Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 12–17 May 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.8% 34.2–37.4% 33.8–37.9% 33.4–38.3% 32.7–39.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.1% 26.7–29.7% 26.3–30.1% 25.9–30.5% 25.2–31.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 10.7% 9.7–11.8% 9.4–12.1% 9.2–12.3% 8.7–12.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.1% 6.3–8.1% 6.1–8.3% 5.9–8.6% 5.6–9.0%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.6% 4.0–5.4% 3.8–5.6% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.2%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.9% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.0% 2.8–5.4%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.7% 1.4–2.3% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.5% 1.0–2.8%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ 0.0% 1.4% 1.1–1.9% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 149 145–153 143–154 142–156 140–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 78 73–82 73–83 71–84 70–86
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 30 27–32 26–33 25–34 24–36
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 18–22 17–23 16–24 15–25
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 11–15 11–15 10–16 9–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 12 9–13 9–14 8–14 0–15
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0.1% 100%  
139 0.2% 99.9%  
140 0.3% 99.7%  
141 0.8% 99.4%  
142 2% 98.6%  
143 3% 97%  
144 3% 94%  
145 6% 90%  
146 8% 84%  
147 11% 76%  
148 14% 65%  
149 14% 52% Median
150 8% 38%  
151 10% 30% Majority
152 9% 20%  
153 5% 12%  
154 2% 7%  
155 2% 5%  
156 1.1% 3%  
157 0.8% 2%  
158 0.4% 0.8% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.4%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0.1% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.6% 99.6%  
71 2% 98.9%  
72 2% 97%  
73 5% 95%  
74 6% 90%  
75 9% 84%  
76 12% 74%  
77 8% 62%  
78 15% 54% Median
79 11% 39%  
80 9% 29%  
81 9% 19%  
82 4% 11%  
83 3% 6%  
84 2% 3%  
85 1.0% 2%  
86 0.5% 0.9% Last Result
87 0.2% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.6% 99.8%  
25 2% 99.2%  
26 4% 97%  
27 11% 93%  
28 12% 82%  
29 17% 70%  
30 20% 52% Median
31 14% 32%  
32 9% 18%  
33 5% 9%  
34 3% 4%  
35 1.0% 2%  
36 0.3% 0.5%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
16 2% 99.4%  
17 4% 97%  
18 13% 93%  
19 20% 80%  
20 24% 60% Median
21 17% 36%  
22 11% 19%  
23 5% 9%  
24 2% 4%  
25 0.9% 1.1%  
26 0.2% 0.2%  
27 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.7% 100%  
10 3% 99.2% Last Result
11 12% 96%  
12 29% 84%  
13 23% 55% Median
14 18% 32%  
15 9% 14%  
16 4% 5%  
17 0.7% 1.0%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0.9% 98%  
9 8% 97% Last Result
10 17% 89%  
11 20% 72%  
12 33% 52% Median
13 14% 19%  
14 4% 5%  
15 1.3% 2%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 178 100% 174–183 173–184 172–185 170–189
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 149 30% 145–153 143–154 142–156 140–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 89 0% 85–93 83–94 82–95 79–98
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 78 0% 73–82 73–83 71–84 70–86

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0.1% 100%  
168 0.1% 99.9%  
169 0.3% 99.8%  
170 0.6% 99.5%  
171 1.2% 99.0%  
172 2% 98%  
173 2% 95%  
174 6% 93%  
175 6% 87%  
176 14% 81%  
177 7% 68%  
178 13% 60%  
179 11% 47% Median
180 10% 36% Last Result
181 9% 26%  
182 5% 16%  
183 4% 11%  
184 3% 7%  
185 2% 4%  
186 0.7% 2%  
187 0.6% 2%  
188 0.4% 0.9%  
189 0.3% 0.5%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0.1% 100%  
139 0.2% 99.9%  
140 0.3% 99.7%  
141 0.8% 99.4%  
142 2% 98.6%  
143 3% 97%  
144 3% 94%  
145 6% 90%  
146 8% 84%  
147 11% 76%  
148 14% 65%  
149 14% 52% Median
150 8% 38%  
151 10% 30% Majority
152 9% 20%  
153 5% 12%  
154 2% 7%  
155 2% 5%  
156 1.1% 3%  
157 0.8% 2%  
158 0.4% 0.8% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.4%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0.1% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.7%  
79 0.4% 99.5%  
80 0.5% 99.1%  
81 0.8% 98.6%  
82 2% 98%  
83 2% 96%  
84 3% 94%  
85 6% 90%  
86 8% 85%  
87 12% 77%  
88 8% 65%  
89 11% 56%  
90 12% 46% Median
91 15% 34%  
92 6% 19%  
93 6% 13%  
94 3% 7%  
95 2% 4% Last Result
96 0.9% 2%  
97 0.6% 1.1%  
98 0.3% 0.5%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.6% 99.6%  
71 2% 98.9%  
72 2% 97%  
73 5% 95%  
74 6% 90%  
75 9% 84%  
76 12% 74%  
77 8% 62%  
78 15% 54% Median
79 11% 39%  
80 9% 29%  
81 9% 19%  
82 4% 11%  
83 3% 6%  
84 2% 3%  
85 1.0% 2%  
86 0.5% 0.9% Last Result
87 0.2% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations