Opinion Poll by Rass for iefimerida, 15–18 May 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.8% 34.0–37.6% 33.6–38.1% 33.1–38.5% 32.3–39.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.6% 27.0–30.3% 26.5–30.8% 26.1–31.2% 25.3–32.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 9.5% 8.5–10.7% 8.2–11.0% 8.0–11.3% 7.5–11.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.7% 5.9–7.7% 5.6–8.0% 5.4–8.3% 5.1–8.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.7% 3.1–4.5% 2.9–4.7% 2.8–4.9% 2.5–5.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.4% 2.9–4.2% 2.7–4.4% 2.5–4.6% 2.3–5.0%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.1–2.5% 0.9–2.8%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.0% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.3% 0.8–2.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 152 148–158 146–159 144–161 142–165
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 82 77–87 76–89 75–90 73–93
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 27 24–31 23–31 23–32 21–34
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 17–22 16–23 16–24 15–25
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–13 0–13 0–14 0–15
Ελληνική Λύση 10 10 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–14
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.3% 99.7%  
143 0.9% 99.5%  
144 1.1% 98.6%  
145 1.2% 97%  
146 2% 96%  
147 4% 94%  
148 6% 90%  
149 8% 84%  
150 9% 76%  
151 11% 67% Majority
152 7% 56% Median
153 9% 49%  
154 8% 40%  
155 8% 32%  
156 8% 24%  
157 5% 16%  
158 4% 11% Last Result
159 3% 8%  
160 2% 5%  
161 1.0% 3%  
162 0.5% 2%  
163 0.4% 1.3%  
164 0.3% 0.9%  
165 0.2% 0.5%  
166 0.1% 0.3%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.9% 99.6%  
74 0.7% 98.7%  
75 1.5% 98%  
76 5% 96%  
77 3% 92%  
78 8% 89%  
79 8% 81%  
80 9% 73%  
81 9% 64%  
82 10% 54% Median
83 10% 45%  
84 10% 35%  
85 7% 25%  
86 7% 18% Last Result
87 4% 11%  
88 2% 7%  
89 2% 5%  
90 2% 3%  
91 0.4% 1.4%  
92 0.4% 0.9%  
93 0.2% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.5% 99.9%  
22 2% 99.5% Last Result
23 3% 98%  
24 9% 95%  
25 11% 86%  
26 14% 76%  
27 18% 62% Median
28 14% 44%  
29 12% 30%  
30 8% 18%  
31 5% 10%  
32 3% 5%  
33 1.3% 2%  
34 0.5% 0.8%  
35 0.2% 0.3%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.3% 99.9%  
15 2% 99.6% Last Result
16 5% 98%  
17 10% 93%  
18 17% 83%  
19 17% 66% Median
20 21% 49%  
21 14% 28%  
22 7% 13%  
23 3% 6%  
24 2% 3%  
25 0.6% 1.0%  
26 0.2% 0.3%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 0.3% 93%  
9 12% 93% Last Result
10 27% 81%  
11 26% 54% Median
12 16% 28%  
13 8% 12%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.8% 1.1%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 0% 84%  
5 0% 84%  
6 0% 84%  
7 0% 84%  
8 0.2% 84%  
9 24% 83%  
10 22% 59% Last Result, Median
11 23% 37%  
12 8% 14%  
13 4% 6%  
14 1.0% 1.3%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0% 0.2%  
5 0% 0.2%  
6 0% 0.2%  
7 0% 0.2%  
8 0% 0.2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 179 99.9% 174–186 173–187 172–189 169–193
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 152 67% 148–158 146–159 144–161 142–165
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 93 0.1% 86–98 85–99 83–101 79–103
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 82 0% 77–87 76–89 75–90 73–93

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9% Majority
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0.1% 99.9%  
168 0.2% 99.8%  
169 0.3% 99.6%  
170 0.5% 99.3%  
171 1.2% 98.8%  
172 1.3% 98%  
173 3% 96%  
174 5% 93%  
175 4% 88%  
176 8% 84%  
177 11% 76%  
178 8% 65%  
179 7% 57% Median
180 9% 49% Last Result
181 6% 40%  
182 7% 34%  
183 6% 27%  
184 4% 21%  
185 6% 17%  
186 4% 11%  
187 3% 8%  
188 1.1% 5%  
189 1.5% 4%  
190 0.6% 2%  
191 0.6% 1.4%  
192 0.2% 0.9%  
193 0.3% 0.6%  
194 0.1% 0.4%  
195 0.1% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.3% 99.7%  
143 0.9% 99.5%  
144 1.1% 98.6%  
145 1.2% 97%  
146 2% 96%  
147 4% 94%  
148 6% 90%  
149 8% 84%  
150 9% 76%  
151 11% 67% Majority
152 7% 56% Median
153 9% 49%  
154 8% 40%  
155 8% 32%  
156 8% 24%  
157 5% 16%  
158 4% 11% Last Result
159 3% 8%  
160 2% 5%  
161 1.0% 3%  
162 0.5% 2%  
163 0.4% 1.3%  
164 0.3% 0.9%  
165 0.2% 0.5%  
166 0.1% 0.3%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.8%  
79 0.1% 99.6%  
80 0.2% 99.5%  
81 0.9% 99.3%  
82 0.8% 98%  
83 0.9% 98%  
84 1.1% 97%  
85 2% 96%  
86 4% 93%  
87 4% 90%  
88 8% 86%  
89 5% 79%  
90 7% 74%  
91 10% 67%  
92 6% 57%  
93 13% 50% Median
94 6% 37%  
95 9% 31% Last Result
96 8% 22%  
97 3% 14%  
98 5% 11%  
99 1.5% 6%  
100 2% 4%  
101 1.5% 3%  
102 0.4% 1.3%  
103 0.5% 0.9%  
104 0.2% 0.4%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1% Majority
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.9% 99.6%  
74 0.7% 98.7%  
75 1.5% 98%  
76 5% 96%  
77 3% 92%  
78 8% 89%  
79 8% 81%  
80 9% 73%  
81 9% 64%  
82 10% 54% Median
83 10% 45%  
84 10% 35%  
85 7% 25%  
86 7% 18% Last Result
87 4% 11%  
88 2% 7%  
89 2% 5%  
90 2% 3%  
91 0.4% 1.4%  
92 0.4% 0.9%  
93 0.2% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations