Opinion Poll by Palmos Analysis for Tvxs.gr, 13–17 May 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.4% 33.7–37.1% 33.2–37.6% 32.8–38.0% 32.0–38.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.0% 26.5–29.7% 26.0–30.1% 25.7–30.5% 24.9–31.3%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 9.1% 8.2–10.2% 7.9–10.5% 7.7–10.8% 7.2–11.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.7% 5.9–7.7% 5.7–8.0% 5.5–8.2% 5.1–8.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.4% 3.7–5.2% 3.5–5.4% 3.4–5.6% 3.1–6.0%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.7% 3.1–4.4% 2.9–4.6% 2.8–4.8% 2.5–5.2%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 2.8% 2.3–3.5% 2.2–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 1.8–4.2%
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.2% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.8%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ 0.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 150 145–155 143–157 142–158 139–161
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 79 74–84 73–85 72–87 70–90
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 26 23–29 22–30 21–31 20–32
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 17–22 16–22 15–23 14–25
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 12 11–15 10–16 10–16 9–17
Ελληνική Λύση 10 10 9–12 0–13 0–14 0–15
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0–10 0–10 0–11 0–12
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0 0 0 0 0 0
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.3% 99.8%  
140 0.7% 99.5%  
141 1.1% 98.8%  
142 1.4% 98%  
143 2% 96%  
144 3% 95%  
145 6% 91%  
146 9% 85%  
147 10% 77%  
148 6% 66%  
149 5% 61%  
150 9% 56% Median
151 9% 47% Majority
152 7% 38%  
153 10% 32%  
154 8% 21%  
155 4% 13%  
156 3% 9%  
157 2% 6%  
158 1.2% 4% Last Result
159 0.6% 2%  
160 0.6% 2%  
161 0.7% 1.2%  
162 0.2% 0.5%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.8% 99.6%  
71 1.2% 98.8%  
72 2% 98%  
73 3% 96%  
74 4% 92%  
75 7% 88%  
76 13% 81%  
77 5% 68%  
78 8% 63%  
79 14% 56% Median
80 12% 42%  
81 6% 30%  
82 6% 24%  
83 5% 17%  
84 6% 12%  
85 2% 6%  
86 1.2% 4% Last Result
87 1.2% 3%  
88 0.7% 2%  
89 0.4% 0.9%  
90 0.3% 0.5%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.6% 99.9%  
21 2% 99.3%  
22 5% 97% Last Result
23 8% 92%  
24 11% 85%  
25 16% 73%  
26 25% 57% Median
27 9% 32%  
28 9% 24%  
29 8% 14%  
30 4% 6%  
31 1.5% 3%  
32 0.8% 1.1%  
33 0.2% 0.3%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.7% 99.9%  
15 2% 99.2% Last Result
16 6% 97%  
17 12% 92%  
18 15% 80%  
19 21% 64% Median
20 15% 43%  
21 17% 28%  
22 6% 11%  
23 3% 4%  
24 0.9% 1.5%  
25 0.4% 0.6%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 2% 99.8% Last Result
10 6% 98%  
11 23% 92%  
12 22% 69% Median
13 15% 47%  
14 21% 32%  
15 5% 11%  
16 5% 6%  
17 0.9% 1.1%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 0.3% 92%  
9 21% 92%  
10 22% 70% Last Result, Median
11 18% 48%  
12 21% 31%  
13 6% 10%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.4% 0.5%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 61% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 39%  
2 0% 39%  
3 0% 39%  
4 0% 39%  
5 0% 39%  
6 0% 39%  
7 0% 39%  
8 3% 39%  
9 24% 37%  
10 9% 13%  
11 3% 4%  
12 1.0% 1.1%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Εθνική Δημιουργία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0% 0.2%  
5 0% 0.2%  
6 0% 0.2%  
7 0% 0.2%  
8 0% 0.2%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 176 100% 170–181 169–183 168–186 164–187
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 150 47% 145–155 143–157 142–158 139–161
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 91 0% 87–96 85–98 84–99 81–103
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 79 0% 74–84 73–85 72–87 70–90

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0.2% 99.9%  
164 0.5% 99.7%  
165 0.3% 99.2%  
166 0.4% 98.9%  
167 0.7% 98%  
168 2% 98%  
169 5% 96%  
170 4% 91%  
171 5% 87%  
172 9% 82%  
173 11% 73%  
174 4% 62%  
175 4% 58%  
176 8% 54% Median
177 6% 47%  
178 6% 41%  
179 12% 34%  
180 9% 22% Last Result
181 6% 14%  
182 2% 8%  
183 1.0% 5%  
184 0.5% 4%  
185 1.2% 4%  
186 2% 3%  
187 0.3% 0.7%  
188 0.2% 0.4%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0.1% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.3% 99.8%  
140 0.7% 99.5%  
141 1.1% 98.8%  
142 1.4% 98%  
143 2% 96%  
144 3% 95%  
145 6% 91%  
146 9% 85%  
147 10% 77%  
148 6% 66%  
149 5% 61%  
150 9% 56% Median
151 9% 47% Majority
152 7% 38%  
153 10% 32%  
154 8% 21%  
155 4% 13%  
156 3% 9%  
157 2% 6%  
158 1.2% 4% Last Result
159 0.6% 2%  
160 0.6% 2%  
161 0.7% 1.2%  
162 0.2% 0.5%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.5% 99.8%  
82 0.6% 99.2%  
83 0.8% 98.6%  
84 2% 98%  
85 2% 96%  
86 4% 94%  
87 9% 90%  
88 4% 81%  
89 5% 78%  
90 17% 72%  
91 8% 55% Median
92 12% 48%  
93 7% 35%  
94 7% 28%  
95 6% 21% Last Result
96 6% 15%  
97 3% 10%  
98 4% 7%  
99 1.3% 4%  
100 0.9% 2%  
101 0.6% 1.5%  
102 0.3% 0.9%  
103 0.3% 0.6%  
104 0% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.8% 99.6%  
71 1.2% 98.8%  
72 2% 98%  
73 3% 96%  
74 4% 92%  
75 7% 88%  
76 13% 81%  
77 5% 68%  
78 8% 63%  
79 14% 56% Median
80 12% 42%  
81 6% 30%  
82 6% 24%  
83 5% 17%  
84 6% 12%  
85 2% 6%  
86 1.2% 4% Last Result
87 1.2% 3%  
88 0.7% 2%  
89 0.4% 0.9%  
90 0.3% 0.5%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations