Opinion Poll by Alco for Alpha TV, 11–16 May 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.8% 35.1–38.7% 34.6–39.2% 34.1–39.6% 33.3–40.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.2% 27.5–30.9% 27.1–31.4% 26.7–31.8% 25.9–32.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 9.3% 8.3–10.5% 8.0–10.8% 7.8–11.1% 7.4–11.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.8% 6.0–7.9% 5.7–8.2% 5.5–8.4% 5.2–8.9%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.2% 3.5–5.0% 3.3–5.2% 3.2–5.5% 2.9–5.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.7% 3.0–4.5% 2.9–4.7% 2.7–4.9% 2.5–5.3%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.2–3.3%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ 0.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.5% 1.4–2.7% 1.3–2.9% 1.1–3.2%
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 152 147–158 147–158 145–160 143–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 81 78–83 77–84 76–85 75–87
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 26 24–28 23–30 23–30 21–32
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 17–21 16–22 16–23 14–25
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 10–14 9–14 9–15 0–16
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 9–12 0–13 0–13 0–15
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0–9
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ 0 0 0 0 0 0–8
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.2% 99.8%  
143 0.5% 99.7%  
144 0.8% 99.2%  
145 2% 98%  
146 1.3% 97%  
147 6% 95%  
148 7% 90%  
149 6% 83%  
150 9% 77%  
151 7% 68% Majority
152 15% 60% Median
153 12% 46%  
154 7% 34%  
155 4% 27%  
156 7% 23%  
157 5% 16%  
158 6% 11% Last Result
159 2% 5%  
160 1.2% 3%  
161 0.6% 2%  
162 0.9% 1.4%  
163 0.3% 0.6%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0.1% 0.2%  
166 0.1% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 1.1% 99.7%  
76 1.1% 98.6%  
77 3% 97%  
78 14% 95%  
79 15% 81%  
80 12% 65%  
81 18% 54% Median
82 9% 35%  
83 16% 26%  
84 7% 10%  
85 2% 3%  
86 0.7% 1.3% Last Result
87 0.3% 0.6%  
88 0.1% 0.4%  
89 0% 0.3%  
90 0% 0.3%  
91 0% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.4% 99.9%  
22 2% 99.5% Last Result
23 4% 98%  
24 11% 94%  
25 5% 83%  
26 42% 78% Median
27 8% 35%  
28 19% 28%  
29 4% 9%  
30 3% 5%  
31 1.3% 2%  
32 0.5% 0.6%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.4% 99.9%  
15 1.3% 99.5% Last Result
16 6% 98%  
17 10% 92%  
18 20% 81%  
19 16% 61% Median
20 31% 45%  
21 5% 14%  
22 5% 9%  
23 2% 4%  
24 1.1% 2%  
25 0.4% 0.6%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100%  
1 0% 99.1%  
2 0% 99.1%  
3 0% 99.1%  
4 0% 99.1%  
5 0% 99.1%  
6 0% 99.1%  
7 0% 99.1%  
8 0.2% 99.1%  
9 9% 98.9%  
10 14% 90% Last Result
11 19% 76%  
12 17% 57% Median
13 23% 40%  
14 13% 17%  
15 3% 4%  
16 0.8% 1.1%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 0% 91%  
4 0% 91%  
5 0% 91%  
6 0% 91%  
7 0% 91%  
8 1.2% 91%  
9 24% 90% Last Result
10 23% 66% Median
11 27% 43%  
12 11% 16%  
13 4% 5%  
14 1.0% 2%  
15 0.5% 0.6%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0% 2%  
7 0% 2%  
8 1.2% 2%  
9 0.9% 1.1%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.1%  
2 0% 1.1%  
3 0% 1.1%  
4 0% 1.1%  
5 0% 1.1%  
6 0% 1.1%  
7 0% 1.1%  
8 0.7% 1.1%  
9 0.4% 0.4%  
10 0% 0%  

Εθνική Δημιουργία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 178 100% 175–184 173–185 172–186 170–188
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 152 68% 147–158 147–158 145–160 143–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 90 0% 86–94 83–95 83–95 80–97
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 81 0% 78–83 77–84 76–85 75–87

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0.1% 99.9%  
169 0.1% 99.8%  
170 0.4% 99.6%  
171 0.8% 99.3%  
172 1.0% 98%  
173 3% 97%  
174 3% 94%  
175 8% 92%  
176 13% 84%  
177 7% 71%  
178 19% 64% Median
179 13% 45%  
180 7% 32% Last Result
181 4% 25%  
182 4% 20%  
183 3% 16%  
184 5% 13%  
185 5% 8%  
186 1.2% 3%  
187 1.4% 2%  
188 0.2% 0.5%  
189 0.1% 0.3%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.2% 99.8%  
143 0.5% 99.7%  
144 0.8% 99.2%  
145 2% 98%  
146 1.3% 97%  
147 6% 95%  
148 7% 90%  
149 6% 83%  
150 9% 77%  
151 7% 68% Majority
152 15% 60% Median
153 12% 46%  
154 7% 34%  
155 4% 27%  
156 7% 23%  
157 5% 16%  
158 6% 11% Last Result
159 2% 5%  
160 1.2% 3%  
161 0.6% 2%  
162 0.9% 1.4%  
163 0.3% 0.6%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0.1% 0.2%  
166 0.1% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.3% 99.9%  
80 0.3% 99.5%  
81 0.6% 99.2%  
82 1.0% 98.6%  
83 3% 98%  
84 2% 94%  
85 1.4% 92%  
86 1.2% 91%  
87 2% 90%  
88 8% 88%  
89 17% 79%  
90 22% 62%  
91 7% 40% Median
92 5% 33%  
93 9% 28%  
94 12% 18%  
95 4% 6% Last Result
96 0.7% 2%  
97 0.8% 1.2%  
98 0.1% 0.4%  
99 0% 0.3%  
100 0% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.2%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 1.1% 99.7%  
76 1.1% 98.6%  
77 3% 97%  
78 14% 95%  
79 15% 81%  
80 12% 65%  
81 18% 54% Median
82 9% 35%  
83 16% 26%  
84 7% 10%  
85 2% 3%  
86 0.7% 1.3% Last Result
87 0.3% 0.6%  
88 0.1% 0.4%  
89 0% 0.3%  
90 0% 0.3%  
91 0% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations