Opinion Poll by MRB for Open TV, 16–19 May 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.1% 34.3–38.0% 33.7–38.5% 33.3–39.0% 32.4–39.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 30.3% 28.5–32.1% 28.0–32.6% 27.6–33.1% 26.8–33.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 9.5% 8.5–10.8% 8.2–11.1% 7.9–11.4% 7.5–12.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.4% 5.5–7.4% 5.3–7.7% 5.1–8.0% 4.7–8.5%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.7% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.8–5.0% 2.5–5.5%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.7–4.9% 2.4–5.3%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ 0.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.4% 2.0–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.6–4.1%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.7% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.0%
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 150 144–155 143–157 141–160 90–162
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 84 78–89 77–91 76–92 74–143
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 27 23–30 22–31 22–32 21–33
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 15–20 14–21 14–22 13–23
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 9–13 0–13 0–14 0–15
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 9–12 0–13 0–14 0–15
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ 0 0 0–9 0–10 0–10 0–11
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0
Εθνική Δημιουργία 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.8%  
90 0.3% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.5%  
92 0% 99.5%  
93 0.1% 99.4%  
94 0.1% 99.3%  
95 0% 99.2%  
96 0.1% 99.2%  
97 0% 99.2%  
98 0.1% 99.1%  
99 0% 99.1%  
100 0% 99.1%  
101 0% 99.1%  
102 0% 99.1%  
103 0% 99.1%  
104 0% 99.1%  
105 0% 99.1%  
106 0% 99.1%  
107 0% 99.1%  
108 0% 99.1%  
109 0% 99.1%  
110 0% 99.1%  
111 0% 99.1%  
112 0% 99.1%  
113 0% 99.1%  
114 0% 99.1%  
115 0% 99.1%  
116 0% 99.1%  
117 0% 99.1%  
118 0% 99.1%  
119 0% 99.1%  
120 0% 99.1%  
121 0% 99.1%  
122 0% 99.1%  
123 0% 99.1%  
124 0% 99.1%  
125 0% 99.1%  
126 0% 99.1%  
127 0% 99.1%  
128 0% 99.1%  
129 0% 99.1%  
130 0% 99.1%  
131 0% 99.1%  
132 0% 99.1%  
133 0% 99.1%  
134 0% 99.1%  
135 0% 99.1%  
136 0% 99.1%  
137 0.2% 99.1%  
138 0.2% 98.9%  
139 0.2% 98.7%  
140 0.7% 98.6%  
141 1.1% 98%  
142 0.7% 97%  
143 5% 96%  
144 2% 90%  
145 2% 88%  
146 6% 86%  
147 7% 80%  
148 8% 73%  
149 12% 65%  
150 12% 52% Median
151 5% 40% Majority
152 4% 35%  
153 6% 31%  
154 9% 25%  
155 6% 15%  
156 3% 10%  
157 2% 7%  
158 1.1% 5% Last Result
159 0.5% 4%  
160 1.2% 3%  
161 1.4% 2%  
162 0.1% 0.6%  
163 0.3% 0.5%  
164 0% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.7%  
74 0.3% 99.5%  
75 1.3% 99.2%  
76 2% 98%  
77 3% 96%  
78 6% 94%  
79 3% 87%  
80 4% 85%  
81 7% 81%  
82 9% 74%  
83 11% 65%  
84 10% 54% Median
85 10% 44%  
86 4% 34% Last Result
87 8% 30%  
88 10% 22%  
89 4% 12%  
90 2% 8%  
91 1.2% 6%  
92 2% 4%  
93 0.8% 2%  
94 0.2% 2%  
95 0.2% 1.4%  
96 0.1% 1.2%  
97 0% 1.0%  
98 0.1% 1.0%  
99 0% 1.0%  
100 0% 0.9%  
101 0% 0.9%  
102 0% 0.9%  
103 0% 0.9%  
104 0% 0.9%  
105 0% 0.9%  
106 0% 0.9%  
107 0% 0.9%  
108 0% 0.9%  
109 0% 0.9%  
110 0% 0.9%  
111 0% 0.9%  
112 0% 0.9%  
113 0% 0.9%  
114 0% 0.9%  
115 0% 0.9%  
116 0% 0.9%  
117 0% 0.9%  
118 0% 0.9%  
119 0% 0.9%  
120 0% 0.9%  
121 0% 0.9%  
122 0% 0.9%  
123 0% 0.9%  
124 0% 0.9%  
125 0% 0.9%  
126 0% 0.9%  
127 0% 0.9%  
128 0% 0.9%  
129 0% 0.9%  
130 0% 0.9%  
131 0% 0.9%  
132 0% 0.9%  
133 0% 0.9%  
134 0% 0.9%  
135 0% 0.9%  
136 0% 0.9%  
137 0% 0.9%  
138 0% 0.9%  
139 0.1% 0.9%  
140 0.1% 0.8%  
141 0% 0.7%  
142 0% 0.7%  
143 0.2% 0.7%  
144 0.2% 0.5%  
145 0% 0.3%  
146 0.1% 0.3%  
147 0% 0.2%  
148 0.1% 0.1%  
149 0.1% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.2% 99.9%  
21 0.7% 99.7%  
22 5% 98.9% Last Result
23 6% 94%  
24 11% 88%  
25 7% 77%  
26 14% 70%  
27 24% 56% Median
28 14% 33%  
29 6% 18%  
30 7% 12%  
31 2% 5%  
32 2% 3%  
33 0.7% 1.1%  
34 0.2% 0.4%  
35 0.1% 0.2%  
36 0% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.7% 99.8%  
14 4% 99.1%  
15 13% 95% Last Result
16 17% 82%  
17 10% 64%  
18 22% 55% Median
19 15% 33%  
20 10% 18%  
21 4% 7%  
22 2% 3%  
23 0.8% 1.3%  
24 0.3% 0.5%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 2% 93%  
9 22% 91%  
10 15% 69% Last Result
11 34% 54% Median
12 8% 20%  
13 8% 12%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.9% 1.1%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 1.3% 92%  
9 26% 90% Last Result
10 24% 65% Median
11 18% 41%  
12 14% 23%  
13 6% 8%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.6% 0.9%  
16 0.3% 0.3%  
17 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 75% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 25%  
2 0% 25%  
3 0% 25%  
4 0% 25%  
5 0% 25%  
6 0% 25%  
7 0% 25%  
8 6% 25%  
9 12% 18%  
10 5% 6%  
11 1.1% 1.4%  
12 0.2% 0.3%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.4%  
2 0% 0.4%  
3 0% 0.4%  
4 0% 0.4%  
5 0% 0.4%  
6 0% 0.4%  
7 0% 0.4%  
8 0.1% 0.4%  
9 0.2% 0.3%  
10 0% 0%  

Εθνική Δημιουργία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 176 99.1% 170–183 169–185 167–189 117–190
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 150 40% 144–155 143–157 141–160 90–162
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 94 0.8% 87–99 86–101 84–102 81–153
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 84 0% 78–89 77–91 76–92 74–143

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0.1% 99.8%  
117 0.3% 99.8%  
118 0.1% 99.4%  
119 0.1% 99.3%  
120 0% 99.3%  
121 0% 99.2%  
122 0% 99.2%  
123 0% 99.2%  
124 0% 99.1%  
125 0.1% 99.1%  
126 0% 99.1%  
127 0% 99.1%  
128 0% 99.1%  
129 0% 99.1%  
130 0% 99.1%  
131 0% 99.1%  
132 0% 99.1%  
133 0% 99.1%  
134 0% 99.1%  
135 0% 99.1%  
136 0% 99.1%  
137 0% 99.1%  
138 0% 99.1%  
139 0% 99.1%  
140 0% 99.1%  
141 0% 99.1%  
142 0% 99.1%  
143 0% 99.1%  
144 0% 99.1%  
145 0% 99.1%  
146 0% 99.1%  
147 0% 99.1%  
148 0% 99.1%  
149 0% 99.1%  
150 0% 99.1%  
151 0% 99.1% Majority
152 0% 99.1%  
153 0% 99.1%  
154 0% 99.1%  
155 0% 99.1%  
156 0% 99.1%  
157 0% 99.1%  
158 0% 99.1%  
159 0% 99.1%  
160 0% 99.1%  
161 0% 99.1%  
162 0% 99.0%  
163 0.2% 99.0%  
164 0.4% 98.8%  
165 0.4% 98%  
166 0.3% 98%  
167 0.9% 98%  
168 1.3% 97%  
169 3% 96%  
170 3% 93%  
171 4% 89%  
172 6% 85%  
173 4% 79%  
174 4% 75%  
175 6% 71%  
176 19% 65%  
177 8% 46% Median
178 5% 38%  
179 6% 34%  
180 10% 28% Last Result
181 4% 18%  
182 4% 14%  
183 2% 10%  
184 3% 8%  
185 1.1% 5%  
186 0.8% 4%  
187 0.6% 3%  
188 0.2% 3%  
189 1.3% 3%  
190 0.8% 1.2%  
191 0.2% 0.4%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.8%  
90 0.3% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.5%  
92 0% 99.5%  
93 0.1% 99.4%  
94 0.1% 99.3%  
95 0% 99.2%  
96 0.1% 99.2%  
97 0% 99.2%  
98 0.1% 99.1%  
99 0% 99.1%  
100 0% 99.1%  
101 0% 99.1%  
102 0% 99.1%  
103 0% 99.1%  
104 0% 99.1%  
105 0% 99.1%  
106 0% 99.1%  
107 0% 99.1%  
108 0% 99.1%  
109 0% 99.1%  
110 0% 99.1%  
111 0% 99.1%  
112 0% 99.1%  
113 0% 99.1%  
114 0% 99.1%  
115 0% 99.1%  
116 0% 99.1%  
117 0% 99.1%  
118 0% 99.1%  
119 0% 99.1%  
120 0% 99.1%  
121 0% 99.1%  
122 0% 99.1%  
123 0% 99.1%  
124 0% 99.1%  
125 0% 99.1%  
126 0% 99.1%  
127 0% 99.1%  
128 0% 99.1%  
129 0% 99.1%  
130 0% 99.1%  
131 0% 99.1%  
132 0% 99.1%  
133 0% 99.1%  
134 0% 99.1%  
135 0% 99.1%  
136 0% 99.1%  
137 0.2% 99.1%  
138 0.2% 98.9%  
139 0.2% 98.7%  
140 0.7% 98.6%  
141 1.1% 98%  
142 0.7% 97%  
143 5% 96%  
144 2% 90%  
145 2% 88%  
146 6% 86%  
147 7% 80%  
148 8% 73%  
149 12% 65%  
150 12% 52% Median
151 5% 40% Majority
152 4% 35%  
153 6% 31%  
154 9% 25%  
155 6% 15%  
156 3% 10%  
157 2% 7%  
158 1.1% 5% Last Result
159 0.5% 4%  
160 1.2% 3%  
161 1.4% 2%  
162 0.1% 0.6%  
163 0.3% 0.5%  
164 0% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0.1% 99.7%  
81 0.4% 99.5%  
82 1.1% 99.2%  
83 0.5% 98%  
84 0.8% 98%  
85 1.5% 97%  
86 2% 95%  
87 5% 94%  
88 3% 89%  
89 4% 85%  
90 4% 81%  
91 5% 78%  
92 9% 73%  
93 13% 64%  
94 7% 51% Median
95 12% 44% Last Result
96 6% 31%  
97 4% 25%  
98 6% 21%  
99 5% 15%  
100 4% 10%  
101 1.3% 5%  
102 2% 4%  
103 0.4% 2%  
104 0.6% 2%  
105 0.2% 1.2%  
106 0.1% 1.1%  
107 0% 1.0%  
108 0% 1.0%  
109 0% 0.9%  
110 0% 0.9%  
111 0% 0.9%  
112 0% 0.9%  
113 0% 0.9%  
114 0% 0.9%  
115 0% 0.9%  
116 0% 0.9%  
117 0% 0.9%  
118 0% 0.9%  
119 0% 0.9%  
120 0% 0.9%  
121 0% 0.9%  
122 0% 0.9%  
123 0% 0.9%  
124 0% 0.9%  
125 0% 0.9%  
126 0% 0.9%  
127 0% 0.9%  
128 0% 0.9%  
129 0% 0.9%  
130 0% 0.9%  
131 0% 0.9%  
132 0% 0.9%  
133 0% 0.9%  
134 0% 0.9%  
135 0% 0.9%  
136 0% 0.9%  
137 0% 0.9%  
138 0% 0.9%  
139 0% 0.9%  
140 0% 0.9%  
141 0% 0.9%  
142 0% 0.9%  
143 0% 0.9%  
144 0% 0.9%  
145 0% 0.9%  
146 0% 0.9%  
147 0% 0.9%  
148 0.1% 0.9%  
149 0% 0.8%  
150 0% 0.8%  
151 0.1% 0.8% Majority
152 0.1% 0.7%  
153 0.1% 0.6%  
154 0.2% 0.5%  
155 0% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.2%  
158 0.1% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.7%  
74 0.3% 99.5%  
75 1.3% 99.2%  
76 2% 98%  
77 3% 96%  
78 6% 94%  
79 3% 87%  
80 4% 85%  
81 7% 81%  
82 9% 74%  
83 11% 65%  
84 10% 54% Median
85 10% 44%  
86 4% 34% Last Result
87 8% 30%  
88 10% 22%  
89 4% 12%  
90 2% 8%  
91 1.2% 6%  
92 2% 4%  
93 0.8% 2%  
94 0.2% 2%  
95 0.2% 1.4%  
96 0.1% 1.2%  
97 0% 1.0%  
98 0.1% 1.0%  
99 0% 1.0%  
100 0% 0.9%  
101 0% 0.9%  
102 0% 0.9%  
103 0% 0.9%  
104 0% 0.9%  
105 0% 0.9%  
106 0% 0.9%  
107 0% 0.9%  
108 0% 0.9%  
109 0% 0.9%  
110 0% 0.9%  
111 0% 0.9%  
112 0% 0.9%  
113 0% 0.9%  
114 0% 0.9%  
115 0% 0.9%  
116 0% 0.9%  
117 0% 0.9%  
118 0% 0.9%  
119 0% 0.9%  
120 0% 0.9%  
121 0% 0.9%  
122 0% 0.9%  
123 0% 0.9%  
124 0% 0.9%  
125 0% 0.9%  
126 0% 0.9%  
127 0% 0.9%  
128 0% 0.9%  
129 0% 0.9%  
130 0% 0.9%  
131 0% 0.9%  
132 0% 0.9%  
133 0% 0.9%  
134 0% 0.9%  
135 0% 0.9%  
136 0% 0.9%  
137 0% 0.9%  
138 0% 0.9%  
139 0.1% 0.9%  
140 0.1% 0.8%  
141 0% 0.7%  
142 0% 0.7%  
143 0.2% 0.7%  
144 0.2% 0.5%  
145 0% 0.3%  
146 0.1% 0.3%  
147 0% 0.2%  
148 0.1% 0.1%  
149 0.1% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations