 99.8%  
100 0% 99.8%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0% 99.8%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0.2% 99.8%  
140 0.6% 99.6%  
141 0.7% 99.0%  
142 0.9% 98%  
143 4% 97%  
144 3% 94%  
145 4% 91%  
146 4% 86%  
147 7% 82%  
148 24% 75%  
149 5% 51% Median
150 6% 46%  
151 7% 40% Majority
152 13% 33%  
153 4% 20%  
154 2% 16%  
155 11% 14%  
156 2% 3%  
157 0.7% 1.3%  
158 0.1% 0.7% Last Result
159 0.2% 0.5%  
160 0.2% 0.3%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.8%  
82 0.2% 99.7%  
83 0.7% 99.5%  
84 0.8% 98.8%  
85 1.2% 98%  
86 1.5% 97%  
87 14% 95%  
88 6% 81%  
89 5% 76%  
90 6% 71%  
91 15% 65%  
92 14% 50% Median
93 7% 36%  
94 14% 29%  
95 6% 15% Last Result
96 2% 10%  
97 4% 7%  
98 1.4% 4%  
99 0.7% 2%  
100 0.8% 2%  
101 0.3% 1.0%  
102 0.4% 0.7%  
103 0.1% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.2%  
105 0% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.2%  
110 0% 0.2%  
111 0% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.2%  
116 0% 0.2%  
117 0% 0.2%  
118 0% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.2%  
121 0% 0.2%  
122 0% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.2%  
124 0% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.2%  
126 0% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.2%  
129 0% 0.2%  
130 0% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.2%  
133 0% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.2%  
138 0% 0.2%  
139 0% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.2%  
143 0% 0.2%  
144 0% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1% Majority
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0.1% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.2% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0.4% 99.7%  
73 1.1% 99.3%  
74 0.4% 98%  
75 5% 98%  
76 12% 93%  
77 6% 81%  
78 3% 75%  
79 18% 72%  
80 3% 55%  
81 19% 51% Median
82 14% 33%  
83 4% 19%  
84 6% 15%  
85 2% 9%  
86 3% 7% Last Result
87 1.2% 4%  
88 1.3% 3%  
89 1.0% 2%  
90 0.5% 0.9%  
91 0.1% 0.4%  
92 0% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.2%  
105 0% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.2%  
110 0% 0.2%  
111 0% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.2%  
116 0% 0.2%  
117 0% 0.2%  
118 0% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.2%  
121 0% 0.2%  
122 0% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.2%  
124 0% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.2%  
126 0% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.2%  
129 0% 0.2%  
130 0% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.2%  
133 0% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.2%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0.1% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations