Opinion Poll by Prorata for Η Εφημερίδα των Συντακτών, 28–11 May 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.0% 33.1–37.0% 32.6–37.5% 32.1–38.0% 31.2–39.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 30.0% 28.2–31.9% 27.7–32.4% 27.2–32.9% 26.4–33.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 10.6% 9.4–11.9% 9.1–12.3% 8.8–12.7% 8.3–13.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.8–10.2%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 147 142–153 139–155 134–156 87–160
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 78–89 76–91 75–99 73–144
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 30 26–33 25–34 24–35 23–37
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 22 19–25 18–26 17–27 16–28
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–13 8–14 0–15 0–16
Ελληνική Λύση 10 9 0–11 0–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.2% 99.8%  
87 0.6% 99.6%  
88 0.4% 99.0%  
89 0.1% 98.6%  
90 0.3% 98.5%  
91 0.5% 98%  
92 0.1% 98%  
93 0% 98%  
94 0.1% 98%  
95 0.1% 98%  
96 0% 98%  
97 0% 98%  
98 0% 98%  
99 0% 98%  
100 0% 98%  
101 0% 98%  
102 0% 98%  
103 0% 98%  
104 0% 98%  
105 0% 98%  
106 0% 98%  
107 0% 98%  
108 0% 98%  
109 0% 98%  
110 0% 98%  
111 0% 98%  
112 0% 98%  
113 0% 98%  
114 0% 98%  
115 0% 98%  
116 0% 98%  
117 0% 98%  
118 0% 98%  
119 0% 98%  
120 0% 98%  
121 0% 98%  
122 0% 98%  
123 0% 98%  
124 0% 98%  
125 0% 98%  
126 0% 98%  
127 0% 98%  
128 0% 98%  
129 0% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0% 98%  
132 0% 98%  
133 0% 98%  
134 0% 98%  
135 0% 97%  
136 0% 97%  
137 0.1% 97%  
138 1.2% 97%  
139 2% 96%  
140 2% 94%  
141 2% 92%  
142 3% 91%  
143 7% 87%  
144 9% 81%  
145 11% 72%  
146 9% 61%  
147 7% 51% Median
148 6% 45%  
149 7% 38%  
150 8% 31%  
151 6% 23% Majority
152 4% 17%  
153 3% 12%  
154 3% 9%  
155 2% 6%  
156 2% 4%  
157 0.8% 2%  
158 0.5% 1.3% Last Result
159 0.3% 0.9%  
160 0.2% 0.6%  
161 0.1% 0.3%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.4% 99.6%  
74 0.7% 99.2%  
75 1.3% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 3% 95%  
78 5% 92%  
79 6% 87%  
80 7% 81%  
81 8% 74%  
82 9% 66%  
83 10% 57% Median
84 9% 47%  
85 8% 38%  
86 8% 30% Last Result
87 6% 22%  
88 4% 16%  
89 3% 12%  
90 2% 8%  
91 1.5% 6%  
92 0.7% 5%  
93 0.6% 4%  
94 0.4% 3%  
95 0.1% 3%  
96 0% 3%  
97 0% 3%  
98 0% 3%  
99 0% 3%  
100 0% 2%  
101 0% 2%  
102 0% 2%  
103 0% 2%  
104 0% 2%  
105 0% 2%  
106 0% 2%  
107 0% 2%  
108 0% 2%  
109 0% 2%  
110 0% 2%  
111 0% 2%  
112 0% 2%  
113 0% 2%  
114 0% 2%  
115 0% 2%  
116 0% 2%  
117 0% 2%  
118 0% 2%  
119 0% 2%  
120 0% 2%  
121 0% 2%  
122 0% 2%  
123 0% 2%  
124 0% 2%  
125 0% 2%  
126 0% 2%  
127 0% 2%  
128 0% 2%  
129 0% 2%  
130 0% 2%  
131 0% 2%  
132 0% 2%  
133 0% 2%  
134 0% 2%  
135 0% 2%  
136 0% 2%  
137 0.1% 2%  
138 0.3% 2%  
139 0.4% 2%  
140 0.3% 2%  
141 0.2% 1.4%  
142 0.4% 1.2%  
143 0.2% 0.8%  
144 0.2% 0.6%  
145 0.1% 0.4%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0.1% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
23 0.6% 99.7%  
24 2% 99.1%  
25 4% 97%  
26 6% 94%  
27 10% 87%  
28 12% 77%  
29 14% 65%  
30 15% 51% Median
31 11% 36%  
32 10% 25%  
33 7% 15%  
34 4% 8%  
35 2% 4%  
36 1.2% 2%  
37 0.4% 0.8%  
38 0.2% 0.4%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100% Last Result
16 0.6% 99.8%  
17 2% 99.2%  
18 5% 97%  
19 8% 93%  
20 14% 84%  
21 16% 71%  
22 17% 55% Median
23 14% 38%  
24 10% 24%  
25 7% 14%  
26 4% 7%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.8% 1.3%  
29 0.3% 0.5%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 0% 95%  
8 2% 95%  
9 13% 94% Last Result
10 20% 81%  
11 23% 61% Median
12 18% 37%  
13 11% 19%  
14 5% 9%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.6% 0.9%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100%  
1 0% 74%  
2 0% 74%  
3 0% 74%  
4 0% 74%  
5 0% 74%  
6 0% 74%  
7 0% 74%  
8 5% 74%  
9 25% 69% Median
10 22% 44% Last Result
11 13% 22%  
12 6% 9%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.6% 0.8%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 177 98% 170–183 169–185 162–187 116–190
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 147 23% 142–153 139–155 134–156 87–160
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 94 2% 88–100 86–102 85–109 81–155
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 0% 78–89 76–91 75–99 73–144

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
112 0% 100%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.8%  
115 0.1% 99.7%  
116 0.4% 99.6%  
117 0.3% 99.2%  
118 0.3% 98.9%  
119 0.3% 98.6%  
120 0.1% 98%  
121 0.2% 98%  
122 0.2% 98%  
123 0.1% 98%  
124 0.1% 98%  
125 0.1% 98%  
126 0% 98%  
127 0% 98%  
128 0% 98%  
129 0% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0% 98%  
132 0% 98%  
133 0% 98%  
134 0% 98%  
135 0% 98%  
136 0% 98%  
137 0% 98%  
138 0% 98%  
139 0% 98%  
140 0% 98%  
141 0% 98%  
142 0% 98%  
143 0% 98%  
144 0% 98%  
145 0% 98%  
146 0% 98%  
147 0% 98%  
148 0% 98%  
149 0% 98%  
150 0% 98%  
151 0% 98% Majority
152 0% 98%  
153 0% 98%  
154 0% 98%  
155 0% 98%  
156 0% 98%  
157 0% 98%  
158 0% 98%  
159 0% 98%  
160 0% 98%  
161 0% 98%  
162 0% 98%  
163 0% 97%  
164 0% 97%  
165 0.2% 97%  
166 0.2% 97%  
167 0.7% 97%  
168 1.2% 96%  
169 2% 95%  
170 4% 93%  
171 3% 90%  
172 5% 86%  
173 7% 81%  
174 7% 74%  
175 9% 67%  
176 7% 57%  
177 8% 50% Median
178 8% 43%  
179 6% 34%  
180 6% 28% Last Result
181 5% 22%  
182 4% 16%  
183 3% 13%  
184 3% 9%  
185 2% 6%  
186 2% 5%  
187 1.3% 3%  
188 0.6% 2%  
189 0.6% 1.3%  
190 0.3% 0.8%  
191 0.2% 0.5%  
192 0.1% 0.3%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.2% 99.8%  
87 0.6% 99.6%  
88 0.4% 99.0%  
89 0.1% 98.6%  
90 0.3% 98.5%  
91 0.5% 98%  
92 0.1% 98%  
93 0% 98%  
94 0.1% 98%  
95 0.1% 98%  
96 0% 98%  
97 0% 98%  
98 0% 98%  
99 0% 98%  
100 0% 98%  
101 0% 98%  
102 0% 98%  
103 0% 98%  
104 0% 98%  
105 0% 98%  
106 0% 98%  
107 0% 98%  
108 0% 98%  
109 0% 98%  
110 0% 98%  
111 0% 98%  
112 0% 98%  
113 0% 98%  
114 0% 98%  
115 0% 98%  
116 0% 98%  
117 0% 98%  
118 0% 98%  
119 0% 98%  
120 0% 98%  
121 0% 98%  
122 0% 98%  
123 0% 98%  
124 0% 98%  
125 0% 98%  
126 0% 98%  
127 0% 98%  
128 0% 98%  
129 0% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0% 98%  
132 0% 98%  
133 0% 98%  
134 0% 98%  
135 0% 97%  
136 0% 97%  
137 0.1% 97%  
138 1.2% 97%  
139 2% 96%  
140 2% 94%  
141 2% 92%  
142 3% 91%  
143 7% 87%  
144 9% 81%  
145 11% 72%  
146 9% 61%  
147 7% 51% Median
148 6% 45%  
149 7% 38%  
150 8% 31%  
151 6% 23% Majority
152 4% 17%  
153 3% 12%  
154 3% 9%  
155 2% 6%  
156 2% 4%  
157 0.8% 2%  
158 0.5% 1.3% Last Result
159 0.3% 0.9%  
160 0.2% 0.6%  
161 0.1% 0.3%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8%  
81 0.2% 99.7%  
82 0.4% 99.5%  
83 0.5% 99.1%  
84 0.8% 98.6%  
85 1.3% 98%  
86 2% 97%  
87 3% 95%  
88 4% 92%  
89 4% 88%  
90 6% 84%  
91 6% 78%  
92 8% 72%  
93 9% 64%  
94 9% 55% Median
95 10% 45% Last Result
96 7% 36%  
97 6% 29%  
98 6% 22%  
99 5% 17%  
100 3% 12%  
101 2% 8%  
102 1.4% 6%  
103 0.9% 5%  
104 0.5% 4%  
105 0.4% 3%  
106 0.2% 3%  
107 0.1% 3%  
108 0% 3%  
109 0% 3%  
110 0% 2%  
111 0% 2%  
112 0% 2%  
113 0% 2%  
114 0% 2%  
115 0% 2%  
116 0% 2%  
117 0% 2%  
118 0% 2%  
119 0% 2%  
120 0% 2%  
121 0% 2%  
122 0% 2%  
123 0% 2%  
124 0% 2%  
125 0% 2%  
126 0% 2%  
127 0% 2%  
128 0% 2%  
129 0% 2%  
130 0% 2%  
131 0% 2%  
132 0% 2%  
133 0% 2%  
134 0% 2%  
135 0% 2%  
136 0% 2%  
137 0% 2%  
138 0% 2%  
139 0% 2%  
140 0% 2%  
141 0% 2%  
142 0% 2%  
143 0% 2%  
144 0% 2%  
145 0% 2%  
146 0% 2%  
147 0% 2%  
148 0.1% 2%  
149 0.3% 2%  
150 0.3% 2%  
151 0.3% 2% Majority
152 0.3% 1.4%  
153 0.2% 1.1%  
154 0.3% 0.8%  
155 0.2% 0.6%  
156 0.1% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.3%  
158 0.1% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.4% 99.6%  
74 0.7% 99.2%  
75 1.3% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 3% 95%  
78 5% 92%  
79 6% 87%  
80 7% 81%  
81 8% 74%  
82 9% 66%  
83 10% 57% Median
84 9% 47%  
85 8% 38%  
86 8% 30% Last Result
87 6% 22%  
88 4% 16%  
89 3% 12%  
90 2% 8%  
91 1.5% 6%  
92 0.7% 5%  
93 0.6% 4%  
94 0.4% 3%  
95 0.1% 3%  
96 0% 3%  
97 0% 3%  
98 0% 3%  
99 0% 3%  
100 0% 2%  
101 0% 2%  
102 0% 2%  
103 0% 2%  
104 0% 2%  
105 0% 2%  
106 0% 2%  
107 0% 2%  
108 0% 2%  
109 0% 2%  
110 0% 2%  
111 0% 2%  
112 0% 2%  
113 0% 2%  
114 0% 2%  
115 0% 2%  
116 0% 2%  
117 0% 2%  
118 0% 2%  
119 0% 2%  
120 0% 2%  
121 0% 2%  
122 0% 2%  
123 0% 2%  
124 0% 2%  
125 0% 2%  
126 0% 2%  
127 0% 2%  
128 0% 2%  
129 0% 2%  
130 0% 2%  
131 0% 2%  
132 0% 2%  
133 0% 2%  
134 0% 2%  
135 0% 2%  
136 0% 2%  
137 0.1% 2%  
138 0.3% 2%  
139 0.4% 2%  
140 0.3% 2%  
141 0.2% 1.4%  
142 0.4% 1.2%  
143 0.2% 0.8%  
144 0.2% 0.6%  
145 0.1% 0.4%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0.1% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations