Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 15–17 May 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 37.2% 35.4–39.0% 34.9–39.5% 34.5–39.9% 33.6–40.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 30.3% 28.7–32.1% 28.2–32.6% 27.8–33.0% 27.0–33.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 9.7% 8.6–10.9% 8.4–11.2% 8.1–11.5% 7.7–12.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.3% 6.4–8.4% 6.2–8.7% 6.0–9.0% 5.6–9.5%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.0% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.7%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.9% 3.3–4.7% 3.1–5.0% 3.0–5.2% 2.7–5.6%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.4% 1.1–2.0% 1.0–2.1% 0.9–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.5%
ΕΑΝ… 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.1%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 151 144–156 144–157 142–159 141–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 82 77–88 76–88 75–89 73–92
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 26 23–29 23–30 22–31 21–33
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 17–23 17–24 16–24 15–26
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–13 9–14 0–14 0–15
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 9–14 8–14 0–14 0–15
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0 0 0 0 0 0
ΕΑΝ… 0 0 0 0 0 0
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.1% 100%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.8%  
94 0% 99.8%  
95 0% 99.8%  
96 0% 99.8%  
97 0% 99.8%  
98 0% 99.8%  
99 0% 99.8%  
100 0% 99.8%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0% 99.8%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0.1% 99.7%  
141 0.5% 99.7%  
142 3% 99.2%  
143 0.6% 96%  
144 9% 95%  
145 4% 87%  
146 4% 83%  
147 7% 79%  
148 10% 72%  
149 6% 62%  
150 5% 56%  
151 12% 51% Median, Majority
152 14% 39%  
153 5% 25%  
154 4% 21%  
155 6% 16%  
156 3% 10%  
157 4% 8%  
158 0.8% 3% Last Result
159 1.2% 3%  
160 0.4% 1.5%  
161 0.4% 1.1%  
162 0.1% 0.7%  
163 0.6% 0.7%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.9%  
73 0.5% 99.6%  
74 1.2% 99.1%  
75 3% 98%  
76 2% 95%  
77 4% 94%  
78 8% 89%  
79 5% 82%  
80 5% 77%  
81 19% 72%  
82 7% 52% Median
83 8% 45%  
84 8% 37%  
85 8% 30%  
86 4% 21% Last Result
87 7% 17%  
88 7% 11%  
89 2% 4%  
90 0.6% 2%  
91 0.8% 1.4%  
92 0.2% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.4%  
94 0% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.2%  
105 0% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.2%  
110 0% 0.2%  
111 0% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.2%  
116 0% 0.2%  
117 0% 0.2%  
118 0% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.2%  
121 0% 0.2%  
122 0% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.2%  
124 0% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.2%  
126 0% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.2%  
129 0% 0.2%  
130 0% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.2%  
133 0% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.2%  
138 0% 0.2%  
139 0% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.2%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0.1% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.3% 99.9%  
21 0.7% 99.6%  
22 3% 98.9% Last Result
23 6% 96%  
24 19% 90%  
25 8% 71%  
26 15% 62% Median
27 18% 48%  
28 13% 30%  
29 8% 17%  
30 4% 8%  
31 2% 4%  
32 1.4% 2%  
33 0.3% 0.6%  
34 0.3% 0.4%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 1.2% 99.8% Last Result
16 3% 98.5%  
17 11% 95%  
18 17% 84%  
19 13% 68%  
20 13% 55% Median
21 14% 42%  
22 13% 28%  
23 10% 16%  
24 4% 6%  
25 1.0% 2%  
26 0.3% 0.6%  
27 0.3% 0.3%  
28 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 1.4% 97%  
9 15% 95% Last Result
10 21% 80%  
11 21% 59% Median
12 17% 38%  
13 12% 21%  
14 7% 9%  
15 1.5% 2%  
16 0.2% 0.3%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 0% 96%  
8 2% 96%  
9 13% 94%  
10 27% 81% Last Result
11 21% 54% Median
12 14% 33%  
13 9% 19%  
14 9% 10%  
15 1.2% 1.4%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Εθνική Δημιουργία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

ΕΑΝ…

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ΕΑΝ… page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 177 99.8% 171–182 168–184 168–186 167–190
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 151 51% 144–156 144–157 142–159 141–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 93 0.2% 88–98 86–100 85–101 81–103
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 82 0% 77–88 76–88 75–89 73–92

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
115 0% 100%  
116 0.1% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0% 99.8%  
142 0% 99.8%  
143 0% 99.8%  
144 0% 99.8%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0% 99.8%  
147 0% 99.8%  
148 0% 99.8%  
149 0% 99.8%  
150 0% 99.8%  
151 0% 99.8% Majority
152 0% 99.8%  
153 0% 99.8%  
154 0% 99.8%  
155 0% 99.8%  
156 0% 99.8%  
157 0% 99.8%  
158 0% 99.8%  
159 0% 99.8%  
160 0% 99.8%  
161 0% 99.8%  
162 0% 99.8%  
163 0% 99.8%  
164 0.1% 99.8%  
165 0% 99.7%  
166 0.2% 99.7%  
167 0.4% 99.5%  
168 4% 99.1%  
169 1.2% 95%  
170 2% 94%  
171 7% 92%  
172 5% 85%  
173 4% 80%  
174 4% 75%  
175 12% 72%  
176 9% 60%  
177 16% 51% Median
178 8% 35%  
179 6% 26%  
180 6% 21% Last Result
181 2% 15%  
182 3% 12%  
183 3% 9%  
184 2% 6%  
185 0.7% 4%  
186 2% 4%  
187 0.6% 2%  
188 0.3% 1.1%  
189 0.2% 0.7%  
190 0.5% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.1% 100%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.8%  
94 0% 99.8%  
95 0% 99.8%  
96 0% 99.8%  
97 0% 99.8%  
98 0% 99.8%  
99 0% 99.8%  
100 0% 99.8%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0% 99.8%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0.1% 99.7%  
141 0.5% 99.7%  
142 3% 99.2%  
143 0.6% 96%  
144 9% 95%  
145 4% 87%  
146 4% 83%  
147 7% 79%  
148 10% 72%  
149 6% 62%  
150 5% 56%  
151 12% 51% Median, Majority
152 14% 39%  
153 5% 25%  
154 4% 21%  
155 6% 16%  
156 3% 10%  
157 4% 8%  
158 0.8% 3% Last Result
159 1.2% 3%  
160 0.4% 1.5%  
161 0.4% 1.1%  
162 0.1% 0.7%  
163 0.6% 0.7%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0.5% 99.9%  
82 0.3% 99.4%  
83 0.4% 99.1%  
84 0.8% 98.6%  
85 1.3% 98%  
86 3% 97%  
87 2% 93%  
88 6% 92%  
89 7% 85%  
90 6% 78%  
91 4% 72%  
92 10% 68%  
93 13% 58% Median
94 9% 45%  
95 6% 36% Last Result
96 6% 29%  
97 8% 23%  
98 8% 16%  
99 1.3% 8%  
100 3% 7%  
101 3% 4%  
102 0.4% 0.9%  
103 0.1% 0.5%  
104 0% 0.4%  
105 0.1% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0% 0.3%  
109 0% 0.2%  
110 0% 0.2%  
111 0% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.2%  
116 0% 0.2%  
117 0% 0.2%  
118 0% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.2%  
121 0% 0.2%  
122 0% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.2%  
124 0% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.2%  
126 0% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.2%  
129 0% 0.2%  
130 0% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.2%  
133 0% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.2%  
138 0% 0.2%  
139 0% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.2%  
143 0% 0.2%  
144 0% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.2% Majority
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.9%  
73 0.5% 99.6%  
74 1.2% 99.1%  
75 3% 98%  
76 2% 95%  
77 4% 94%  
78 8% 89%  
79 5% 82%  
80 5% 77%  
81 19% 72%  
82 7% 52% Median
83 8% 45%  
84 8% 37%  
85 8% 30%  
86 4% 21% Last Result
87 7% 17%  
88 7% 11%  
89 2% 4%  
90 0.6% 2%  
91 0.8% 1.4%  
92 0.2% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.4%  
94 0% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.2%  
105 0% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.2%  
110 0% 0.2%  
111 0% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.2%  
116 0% 0.2%  
117 0% 0.2%  
118 0% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.2%  
121 0% 0.2%  
122 0% 0.2%  
123 0% 0.2%  
124 0% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.2%  
126 0% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.2%  
129 0% 0.2%  
130 0% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.2%  
133 0% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.2%  
138 0% 0.2%  
139 0% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.2%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0.1% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations