Opinion Poll by Marc for ΑΝΤ1, 16–18 May 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 38.0% 36.3–39.8% 35.8–40.3% 35.4–40.7% 34.5–41.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.7% 28.1–31.4% 27.6–31.9% 27.2–32.3% 26.5–33.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.8% 7.8–9.9% 7.6–10.2% 7.3–10.5% 6.9–11.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.5% 5.7–7.5% 5.4–7.7% 5.2–8.0% 4.9–8.5%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.0% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.1% 3.1–5.3% 2.8–5.7%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.8% 3.2–4.6% 3.0–4.8% 2.9–5.0% 2.6–5.4%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 2.6% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5% 1.9–3.6% 1.6–4.0%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–2.9% 1.7–3.1% 1.6–3.3% 1.4–3.6%
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.7–1.9% 0.5–2.1%
ΕΑΝ… 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.7–1.9% 0.5–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 154 149–159 146–160 145–161 143–164
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 81 76–86 74–88 73–91 71–91
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 24 22–27 21–27 20–28 18–30
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 16–20 15–21 14–22 13–23
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–13 9–13 0–14 0–15
Ελληνική Λύση 10 10 8–12 0–13 0–13 0–15
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0–9 0–9 0–10 0–10
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ 0 0 0 0 0–9 0–10
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0 0 0 0 0 0
ΕΑΝ… 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.6% 99.8%  
144 0.4% 99.1%  
145 3% 98.8%  
146 1.1% 96%  
147 2% 95%  
148 2% 93%  
149 11% 90%  
150 5% 79%  
151 7% 75% Majority
152 6% 67%  
153 8% 61%  
154 13% 53% Median
155 10% 40%  
156 7% 30%  
157 6% 23%  
158 3% 17% Last Result
159 6% 15%  
160 4% 9%  
161 3% 4%  
162 0.3% 1.2%  
163 0.3% 0.9%  
164 0.2% 0.6%  
165 0.1% 0.4%  
166 0.2% 0.3%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.8%  
72 0.3% 99.4%  
73 2% 99.1%  
74 4% 97%  
75 3% 93%  
76 5% 91%  
77 3% 85%  
78 6% 82%  
79 5% 76%  
80 12% 71%  
81 15% 59% Median
82 7% 44%  
83 9% 38%  
84 13% 28%  
85 3% 15%  
86 4% 13% Last Result
87 2% 8%  
88 2% 7%  
89 0.4% 5%  
90 0.5% 4%  
91 3% 4%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.5% 100%  
19 1.0% 99.4%  
20 2% 98%  
21 4% 97%  
22 14% 93% Last Result
23 12% 79%  
24 26% 67% Median
25 10% 42%  
26 19% 32%  
27 9% 13%  
28 3% 5%  
29 0.6% 2%  
30 1.0% 1.3%  
31 0.2% 0.2%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.5% 99.9%  
14 2% 99.4%  
15 7% 97% Last Result
16 13% 90%  
17 21% 77%  
18 17% 57% Median
19 27% 40%  
20 6% 12%  
21 3% 6%  
22 3% 4%  
23 0.7% 1.1%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0.9% 97%  
9 13% 96% Last Result
10 13% 83%  
11 34% 70% Median
12 24% 36%  
13 8% 12%  
14 2% 4%  
15 1.5% 2%  
16 0.2% 0.4%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 4% 93%  
9 12% 89%  
10 29% 77% Last Result, Median
11 28% 49%  
12 14% 21%  
13 5% 7%  
14 1.4% 2%  
15 0.5% 0.6%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 76% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 24%  
2 0% 24%  
3 0% 24%  
4 0% 24%  
5 0% 24%  
6 0% 24%  
7 0% 24%  
8 12% 24%  
9 8% 12%  
10 4% 4%  
11 0.4% 0.5%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 0% 4%  
5 0% 4%  
6 0% 4%  
7 0% 4%  
8 2% 4%  
9 2% 3%  
10 0.8% 0.8%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Εθνική Δημιουργία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

ΕΑΝ…

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ΕΑΝ… page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 178 100% 173–183 171–184 169–186 165–189
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 154 75% 149–159 146–160 145–161 143–164
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 92 0% 86–97 83–99 82–102 80–102
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 81 0% 76–86 74–88 73–91 71–91

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0.5% 99.9%  
166 0.1% 99.4%  
167 0.4% 99.2%  
168 0.9% 98.8%  
169 0.7% 98%  
170 1.2% 97%  
171 4% 96%  
172 2% 92%  
173 6% 90%  
174 3% 84%  
175 13% 81%  
176 6% 68%  
177 5% 61%  
178 14% 57% Median
179 11% 42%  
180 6% 31% Last Result
181 5% 25%  
182 3% 20%  
183 7% 17%  
184 5% 10%  
185 2% 4%  
186 1.4% 3%  
187 0.3% 1.2%  
188 0.3% 0.9%  
189 0.3% 0.6%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0.1% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.6% 99.8%  
144 0.4% 99.1%  
145 3% 98.8%  
146 1.1% 96%  
147 2% 95%  
148 2% 93%  
149 11% 90%  
150 5% 79%  
151 7% 75% Majority
152 6% 67%  
153 8% 61%  
154 13% 53% Median
155 10% 40%  
156 7% 30%  
157 6% 23%  
158 3% 17% Last Result
159 6% 15%  
160 4% 9%  
161 3% 4%  
162 0.3% 1.2%  
163 0.3% 0.9%  
164 0.2% 0.6%  
165 0.1% 0.4%  
166 0.2% 0.3%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 2% 99.8%  
81 0.3% 98%  
82 0.3% 98%  
83 6% 97%  
84 0.5% 92%  
85 0.7% 91%  
86 2% 91%  
87 5% 89%  
88 7% 84%  
89 3% 77%  
90 6% 74%  
91 4% 68%  
92 18% 64% Median
93 9% 46%  
94 10% 37%  
95 2% 27% Last Result
96 12% 25%  
97 5% 13%  
98 2% 8%  
99 2% 6%  
100 0.8% 5%  
101 0.3% 4%  
102 3% 4%  
103 0.1% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.8%  
72 0.3% 99.4%  
73 2% 99.1%  
74 4% 97%  
75 3% 93%  
76 5% 91%  
77 3% 85%  
78 6% 82%  
79 5% 76%  
80 12% 71%  
81 15% 59% Median
82 7% 44%  
83 9% 38%  
84 13% 28%  
85 3% 15%  
86 4% 13% Last Result
87 2% 8%  
88 2% 7%  
89 0.4% 5%  
90 0.5% 4%  
91 3% 4%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations