Opinion Poll by Sagalytics for It-Torċa, 2–9 October 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partit Laburista (S&D) | 0.0% | 48.2% | 46.0–50.5% | 45.4–51.2% | 44.8–51.7% | 43.7–52.8% |
| Partit Nazzjonalista (EPP) | 0.0% | 44.1% | 41.9–46.4% | 41.3–47.0% | 40.7–47.6% | 39.7–48.7% |
| Alternattiva Demokratika–Partit Demokratiku (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 4.0% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.9–5.6% | 2.5–6.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partit Laburista (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Partit Nazzjonalista (EPP) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Alternattiva Demokratika–Partit Demokratiku (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Partit Laburista (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Laburista (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 99.6% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Nazzjonalista (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Nazzjonalista (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 99.6% | 99.6% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Alternattiva Demokratika–Partit Demokratiku (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternattiva Demokratika–Partit Demokratiku (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partit Laburista (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 0.4% | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Partit Nazzjonalista (EPP) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Partit Laburista (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 99.6% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Nazzjonalista (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 99.6% | 99.6% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sagalytics
- Commissioner(s): It-Torċa
- Fieldwork period: 2–9 October 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 800
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.24%