Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 October 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 19.9% | 18.2–21.8% | 17.8–22.3% | 17.3–22.8% | 16.6–23.7% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 12.8% | 11.5–14.4% | 11.1–14.9% | 10.7–15.3% | 10.1–16.1% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 12.8% | 11.5–14.4% | 11.1–14.9% | 10.7–15.3% | 10.1–16.1% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.3–12.1% | 8.9–12.5% | 8.7–12.8% | 8.1–13.6% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.1–10.7% | 7.7–11.1% | 7.5–11.4% | 6.9–12.1% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 5.3% | 4.4–6.4% | 4.2–6.7% | 4.0–7.0% | 3.6–7.6% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.2% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.7–6.8% | 3.4–7.3% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 4.9% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.8–6.3% | 3.6–6.6% | 3.3–7.2% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.9% | 3.7–6.2% | 3.5–6.5% | 3.2–7.0% |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | N/A | 4.8% | 4.0–5.9% | 3.7–6.2% | 3.5–6.5% | 3.2–7.0% |
| Likums un kārtība | 0.0% | 4.4% | 3.6–5.5% | 3.4–5.8% | 3.2–6.1% | 2.9–6.6% |
| Republika | N/A | 2.4% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.7–3.5% | 1.6–3.7% | 1.3–4.1% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 14.2% | 1.8% | 1.3–2.5% | 1.2–2.8% | 1.1–3.0% | 0.9–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 23 | 22–29 | 22–29 | 21–31 | 19–31 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 15 | 13–17 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 15 | 14–18 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–21 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 12 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–17 | 10–17 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 11 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–16 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 8 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–10 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–9 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | N/A | 0 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Likums un kārtība | 0 | 0 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Republika | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |