Opinion Poll by Factum Interactive, 39–31 March 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 17.1% | 15.5–18.8% | 15.0–19.3% | 14.7–19.8% | 13.9–20.7% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.6–13.5% | 10.2–13.9% | 9.9–14.3% | 9.3–15.1% |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 11.3% | 10.0–12.8% | 9.6–13.3% | 9.3–13.6% | 8.7–14.4% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.5–12.3% | 9.2–12.7% | 8.9–13.1% | 8.3–13.9% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.0–11.7% | 8.6–12.1% | 8.3–12.5% | 7.8–13.2% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 6.7% | 5.7–8.0% | 5.5–8.3% | 5.2–8.6% | 4.8–9.3% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.1% | 4.7–7.4% | 4.5–7.7% | 4.1–8.3% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.3–6.3% | 4.1–6.6% | 3.9–6.9% | 3.5–7.5% |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | N/A | 5.2% | 4.3–6.3% | 4.1–6.6% | 3.9–6.9% | 3.5–7.5% |
| Likums un kārtība | 0.0% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.8% | 3.6–6.1% | 3.4–6.4% | 3.1–6.9% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.5% | 1.9–3.7% | 1.8–4.0% | 1.5–4.4% |
| Republika | N/A | 1.7% | 1.2–2.4% | 1.1–2.6% | 1.0–2.8% | 0.8–3.2% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 14.2% | 1.6% | 1.1–2.3% | 1.0–2.5% | 0.9–2.7% | 0.7–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 20 | 17–22 | 16–24 | 16–25 | 16–26 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 13 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 14 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 13 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 11–18 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 10 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 8 | 7–9 | 0–11 | 0–13 | 0–13 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 7 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–9 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 8 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–10 |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | N/A | 6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–10 |
| Likums un kārtība | 0 | 5 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Republika | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |