Opinion Poll by Sagalytics for The Malta Independent, 13–19 February 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partit Laburista (S&D) | 0.0% | 53.1% | 51.2–55.1% | 50.6–55.6% | 50.1–56.1% | 49.2–57.0% |
| Partit Nazzjonalista (EPP) | 0.0% | 43.3% | 41.4–45.3% | 40.8–45.8% | 40.3–46.3% | 39.4–47.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partit Laburista (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Partit Nazzjonalista (EPP) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
Partit Laburista (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Laburista (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 91% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 9% | 9% | Majority |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Nazzjonalista (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Nazzjonalista (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 9% | 100% | |
| 3 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partit Laburista (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 9% | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Partit Nazzjonalista (EPP) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
Partit Laburista (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 91% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 9% | 9% | Majority |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Nazzjonalista (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 9% | 100% | |
| 3 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sagalytics
- Commissioner(s): The Malta Independent
- Fieldwork period: 13–19 February 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1058
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.80%