Opinion Poll by TNS Ilres and Kantar Public for Luxemburger Wort and RTL, 10–24 November 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei 28.3% 25.7% 24.4–27.0% 24.1–27.4% 23.8–27.7% 23.2–28.4%
Demokratesch Partei 16.9% 19.9% 18.8–21.1% 18.4–21.5% 18.2–21.8% 17.6–22.4%
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 17.6% 19.8% 18.7–21.0% 18.3–21.4% 18.0–21.7% 17.5–22.3%
déi gréng 15.1% 11.5% 10.6–12.5% 10.3–12.8% 10.1–13.0% 9.7–13.5%
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei 8.3% 9.6% 8.7–10.5% 8.5–10.8% 8.3–11.0% 7.9–11.5%
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg 6.4% 5.9% 5.3–6.7% 5.1–6.9% 4.9–7.1% 4.6–7.5%
déi Lénk 5.5% 5.8% 5.2–6.6% 5.0–6.8% 4.8–7.0% 4.5–7.3%
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg 1.3% 0.9% 0.7–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei 21 17 17–18 16–19 16–19 16–19
Demokratesch Partei 12 13 13–15 13–15 13–15 13–15
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 10 12 11–13 11–13 11–13 10–13
déi gréng 9 7 6–8 6–8 6–8 6–8
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei 4 5 5–7 5–7 5–7 4–7
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg 2 2 2 1–3 1–3 1–4
déi Lénk 2 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg 0 0 0 0 0 0

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.5% 100%  
16 8% 99.5%  
17 62% 92% Median
18 25% 30%  
19 5% 5%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

Demokratesch Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratesch Partei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100% Last Result
13 55% 99.9% Median
14 27% 45%  
15 17% 17%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
11 10% 99.3%  
12 47% 89% Median
13 42% 42%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

déi gréng

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi gréng page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 23% 99.9%  
7 29% 77% Median
8 48% 48%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.7% 100% Last Result
5 71% 99.2% Median
6 12% 29%  
7 17% 17%  
8 0% 0%  

Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 6% 100%  
2 85% 94% Last Result, Median
3 8% 10%  
4 1.1% 1.1%  
5 0% 0%  

déi Lénk

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi Lénk page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 93% 100% Last Result, Median
3 7% 7%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Demokratesch Partei – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei – déi gréng 31 33 99.6% 32–34 32–34 31–35 31–35
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Demokratesch Partei 33 31 60% 30–32 30–32 29–33 29–33
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 31 30 7% 28–30 28–31 28–31 27–32
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei 21 17 0% 17–18 16–19 16–19 16–19

Demokratesch Partei – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei – déi gréng

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.4% 100%  
31 4% 99.6% Last Result, Majority
32 21% 96% Median
33 33% 75%  
34 38% 42%  
35 5% 5%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Demokratesch Partei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 3% 99.9%  
30 36% 97% Median
31 33% 60% Majority
32 24% 28%  
33 3% 3% Last Result
34 0.3% 0.3%  
35 0% 0%  

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.8% 99.9%  
28 12% 99.1%  
29 24% 87% Median
30 56% 63%  
31 6% 7% Last Result, Majority
32 1.2% 1.3%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.5% 100%  
16 8% 99.5%  
17 62% 92% Median
18 25% 30%  
19 5% 5%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations