Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 8–29 November 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 17.8% | 16.7–19.0% | 16.4–19.3% | 16.1–19.6% | 15.6–20.2% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 14.7% | 13.7–15.8% | 13.4–16.1% | 13.1–16.4% | 12.7–16.9% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 13.9% | 12.9–15.0% | 12.6–15.3% | 12.4–15.6% | 11.9–16.1% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.6–11.5% | 9.3–11.7% | 9.1–12.0% | 8.7–12.5% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.3–10.0% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.8–10.5% | 7.5–11.0% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 6.9% | 6.2–7.7% | 6.0–7.9% | 5.8–8.1% | 5.5–8.6% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 5.2% | 4.6–5.9% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.3–6.3% | 4.0–6.7% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.6–5.9% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.3–6.3% | 4.0–6.7% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.8–6.5% |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | N/A | 4.0% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% |
| Likums un kārtība | 0.0% | 3.2% | 2.7–3.8% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.5–4.1% | 2.3–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 21 | 19–24 | 19–24 | 19–25 | 18–28 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 18 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 14–21 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 17 | 16–19 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 13–21 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 13 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 11–16 | 11–16 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 10 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 8–14 | 7–14 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–11 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 8 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 0 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| Likums un kārtība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |