Opinion Poll by SKDS, 1–31 December 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 19.3% | 18.2–20.5% | 17.8–20.9% | 17.6–21.2% | 17.0–21.8% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 13.6% | 12.6–14.7% | 12.3–15.0% | 12.1–15.2% | 11.6–15.8% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.8–12.7% | 10.5–13.0% | 10.3–13.3% | 9.9–13.8% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.6–12.5% | 10.3–12.8% | 10.1–13.0% | 9.7–13.5% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 7.8% | 7.1–8.7% | 6.8–8.9% | 6.7–9.1% | 6.3–9.6% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 6.5% | 5.8–7.3% | 5.6–7.5% | 5.4–7.7% | 5.1–8.1% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 6.0% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–7.0% | 5.0–7.2% | 4.7–7.6% |
| Likums un kārtība | 0.0% | 5.2% | 4.6–6.0% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% | 4.0–6.7% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1–5.4% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.8–5.7% | 3.5–6.1% |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | N/A | 4.5% | 3.9–5.2% | 3.8–5.4% | 3.6–5.6% | 3.4–5.9% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.2–4.7% | 3.1–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% |
| Republika | N/A | 2.4% | 2.0–3.0% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.6–3.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 23 | 20–26 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 20–29 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 16 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 13–19 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 13 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 11–18 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 14 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 11–17 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 9 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 7 | 7–8 | 6–9 | 0–9 | 0–9 |
| Likums un kārtība | 0 | 6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 6 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | N/A | 0 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–6 |
| Republika | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |