Opinion Poll by FOCUS, 18–21 March 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 25.0% 23.3% 21.6–25.0% 21.2–25.5% 20.8–26.0% 20.0–26.8%
SMER–sociálna demokracia 18.3% 21.6% 20.0–23.3% 19.6–23.8% 19.2–24.2% 18.4–25.1%
SME RODINA 8.2% 11.5% 10.3–12.9% 10.0–13.3% 9.7–13.6% 9.2–14.3%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 7.0% 5.9% 5.0–6.9% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.0%
Sloboda a Solidarita 6.2% 5.8% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–7.9%
Za ľudí 5.8% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.6% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 3.9% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.3–5.3%
Slovenská národná strana 3.2% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.5–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
VLASŤ 2.9% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 2.0–4.8%
Dobrá voľba 3.1% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.4–4.0%
MOST–HÍD 2.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.6–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 53 47 43–53 41–53 41–54 39–58
SMER–sociálna demokracia 38 43 40–46 39–48 37–52 34–53
SME RODINA 17 22 21–26 20–26 20–27 19–29
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 17 14 13–17 13–19 12–19 11–21
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0 0 0–15 0–15 0–15 0–15
Sloboda a Solidarita 13 11 9–13 0–15 0–15 0–16
Za ľudí 12 0 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–14
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 0 0 0–10 0–11 0–12
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0 0 0 0–11
Slovenská národná strana 0 0 0 0 0 0
VLASŤ 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dobrá voľba 0 0 0 0 0 0
MOST–HÍD 0 0 0 0 0 0

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.3% 99.8%  
40 0.6% 99.5%  
41 6% 98.8%  
42 1.4% 92%  
43 3% 91%  
44 3% 88%  
45 23% 86%  
46 2% 63%  
47 24% 61% Median
48 3% 37%  
49 5% 34%  
50 1.1% 29%  
51 6% 28%  
52 0.7% 21%  
53 18% 21% Last Result
54 2% 3%  
55 0.1% 0.9%  
56 0.2% 0.8%  
57 0.1% 0.6%  
58 0.4% 0.6%  
59 0.2% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 2% 100%  
35 0.1% 98%  
36 0.6% 98%  
37 1.1% 98%  
38 0.8% 96% Last Result
39 2% 96%  
40 6% 94%  
41 1.0% 88%  
42 32% 87%  
43 6% 55% Median
44 4% 49%  
45 23% 45%  
46 12% 22%  
47 0.4% 10%  
48 4% 9%  
49 0.3% 5%  
50 0.9% 4%  
51 0.1% 4%  
52 1.4% 3%  
53 2% 2%  
54 0% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0% 99.9% Last Result
18 0.3% 99.9%  
19 1.1% 99.6%  
20 6% 98%  
21 27% 93%  
22 16% 65% Median
23 9% 50%  
24 4% 41%  
25 26% 37%  
26 6% 11%  
27 3% 5%  
28 0.8% 2%  
29 0.6% 1.0%  
30 0.2% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 2% 99.8%  
12 1.0% 98%  
13 24% 97%  
14 34% 73% Median
15 3% 39%  
16 17% 36%  
17 9% 19% Last Result
18 4% 10%  
19 5% 6%  
20 0.1% 0.7%  
21 0.3% 0.6%  
22 0.3% 0.3%  
23 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 30%  
2 0% 30%  
3 0% 30%  
4 0% 30%  
5 0% 30%  
6 0% 30%  
7 0% 30%  
8 0% 30%  
9 0% 30%  
10 0% 30%  
11 0% 30%  
12 0% 30%  
13 0.1% 30%  
14 6% 30%  
15 23% 24%  
16 0.1% 0.3%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 0% 91%  
4 0% 91%  
5 0% 91%  
6 0% 91%  
7 0% 91%  
8 0% 91%  
9 4% 91%  
10 3% 87%  
11 47% 85% Median
12 12% 37%  
13 16% 25% Last Result
14 1.1% 9%  
15 7% 8%  
16 0.1% 0.5%  
17 0% 0.4%  
18 0.4% 0.4%  
19 0% 0%  

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Median
1 0% 43%  
2 0% 43%  
3 0% 43%  
4 0% 43%  
5 0% 43%  
6 0% 43%  
7 0% 43%  
8 0% 43%  
9 0% 43%  
10 7% 43%  
11 25% 36%  
12 7% 11% Last Result
13 2% 4%  
14 1.3% 2%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 8%  
2 0% 8%  
3 0% 8%  
4 0% 8%  
5 0% 8%  
6 0% 8%  
7 0% 8%  
8 0% 8%  
9 1.5% 8%  
10 4% 6%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.6% 0.6%  
13 0% 0%  

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.5%  
2 0% 1.5%  
3 0% 1.5%  
4 0% 1.5%  
5 0% 1.5%  
6 0% 1.5%  
7 0% 1.5%  
8 0% 1.5%  
9 0% 1.5%  
10 0.1% 1.5%  
11 1.4% 1.4%  
12 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0% 0.2%  
5 0% 0.2%  
6 0% 0.2%  
7 0% 0.2%  
8 0% 0.2%  
9 0% 0.2%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

VLASŤ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Dobrá voľba

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

MOST–HÍD

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – MOST–HÍD 95 92 100% 88–96 85–97 81–99 80–103
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD 95 92 100% 87–96 84–96 81–99 78–103
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 95 92 100% 88–96 85–97 81–99 80–103
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 95 92 100% 87–96 84–96 81–99 78–103
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana 72 83 89% 75–86 74–89 72–94 69–97
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 55 67 3% 62–70 60–73 58–78 56–80
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 55 68 3% 62–70 60–73 58–78 56–80
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – MOST–HÍD 78 67 8% 64–75 61–76 56–78 53–81
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 78 67 8% 64–75 61–76 56–78 53–81
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD 78 67 8% 64–75 60–76 55–78 52–81
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 78 67 8% 64–75 60–76 55–78 52–81
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí 78 67 7% 61–73 58–76 54–76 51–81
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 38 43 0% 40–46 39–48 37–52 34–53
SMER–sociálna demokracia 38 43 0% 40–46 39–48 37–52 34–53
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 38 43 0% 40–46 39–48 37–52 34–53
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 25 22 0% 12–30 12–35 0–35 0–36
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí 25 22 0% 12–26 11–35 0–35 0–36

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.3% 100% Majority
77 0% 99.7%  
78 0.1% 99.6%  
79 0% 99.6%  
80 0.1% 99.6% Median
81 3% 99.4%  
82 0% 97%  
83 0.2% 97%  
84 1.3% 96%  
85 1.2% 95%  
86 0.6% 94%  
87 3% 93%  
88 14% 90%  
89 7% 76%  
90 0.8% 69%  
91 9% 68%  
92 22% 60%  
93 0.7% 38%  
94 23% 37%  
95 1.3% 14% Last Result
96 7% 12%  
97 0.9% 5%  
98 2% 5%  
99 0.7% 3%  
100 0.1% 2%  
101 0.3% 2%  
102 0.1% 2%  
103 2% 2%  
104 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.3% 100% Majority
77 0% 99.6%  
78 0.2% 99.6%  
79 0.1% 99.4%  
80 0.3% 99.3% Median
81 3% 99.0%  
82 0% 96%  
83 0.2% 96%  
84 2% 96%  
85 1.2% 94%  
86 0.6% 93%  
87 4% 92%  
88 14% 89%  
89 7% 75%  
90 0.7% 68%  
91 9% 67%  
92 22% 59%  
93 0.7% 37%  
94 23% 36%  
95 0.9% 13% Last Result
96 7% 12%  
97 0.9% 5%  
98 1.0% 4%  
99 0.7% 3%  
100 0.1% 2%  
101 0.3% 2%  
102 0% 2%  
103 2% 2%  
104 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.3% 100% Majority
77 0% 99.7%  
78 0.1% 99.6%  
79 0% 99.6%  
80 0.1% 99.6% Median
81 3% 99.4%  
82 0% 97%  
83 0.2% 97%  
84 1.3% 96%  
85 1.2% 95%  
86 0.6% 94%  
87 3% 93%  
88 14% 90%  
89 7% 76%  
90 0.8% 69%  
91 9% 68%  
92 22% 60%  
93 0.7% 38%  
94 23% 37%  
95 1.3% 14% Last Result
96 7% 12%  
97 0.9% 5%  
98 2% 5%  
99 0.7% 3%  
100 0.1% 2%  
101 0.3% 2%  
102 0.1% 2%  
103 2% 2%  
104 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.3% 100% Majority
77 0% 99.6%  
78 0.2% 99.6%  
79 0.1% 99.4%  
80 0.3% 99.3% Median
81 3% 99.0%  
82 0% 96%  
83 0.2% 96%  
84 2% 96%  
85 1.2% 94%  
86 0.6% 93%  
87 4% 92%  
88 14% 89%  
89 7% 75%  
90 0.7% 68%  
91 9% 67%  
92 22% 59%  
93 0.7% 37%  
94 23% 36%  
95 0.9% 13% Last Result
96 7% 12%  
97 0.9% 5%  
98 1.0% 4%  
99 0.7% 3%  
100 0.1% 2%  
101 0.3% 2%  
102 0% 2%  
103 2% 2%  
104 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 2% 100%  
70 0.1% 98%  
71 0.5% 98%  
72 0.5% 98% Last Result
73 0.1% 97%  
74 5% 97%  
75 3% 92%  
76 0.4% 89% Majority
77 23% 89%  
78 2% 66%  
79 2% 64% Median
80 1.1% 62%  
81 0.6% 61%  
82 2% 60%  
83 21% 59%  
84 17% 38%  
85 8% 21%  
86 5% 13%  
87 1.0% 8%  
88 0.4% 7%  
89 3% 7%  
90 0.9% 4%  
91 0.5% 3%  
92 0.1% 3%  
93 0.2% 3%  
94 0.2% 3%  
95 0% 2%  
96 2% 2%  
97 0% 0.5%  
98 0% 0.5%  
99 0.1% 0.5%  
100 0% 0.4%  
101 0.4% 0.4%  
102 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100% Last Result
56 2% 99.8%  
57 0.1% 98%  
58 0.5% 98%  
59 0.5% 97%  
60 5% 97%  
61 0.7% 92%  
62 1.1% 91%  
63 23% 90%  
64 3% 66%  
65 3% 63% Median
66 4% 60%  
67 6% 56%  
68 17% 50%  
69 0.5% 33%  
70 23% 32%  
71 1.4% 9%  
72 2% 8%  
73 0.6% 5%  
74 1.3% 5%  
75 0.6% 4%  
76 0.1% 3% Majority
77 0.1% 3%  
78 0.3% 3%  
79 0.3% 2%  
80 2% 2%  
81 0% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100% Last Result
56 2% 99.8%  
57 0.1% 98%  
58 0.5% 98%  
59 0.5% 97%  
60 5% 97%  
61 0.7% 92%  
62 1.1% 91%  
63 23% 90%  
64 3% 66%  
65 3% 63% Median
66 4% 60%  
67 6% 56%  
68 17% 50%  
69 0.5% 33%  
70 23% 32%  
71 1.4% 9%  
72 2% 8%  
73 0.6% 5%  
74 1.3% 5%  
75 0.6% 4%  
76 0.1% 3% Majority
77 0.1% 3%  
78 0.3% 3%  
79 0.3% 2%  
80 2% 2%  
81 0% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.4% 100%  
50 0% 99.6%  
51 0.1% 99.6%  
52 0% 99.5%  
53 0% 99.5%  
54 2% 99.5%  
55 0% 98%  
56 0.2% 98%  
57 0.2% 97%  
58 0.1% 97% Median
59 0.5% 97%  
60 0.9% 97%  
61 3% 96%  
62 0.4% 93%  
63 1.0% 93%  
64 5% 92%  
65 8% 87%  
66 17% 79%  
67 21% 62%  
68 2% 41%  
69 0.6% 40%  
70 1.1% 39%  
71 2% 38%  
72 2% 36%  
73 23% 34%  
74 0.4% 11%  
75 3% 11%  
76 5% 8% Majority
77 0.1% 3%  
78 0.5% 3% Last Result
79 0.5% 2%  
80 0.1% 2%  
81 2% 2%  
82 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.4% 100%  
50 0% 99.6%  
51 0.1% 99.6%  
52 0% 99.5%  
53 0% 99.5%  
54 2% 99.5%  
55 0% 98%  
56 0.2% 98%  
57 0.2% 97%  
58 0.1% 97% Median
59 0.5% 97%  
60 0.9% 97%  
61 3% 96%  
62 0.4% 93%  
63 1.0% 93%  
64 5% 92%  
65 8% 87%  
66 17% 79%  
67 21% 62%  
68 2% 41%  
69 0.6% 40%  
70 1.1% 39%  
71 2% 38%  
72 2% 36%  
73 23% 34%  
74 0.4% 11%  
75 3% 11%  
76 5% 8% Majority
77 0.1% 3%  
78 0.5% 3% Last Result
79 0.5% 2%  
80 0.1% 2%  
81 2% 2%  
82 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.4% 100%  
50 0% 99.6%  
51 0.1% 99.6%  
52 0% 99.5%  
53 0% 99.5%  
54 2% 99.5%  
55 0.1% 98%  
56 0.3% 97%  
57 0.2% 97%  
58 0.3% 97% Median
59 1.0% 97%  
60 0.9% 96%  
61 3% 95%  
62 0.4% 92%  
63 1.0% 92%  
64 5% 91%  
65 8% 85%  
66 17% 78%  
67 21% 61%  
68 2% 40%  
69 0.4% 38%  
70 0.7% 38%  
71 2% 37%  
72 1.5% 35%  
73 23% 34%  
74 0.4% 11%  
75 3% 10%  
76 5% 8% Majority
77 0.1% 3%  
78 0.5% 3% Last Result
79 0.5% 2%  
80 0% 2%  
81 2% 2%  
82 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.4% 100%  
50 0% 99.6%  
51 0.1% 99.6%  
52 0% 99.5%  
53 0% 99.5%  
54 2% 99.5%  
55 0.1% 98%  
56 0.3% 97%  
57 0.2% 97%  
58 0.3% 97% Median
59 1.0% 97%  
60 0.9% 96%  
61 3% 95%  
62 0.4% 92%  
63 1.0% 92%  
64 5% 91%  
65 8% 85%  
66 17% 78%  
67 21% 61%  
68 2% 40%  
69 0.4% 38%  
70 0.7% 38%  
71 2% 37%  
72 1.5% 35%  
73 23% 34%  
74 0.4% 11%  
75 3% 10%  
76 5% 8% Majority
77 0.1% 3%  
78 0.5% 3% Last Result
79 0.5% 2%  
80 0% 2%  
81 2% 2%  
82 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.4% 100%  
50 0% 99.6%  
51 0.1% 99.5%  
52 0% 99.4%  
53 0% 99.4%  
54 2% 99.4%  
55 0.1% 97%  
56 0.6% 97%  
57 1.1% 96%  
58 0.4% 95% Median
59 1.1% 95%  
60 1.0% 94%  
61 3% 93%  
62 2% 90%  
63 1.3% 87%  
64 6% 86%  
65 9% 80%  
66 17% 71%  
67 21% 54%  
68 0.9% 34%  
69 0.8% 33%  
70 0.5% 32%  
71 0.7% 32%  
72 1.1% 31%  
73 23% 30%  
74 0.1% 7%  
75 0.5% 7%  
76 4% 7% Majority
77 0% 2%  
78 0.3% 2% Last Result
79 0% 2%  
80 0% 2%  
81 2% 2%  
82 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 2% 100%  
35 0.1% 98%  
36 0.6% 98%  
37 1.1% 98%  
38 0.7% 96% Last Result
39 2% 96%  
40 6% 94%  
41 1.0% 88%  
42 32% 87%  
43 6% 55% Median
44 4% 50%  
45 23% 45%  
46 12% 22%  
47 0.4% 10%  
48 4% 9%  
49 0.3% 5%  
50 0.9% 5%  
51 0.1% 4%  
52 1.4% 3%  
53 2% 2%  
54 0% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 2% 100%  
35 0.1% 98%  
36 0.6% 98%  
37 1.1% 98%  
38 0.8% 96% Last Result
39 2% 96%  
40 6% 94%  
41 1.0% 88%  
42 32% 87%  
43 6% 55% Median
44 4% 49%  
45 23% 45%  
46 12% 22%  
47 0.4% 10%  
48 4% 9%  
49 0.3% 5%  
50 0.9% 4%  
51 0.1% 4%  
52 1.4% 3%  
53 2% 2%  
54 0% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 2% 100%  
35 0.1% 98%  
36 0.6% 98%  
37 1.1% 98%  
38 0.7% 96% Last Result
39 2% 96%  
40 6% 94%  
41 1.0% 88%  
42 32% 87%  
43 6% 55% Median
44 4% 50%  
45 23% 45%  
46 12% 22%  
47 0.4% 10%  
48 4% 9%  
49 0.3% 5%  
50 0.9% 5%  
51 0.1% 4%  
52 1.4% 3%  
53 2% 2%  
54 0% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0% 97%  
9 0% 97%  
10 0.1% 97%  
11 2% 97% Median
12 9% 96%  
13 15% 87%  
14 1.5% 73%  
15 7% 71%  
16 0.2% 64%  
17 0.2% 64%  
18 0.4% 64%  
19 0% 63%  
20 0.5% 63%  
21 0.1% 63%  
22 22% 63%  
23 3% 41%  
24 2% 38%  
25 1.0% 36% Last Result
26 23% 35%  
27 0.5% 12%  
28 0.2% 12%  
29 0.1% 12%  
30 2% 11%  
31 2% 10%  
32 0.4% 8%  
33 0.2% 7%  
34 0.6% 7%  
35 4% 7%  
36 2% 2%  
37 0.1% 0.3%  
38 0.2% 0.3%  
39 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0% 97%  
9 0% 97%  
10 0.6% 97%  
11 3% 97% Median
12 9% 94%  
13 15% 86%  
14 2% 70%  
15 7% 69%  
16 0.2% 61%  
17 0.2% 61%  
18 0.4% 61%  
19 0% 61%  
20 0.1% 61%  
21 4% 60%  
22 22% 57%  
23 3% 35%  
24 1.1% 32%  
25 0.6% 31% Last Result
26 23% 31%  
27 0.5% 7%  
28 0.2% 7%  
29 0.1% 7%  
30 0% 6%  
31 0% 6%  
32 0% 6%  
33 0% 6%  
34 0% 6%  
35 4% 6%  
36 2% 2%  
37 0% 0.3%  
38 0.2% 0.2%  
39 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations