Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 14–19 May 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 36.4% | 34.8–38.1% | 34.4–38.5% | 34.0–39.0% | 33.2–39.8% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 29.0% | 27.5–30.6% | 27.0–31.0% | 26.7–31.4% | 26.0–32.2% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.7–10.8% | 8.5–11.1% | 8.2–11.3% | 7.8–11.9% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0–7.7% | 5.8–8.0% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.3–8.7% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9–5.3% | 3.7–5.5% | 3.5–5.7% | 3.2–6.1% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.8–5.5% |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.9–2.9% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.6% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.2% | 1.2–2.4% | 1.1–2.5% | 1.0–2.8% |
| Εθνική Δημιουργία | 0.0% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.2% | 1.2–2.4% | 1.1–2.5% | 1.0–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 149 | 146–154 | 145–155 | 144–156 | 142–159 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 81 | 76–85 | 74–85 | 73–86 | 72–89 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 27 | 25–30 | 24–31 | 23–31 | 22–32 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 19 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 15–24 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 12 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 9–16 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 11 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 0–15 |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Εθνική Δημιουργία | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 139 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 143 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 144 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 145 | 3% | 97% | |
| 146 | 8% | 94% | |
| 147 | 4% | 86% | |
| 148 | 14% | 82% | |
| 149 | 23% | 68% | Median |
| 150 | 6% | 45% | |
| 151 | 10% | 39% | Majority |
| 152 | 8% | 29% | |
| 153 | 6% | 21% | |
| 154 | 8% | 15% | |
| 155 | 4% | 7% | |
| 156 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 157 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.5% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 73 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 74 | 4% | 97% | |
| 75 | 2% | 93% | |
| 76 | 6% | 91% | |
| 77 | 6% | 85% | |
| 78 | 12% | 79% | |
| 79 | 8% | 67% | |
| 80 | 9% | 59% | |
| 81 | 13% | 50% | Median |
| 82 | 12% | 37% | |
| 83 | 8% | 24% | |
| 84 | 4% | 16% | |
| 85 | 8% | 12% | |
| 86 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 87 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 23 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 24 | 5% | 96% | |
| 25 | 10% | 91% | |
| 26 | 15% | 81% | |
| 27 | 27% | 66% | Median |
| 28 | 17% | 39% | |
| 29 | 10% | 22% | |
| 30 | 6% | 12% | |
| 31 | 4% | 6% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 16 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 17 | 15% | 95% | |
| 18 | 22% | 80% | |
| 19 | 29% | 58% | Median |
| 20 | 15% | 29% | |
| 21 | 7% | 14% | |
| 22 | 4% | 7% | |
| 23 | 3% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 10 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 11 | 6% | 94% | |
| 12 | 46% | 88% | Median |
| 13 | 14% | 42% | |
| 14 | 17% | 28% | |
| 15 | 5% | 11% | |
| 16 | 5% | 6% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 9 | 5% | 98% | |
| 10 | 29% | 93% | Last Result |
| 11 | 24% | 65% | Median |
| 12 | 28% | 40% | |
| 13 | 8% | 12% | |
| 14 | 3% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 4% | |
| 8 | 2% | 4% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Εθνική Δημιουργία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 176 | 100% | 173–182 | 171–182 | 170–183 | 168–187 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 149 | 39% | 146–154 | 145–155 | 144–156 | 142–159 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 93 | 0% | 88–97 | 87–98 | 86–100 | 84–101 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 81 | 0% | 76–85 | 74–85 | 73–86 | 72–89 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 169 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 170 | 2% | 98% | |
| 171 | 2% | 96% | |
| 172 | 2% | 94% | |
| 173 | 3% | 92% | |
| 174 | 7% | 90% | |
| 175 | 18% | 83% | |
| 176 | 18% | 65% | Median |
| 177 | 12% | 47% | |
| 178 | 3% | 35% | |
| 179 | 6% | 32% | |
| 180 | 6% | 26% | Last Result |
| 181 | 9% | 21% | |
| 182 | 8% | 12% | |
| 183 | 2% | 4% | |
| 184 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 185 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 186 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 139 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 143 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 144 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 145 | 3% | 97% | |
| 146 | 8% | 94% | |
| 147 | 4% | 86% | |
| 148 | 14% | 82% | |
| 149 | 23% | 68% | Median |
| 150 | 6% | 45% | |
| 151 | 10% | 39% | Majority |
| 152 | 8% | 29% | |
| 153 | 6% | 21% | |
| 154 | 8% | 15% | |
| 155 | 4% | 7% | |
| 156 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 157 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.5% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 86 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 87 | 2% | 97% | |
| 88 | 6% | 95% | |
| 89 | 6% | 88% | |
| 90 | 10% | 82% | |
| 91 | 7% | 72% | |
| 92 | 7% | 65% | |
| 93 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 94 | 10% | 43% | |
| 95 | 9% | 33% | Last Result |
| 96 | 9% | 24% | |
| 97 | 9% | 16% | |
| 98 | 3% | 7% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 100 | 2% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 73 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 74 | 4% | 97% | |
| 75 | 2% | 93% | |
| 76 | 6% | 91% | |
| 77 | 6% | 85% | |
| 78 | 12% | 79% | |
| 79 | 8% | 67% | |
| 80 | 9% | 59% | |
| 81 | 13% | 50% | Median |
| 82 | 12% | 37% | |
| 83 | 8% | 24% | |
| 84 | 4% | 16% | |
| 85 | 8% | 12% | |
| 86 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 87 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Pulse RC
- Commissioner(s): ΣΚΑΪ
- Fieldwork period: 14–19 May 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1425
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.52%