Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 March 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 6.7% | 16.2% | 15.1–17.4% | 14.8–17.7% | 14.6–18.0% | 14.1–18.5% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 9.9% | 13.2% | 12.2–14.3% | 11.9–14.6% | 11.7–14.8% | 11.2–15.3% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.4–13.4% | 11.1–13.6% | 10.9–13.9% | 10.4–14.4% |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 19.8% | 11.5% | 10.6–12.5% | 10.3–12.8% | 10.1–13.0% | 9.7–13.5% |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.5–10.2% | 8.2–10.5% | 8.0–10.7% | 7.7–11.2% |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 2.6% | 8.3% | 7.5–9.2% | 7.3–9.4% | 7.1–9.7% | 6.8–10.1% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.8–6.1% | 4.6–6.3% | 4.4–6.5% | 4.1–6.9% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 13.6% | 5.3% | 4.6–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% | 4.1–6.8% |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | N/A | 4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.2–5.7% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6–4.8% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.3–5.1% | 3.0–5.5% |
| Likums un kārtība | 0.0% | 3.2% | 2.7–3.8% | 2.6–3.9% | 2.5–4.1% | 2.3–4.4% |
| Republika | N/A | 1.7% | 1.4–2.2% | 1.3–2.3% | 1.2–2.4% | 1.1–2.7% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 14.2% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | 8 | 20 | 19–23 | 19–24 | 18–24 | 17–26 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 11 | 17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–19 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 13 | 16 | 14–17 | 14–19 | 13–19 | 13–19 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | 23 | 16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| Attīstībai/Par! | 13 | 14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–15 |
| PROGRESĪVIE | 0 | 10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 0 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 16 | 7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–6 |
| Likums un kārtība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Republika | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |