Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 12–17 May 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 37.9% 36.6–39.2% 36.3–39.5% 36.0–39.8% 35.4–40.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 30.7% 29.5–31.9% 29.2–32.3% 28.9–32.6% 28.3–33.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 9.9% 9.1–10.7% 8.9–11.0% 8.8–11.2% 8.4–11.6%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.1% 5.5–6.8% 5.3–7.0% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.5%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.4% 3.9–5.0% 3.8–5.2% 3.7–5.3% 3.4–5.6%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.9% 3.4–4.5% 3.3–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0%
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0.0% 2.2% 1.9–2.7% 1.8–2.8% 1.7–2.9% 1.5–3.1%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ 0.0% 2.1% 1.8–2.6% 1.7–2.7% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 152 148–155 148–156 147–157 145–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 82 79–86 79–86 77–87 76–89
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 27 25–29 24–30 24–30 23–31
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 15–18 14–19 14–19 13–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 12 11–13 10–14 10–14 9–15
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 9–12 9–12 9–13 0–14
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0 0 0 0 0 0–8
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
143 0.1% 100%  
144 0.3% 99.9%  
145 0.7% 99.6%  
146 1.3% 98.9%  
147 3% 98%  
148 5% 95%  
149 8% 90%  
150 12% 81%  
151 15% 69% Majority
152 17% 54% Median
153 14% 37%  
154 8% 23%  
155 6% 15%  
156 5% 8%  
157 2% 4%  
158 0.8% 1.4% Last Result
159 0.4% 0.6%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.5% 99.7%  
77 2% 99.2%  
78 2% 97%  
79 7% 95%  
80 12% 88%  
81 10% 77%  
82 17% 66% Median
83 18% 49%  
84 11% 32%  
85 9% 20%  
86 6% 11% Last Result
87 3% 5%  
88 1.0% 2%  
89 0.8% 1.0%  
90 0.2% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.4% 100% Last Result
23 2% 99.6%  
24 7% 98%  
25 16% 91%  
26 21% 74%  
27 20% 53% Median
28 18% 33%  
29 10% 16%  
30 4% 6%  
31 0.9% 1.1%  
32 0.2% 0.2%  
33 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.8% 100%  
14 6% 99.2%  
15 16% 93% Last Result
16 29% 77% Median
17 25% 49%  
18 16% 24%  
19 7% 8%  
20 1.4% 2%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 1.0% 99.9% Last Result
10 8% 99.0%  
11 29% 90%  
12 31% 62% Median
13 23% 31%  
14 6% 8%  
15 1.4% 2%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100%  
1 0% 99.4%  
2 0% 99.4%  
3 0% 99.4%  
4 0% 99.4%  
5 0% 99.4%  
6 0% 99.4%  
7 0% 99.4%  
8 1.1% 99.4%  
9 13% 98%  
10 34% 86% Last Result
11 33% 51% Median
12 14% 18%  
13 3% 4%  
14 0.5% 0.6%  
15 0% 0%  

Εθνική Δημιουργία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.2%  
2 0% 1.2%  
3 0% 1.2%  
4 0% 1.2%  
5 0% 1.2%  
6 0% 1.2%  
7 0% 1.2%  
8 1.1% 1.2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.5%  
2 0% 0.5%  
3 0% 0.5%  
4 0% 0.5%  
5 0% 0.5%  
6 0% 0.5%  
7 0% 0.5%  
8 0.4% 0.5%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 178 100% 175–182 174–183 173–184 171–186
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 152 69% 148–155 148–156 147–157 145–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 94 0% 91–98 90–98 90–99 88–101
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 82 0% 79–86 79–86 77–87 76–89

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
169 0.1% 100%  
170 0.2% 99.9%  
171 0.3% 99.7%  
172 0.8% 99.4%  
173 2% 98.6%  
174 4% 96%  
175 6% 93%  
176 10% 87%  
177 13% 77%  
178 13% 63%  
179 16% 50% Median
180 11% 34% Last Result
181 11% 23%  
182 6% 13%  
183 3% 7%  
184 2% 3%  
185 0.8% 1.4%  
186 0.4% 0.7%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0.1% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
143 0.1% 100%  
144 0.3% 99.9%  
145 0.7% 99.6%  
146 1.3% 98.9%  
147 3% 98%  
148 5% 95%  
149 8% 90%  
150 12% 81%  
151 15% 69% Majority
152 17% 54% Median
153 14% 37%  
154 8% 23%  
155 6% 15%  
156 5% 8%  
157 2% 4%  
158 0.8% 1.4% Last Result
159 0.4% 0.6%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0.4% 99.9%  
88 0.6% 99.5%  
89 1.4% 98.9%  
90 4% 98%  
91 8% 94%  
92 11% 86%  
93 13% 75%  
94 14% 62% Median
95 14% 48% Last Result
96 13% 34%  
97 11% 21%  
98 5% 10%  
99 2% 5%  
100 1.5% 2%  
101 0.7% 1.0%  
102 0.2% 0.4%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.5% 99.7%  
77 2% 99.2%  
78 2% 97%  
79 7% 95%  
80 12% 88%  
81 10% 77%  
82 17% 66% Median
83 18% 49%  
84 11% 32%  
85 9% 20%  
86 6% 11% Last Result
87 3% 5%  
88 1.0% 2%  
89 0.8% 1.0%  
90 0.2% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations