Opinion Poll by Factum Interactive, 23–28 February 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 16.3% | 15.1–17.7% | 14.7–18.1% | 14.4–18.4% | 13.8–19.1% |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 12.7% | 11.6–13.9% | 11.3–14.3% | 11.0–14.6% | 10.5–15.2% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.6–12.8% | 10.3–13.2% | 10.0–13.5% | 9.5–14.1% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.4–12.7% | 10.1–13.0% | 9.9–13.3% | 9.4–13.9% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.5–10.6% | 8.3–10.9% | 8.0–11.2% | 7.6–11.8% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 6.5% | 5.7–7.5% | 5.5–7.7% | 5.3–8.0% | 4.9–8.4% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 6.2% | 5.4–7.1% | 5.2–7.4% | 5.0–7.6% | 4.7–8.1% |
| Likums un kārtība | 0.0% | 5.7% | 5.0–6.6% | 4.8–6.9% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.3–7.6% |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | N/A | 4.5% | 3.9–5.3% | 3.7–5.6% | 3.5–5.8% | 3.2–6.2% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.4% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.7–4.8% | 2.5–5.2% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.1% | 2.7–4.3% | 2.5–4.5% | 2.3–4.9% |
| Republika | N/A | 1.8% | 1.4–2.4% | 1.3–2.5% | 1.2–2.7% | 1.1–3.0% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 14.2% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.7–1.9% | 0.6–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 22 | 20–22 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 17–24 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 16 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 15–19 | 15–20 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 13 | 13–14 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 11–17 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 15 | 14–15 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 11–17 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 12 | 11–12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–16 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 7 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 |
| Likums un kārtība | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–10 |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | N/A | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Republika | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |