Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 10–11 May 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 37.2% 35.4–39.1% 34.9–39.6% 34.4–40.1% 33.6–41.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 30.4% 28.6–32.2% 28.2–32.7% 27.7–33.1% 26.9–34.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 10.3% 9.2–11.5% 8.9–11.9% 8.6–12.2% 8.1–12.8%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.4% 6.5–8.5% 6.2–8.8% 6.0–9.1% 5.6–9.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.8%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.7% 3.0–4.5% 2.9–4.7% 2.7–4.9% 2.4–5.4%
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 150 145–155 144–157 142–158 140–161
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 81 76–86 75–88 75–89 73–93
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 28 25–31 24–32 23–33 22–35
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 17–23 17–24 16–25 15–26
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–13 9–14 8–14 0–16
Ελληνική Λύση 10 10 8–12 0–13 0–13 0–14
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.8%  
92 0% 99.7%  
93 0% 99.7%  
94 0% 99.7%  
95 0% 99.7%  
96 0% 99.7%  
97 0% 99.7%  
98 0% 99.7%  
99 0% 99.7%  
100 0% 99.7%  
101 0% 99.7%  
102 0% 99.7%  
103 0% 99.7%  
104 0% 99.7%  
105 0% 99.7%  
106 0% 99.7%  
107 0% 99.7%  
108 0% 99.7%  
109 0% 99.7%  
110 0% 99.7%  
111 0% 99.7%  
112 0% 99.7%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0% 99.7%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0% 99.7%  
124 0% 99.7%  
125 0% 99.7%  
126 0% 99.7%  
127 0% 99.7%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.7%  
135 0% 99.7%  
136 0% 99.7%  
137 0% 99.7%  
138 0% 99.7%  
139 0.1% 99.7%  
140 0.3% 99.5%  
141 0.6% 99.3%  
142 1.2% 98.6%  
143 2% 97%  
144 3% 95%  
145 5% 93%  
146 5% 88%  
147 8% 83%  
148 7% 75%  
149 11% 67%  
150 9% 56% Median
151 12% 47% Majority
152 9% 36%  
153 7% 26%  
154 5% 19%  
155 4% 14%  
156 3% 10%  
157 2% 6%  
158 2% 4% Last Result
159 0.9% 2%  
160 0.6% 1.4%  
161 0.4% 0.8%  
162 0.3% 0.5%  
163 0.1% 0.2%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.1% 99.6%  
73 0.1% 99.6%  
74 1.3% 99.4%  
75 5% 98%  
76 6% 94%  
77 2% 88%  
78 0.9% 86%  
79 4% 85%  
80 18% 81%  
81 20% 62% Median
82 9% 43%  
83 3% 34%  
84 3% 31%  
85 7% 28%  
86 10% 20% Last Result
87 4% 10%  
88 2% 6%  
89 1.4% 4%  
90 0.8% 2%  
91 0.6% 2%  
92 0.3% 1.0%  
93 0.2% 0.6%  
94 0.1% 0.5%  
95 0% 0.3%  
96 0% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.3%  
98 0% 0.3%  
99 0% 0.3%  
100 0% 0.3%  
101 0% 0.3%  
102 0% 0.3%  
103 0% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.3%  
105 0% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0% 0.3%  
109 0% 0.3%  
110 0% 0.3%  
111 0% 0.3%  
112 0% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.3%  
114 0% 0.3%  
115 0% 0.3%  
116 0% 0.3%  
117 0% 0.3%  
118 0% 0.3%  
119 0% 0.3%  
120 0% 0.3%  
121 0% 0.3%  
122 0% 0.3%  
123 0% 0.3%  
124 0% 0.3%  
125 0% 0.3%  
126 0% 0.3%  
127 0% 0.3%  
128 0% 0.3%  
129 0% 0.3%  
130 0% 0.3%  
131 0% 0.3%  
132 0% 0.3%  
133 0% 0.3%  
134 0% 0.3%  
135 0% 0.3%  
136 0% 0.3%  
137 0% 0.3%  
138 0% 0.3%  
139 0% 0.3%  
140 0% 0.3%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0.1% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.2% 99.9%  
22 1.0% 99.7% Last Result
23 2% 98.7%  
24 5% 97%  
25 10% 91%  
26 11% 82%  
27 16% 70%  
28 17% 54% Median
29 13% 38%  
30 11% 25%  
31 6% 13%  
32 4% 7%  
33 2% 3%  
34 0.8% 1.4%  
35 0.3% 0.5%  
36 0.1% 0.2%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 0.8% 99.8% Last Result
16 3% 99.0%  
17 7% 96%  
18 13% 90%  
19 17% 77%  
20 17% 60% Median
21 17% 43%  
22 13% 26%  
23 7% 13%  
24 4% 6%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.6% 0.9%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 2% 98%  
9 12% 95% Last Result
10 24% 83%  
11 22% 59% Median
12 18% 37%  
13 12% 19%  
14 5% 7%  
15 1.4% 2%  
16 0.4% 0.5%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100%  
1 0% 90%  
2 0% 90%  
3 0% 90%  
4 0% 90%  
5 0% 90%  
6 0% 90%  
7 0% 90%  
8 6% 90%  
9 21% 84%  
10 26% 63% Last Result, Median
11 21% 37%  
12 10% 16%  
13 4% 6%  
14 1.3% 2%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Εθνική Δημιουργία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 178 99.7% 173–184 171–185 170–187 167–190
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 150 47% 145–155 144–157 142–158 140–161
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 92 0.3% 87–98 86–99 85–100 81–104
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 81 0% 76–86 75–88 75–89 73–93

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.7%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0% 99.7%  
124 0% 99.7%  
125 0% 99.7%  
126 0% 99.7%  
127 0% 99.7%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.7%  
135 0% 99.7%  
136 0% 99.7%  
137 0% 99.7%  
138 0% 99.7%  
139 0% 99.7%  
140 0% 99.7%  
141 0% 99.7%  
142 0% 99.7%  
143 0% 99.7%  
144 0% 99.7%  
145 0% 99.7%  
146 0% 99.7%  
147 0% 99.7%  
148 0% 99.7%  
149 0% 99.7%  
150 0% 99.7%  
151 0% 99.7% Majority
152 0% 99.7%  
153 0% 99.7%  
154 0% 99.7%  
155 0% 99.7%  
156 0% 99.7%  
157 0% 99.7%  
158 0% 99.7%  
159 0% 99.7%  
160 0% 99.7%  
161 0% 99.7%  
162 0% 99.7%  
163 0% 99.7%  
164 0% 99.7%  
165 0% 99.7%  
166 0.1% 99.7%  
167 0.2% 99.6%  
168 0.4% 99.4%  
169 1.0% 99.0%  
170 1.4% 98%  
171 2% 97%  
172 4% 94%  
173 5% 91%  
174 7% 86%  
175 6% 79%  
176 8% 73%  
177 11% 65%  
178 9% 54% Median
179 11% 45%  
180 9% 34% Last Result
181 6% 25%  
182 5% 19%  
183 4% 15%  
184 3% 11%  
185 3% 7%  
186 2% 4%  
187 1.1% 3%  
188 0.6% 2%  
189 0.4% 1.1%  
190 0.3% 0.7%  
191 0.2% 0.4%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0.1% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.8%  
92 0% 99.7%  
93 0% 99.7%  
94 0% 99.7%  
95 0% 99.7%  
96 0% 99.7%  
97 0% 99.7%  
98 0% 99.7%  
99 0% 99.7%  
100 0% 99.7%  
101 0% 99.7%  
102 0% 99.7%  
103 0% 99.7%  
104 0% 99.7%  
105 0% 99.7%  
106 0% 99.7%  
107 0% 99.7%  
108 0% 99.7%  
109 0% 99.7%  
110 0% 99.7%  
111 0% 99.7%  
112 0% 99.7%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0% 99.7%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0% 99.7%  
124 0% 99.7%  
125 0% 99.7%  
126 0% 99.7%  
127 0% 99.7%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.7%  
135 0% 99.7%  
136 0% 99.7%  
137 0% 99.7%  
138 0% 99.7%  
139 0.1% 99.7%  
140 0.3% 99.5%  
141 0.6% 99.3%  
142 1.2% 98.6%  
143 2% 97%  
144 3% 95%  
145 5% 93%  
146 5% 88%  
147 8% 83%  
148 7% 75%  
149 11% 67%  
150 9% 56% Median
151 12% 47% Majority
152 9% 36%  
153 7% 26%  
154 5% 19%  
155 4% 14%  
156 3% 10%  
157 2% 6%  
158 2% 4% Last Result
159 0.9% 2%  
160 0.6% 1.4%  
161 0.4% 0.8%  
162 0.3% 0.5%  
163 0.1% 0.2%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.7%  
81 0.1% 99.6%  
82 0.1% 99.4%  
83 0.4% 99.3%  
84 1.2% 99.0%  
85 2% 98%  
86 5% 96%  
87 3% 91%  
88 3% 88%  
89 3% 85%  
90 7% 82%  
91 18% 75%  
92 9% 57% Median
93 11% 48%  
94 6% 36%  
95 6% 31% Last Result
96 6% 24%  
97 7% 19%  
98 5% 12%  
99 3% 7%  
100 1.1% 4%  
101 0.8% 2%  
102 0.7% 2%  
103 0.3% 0.9%  
104 0.2% 0.6%  
105 0.1% 0.5%  
106 0.1% 0.4%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0% 0.3%  
109 0% 0.3%  
110 0% 0.3%  
111 0% 0.3%  
112 0% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.3%  
114 0% 0.3%  
115 0% 0.3%  
116 0% 0.3%  
117 0% 0.3%  
118 0% 0.3%  
119 0% 0.3%  
120 0% 0.3%  
121 0% 0.3%  
122 0% 0.3%  
123 0% 0.3%  
124 0% 0.3%  
125 0% 0.3%  
126 0% 0.3%  
127 0% 0.3%  
128 0% 0.3%  
129 0% 0.3%  
130 0% 0.3%  
131 0% 0.3%  
132 0% 0.3%  
133 0% 0.3%  
134 0% 0.3%  
135 0% 0.3%  
136 0% 0.3%  
137 0% 0.3%  
138 0% 0.3%  
139 0% 0.3%  
140 0% 0.3%  
141 0% 0.3%  
142 0% 0.3%  
143 0% 0.3%  
144 0% 0.3%  
145 0% 0.3%  
146 0% 0.3%  
147 0% 0.3%  
148 0% 0.3%  
149 0% 0.3%  
150 0% 0.3%  
151 0.1% 0.3% Majority
152 0.1% 0.2%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.1% 99.6%  
73 0.1% 99.6%  
74 1.3% 99.4%  
75 5% 98%  
76 6% 94%  
77 2% 88%  
78 0.9% 86%  
79 4% 85%  
80 18% 81%  
81 20% 62% Median
82 9% 43%  
83 3% 34%  
84 3% 31%  
85 7% 28%  
86 10% 20% Last Result
87 4% 10%  
88 2% 6%  
89 1.4% 4%  
90 0.8% 2%  
91 0.6% 2%  
92 0.3% 1.0%  
93 0.2% 0.6%  
94 0.1% 0.5%  
95 0% 0.3%  
96 0% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.3%  
98 0% 0.3%  
99 0% 0.3%  
100 0% 0.3%  
101 0% 0.3%  
102 0% 0.3%  
103 0% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.3%  
105 0% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0% 0.3%  
109 0% 0.3%  
110 0% 0.3%  
111 0% 0.3%  
112 0% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.3%  
114 0% 0.3%  
115 0% 0.3%  
116 0% 0.3%  
117 0% 0.3%  
118 0% 0.3%  
119 0% 0.3%  
120 0% 0.3%  
121 0% 0.3%  
122 0% 0.3%  
123 0% 0.3%  
124 0% 0.3%  
125 0% 0.3%  
126 0% 0.3%  
127 0% 0.3%  
128 0% 0.3%  
129 0% 0.3%  
130 0% 0.3%  
131 0% 0.3%  
132 0% 0.3%  
133 0% 0.3%  
134 0% 0.3%  
135 0% 0.3%  
136 0% 0.3%  
137 0% 0.3%  
138 0% 0.3%  
139 0% 0.3%  
140 0% 0.3%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0.1% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations